TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.6

📊 Analysis Summary

TRIVENI is currently in a technical downtrend with deteriorating fundamentals, making it a weak candidate for swing trading. The sharp decline in quarterly profits and poor return ratios suggest limited upside potential in the short term. While the RSI indicates it's approaching oversold territory, there’s no strong technical or fundamental catalyst for a rebound yet.

✅ Minor Positives

RSI: 40.8

Approaching oversold zone — may attract bargain hunters.

FII Holding ↑ 0.64%

Some foreign interest despite weak performance.

Trading Near Support Zone (₹305–₹368)

Could stabilize if broader sentiment improves.

⚠️ Major Concerns

Quarterly PAT Collapse: ₹183 Cr. → ₹2.10 Cr.

Massive earnings deterioration — raises red flags.

MACD: –7.35

Bearish momentum — no sign of reversal.

ROCE: 8.62% & ROE: 7.93%

Weak profitability — below industry norms.

P/E: 38.6 vs Industry PE: 18.3

Overvalued despite poor earnings — unjustified premium.

PEG Ratio: –2.16

Negative PEG confirms poor earnings growth outlook.

Volume Below Average

Weak trading interest — low conviction.

DII Holding ↓ 0.62%

Domestic institutions exiting — sentiment negative.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹345–₹355

Only if RSI drops below 35 and MACD flattens — speculative entry.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Exit Target: ₹385–₹395

Near DMA 50/200 resistance — use bounce to exit.

Stop Loss: ₹330

Below recent support — protects against further downside.

Would you like to explore sugar or industrial sector stocks with stronger earnings and technical setups for swing trading?

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