TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | TRIVENI | Market Cap | 9,177 Cr. | Current Price | 419 ₹ | High / Low | 468 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 29.0 | Book Value | 141 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.60 % | ROCE | 9.01 % |
| ROE | 8.32 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 388 ₹ | DMA 200 | 376 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.48 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.30 % | PAT Qtr | 109 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 31.9 Cr. |
| RSI | 64.4 | MACD | 10.2 | Volume | 4,69,233 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 4,70,356 |
| Low price | 318 ₹ | High price | 468 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -2.10 | Debt to equity | 0.17 |
| 52w Index | 67.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 92.0 % | EPS | 13.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 13.9 |
Analysis: Triveni shows moderate fundamentals with ROE (8.32%) and ROCE (9.01%) below strong benchmarks. The PEG ratio is negative (-2.10), reflecting weak growth prospects despite a sharp quarterly profit jump (92%). Technical indicators (RSI 64.4, MACD positive) suggest bullish momentum, but the stock is approaching overbought territory. Trading volumes are stable, and the low debt-to-equity ratio (0.17) adds financial stability. Overall, Triveni is a cautious swing trade candidate with short-term upside potential.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 385–395 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 460–465 ₹ resistance zone unless momentum continues strongly.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT surged from 31.9 Cr. to 109 Cr. (+92%).
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.17), showing financial stability.
- EPS at 13.7 ₹ supports earnings quality.
- FII holdings increased (+0.48%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- Low ROE (8.32%) and ROCE (9.01%).
- Negative PEG ratio (-2.10) signals poor growth prospects.
- Stock nearing overbought zone with RSI at 64.4.
📉 Company Negative News
- DII holdings declined (-0.30%), showing reduced domestic institutional interest.
- Valuation premium with P/E at 29.0 vs industry 13.9.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth (+92%).
- Healthy balance sheet with low leverage.
- Momentum supported by positive MACD and stable volumes.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 13.9 highlights Triveni’s premium valuation (P/E 29.0).
- Sector demand remains cyclical but supported by infrastructure growth.
- Peers trade at lower multiples, making Triveni relatively expensive.
📝 Conclusion
Triveni is a moderate swing trade candidate with strong short-term profit growth but weak long-term fundamentals. Entry near 385–395 ₹ offers a favorable setup, with an exit target around 460–465 ₹. Overvaluation and low efficiency metrics warrant caution, but momentum indicators support short-term trading opportunities.