TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

🧪 TRIVENI Swing Trade Analysis

TRIVENI presents a cautious swing trade setup. While technical indicators show short-term stability, the fundamentals and recent earnings raise red flags.

✅ Positives

MACD: 1.71 — bullish crossover, suggesting upward momentum.

RSI: 55.0 — neutral-to-bullish zone, not overbought.

Volume Surge — current volume is 40% above 1-week average, indicating increased interest.

Price Near 50 DMA — current price ₹359 is aligned with 50 DMA (₹358), offering a low-risk entry.

FII Holding Up — foreign investors increased stake by 0.64%.

⚠️ Negatives

Massive PAT Drop: ₹175 Cr. → ₹0.46 Cr. — a 98.5% decline, severely undermining earnings strength.

ROCE (9.01%) / ROE (8.32%) — weak capital efficiency.

PEG Ratio: -2.61 — suggests earnings growth doesn’t justify valuation.

Debt-to-Equity: 0.55 — moderate leverage.

Price Below 200 DMA (₹382) — long-term trend still bearish.

DII Sentiment Negative — domestic institutions reduced holdings by 0.62%.

🎯 Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹350–₹355

Enter near support if MACD continues to rise and RSI holds above 50.

Exit Plan (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹375–₹385

Conservative target near 200 DMA.

Stop Loss: ₹340

Below recent support to manage downside risk.

TRIVENI is a speculative swing candidate. It may offer short-term gains if momentum holds, but weak fundamentals demand tight risk control. Let me know if you'd like to explore stronger setups or track this trade.

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