TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | TRIVENI | Market Cap | 8,205 Cr. | Current Price | 374 ₹ | High / Low | 468 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 25.9 | Book Value | 141 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.66 % | ROCE | 9.01 % |
| ROE | 8.32 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 360 ₹ | DMA 200 | 368 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.26 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.16 % | PAT Qtr | 109 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 31.9 Cr. |
| RSI | 58.5 | MACD | 1.46 | Volume | 1,68,428 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,45,516 |
| Low price | 305 ₹ | High price | 468 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -1.88 | Debt to equity | 0.17 |
| 52w Index | 42.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 92.0 % | EPS | 13.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 11.1 |
📊 TRIVENI shows improving profitability with strong quarterly PAT growth and rising institutional interest. The stock trades close to its moving averages with neutral-to-positive technical indicators. However, efficiency ratios are modest, valuation is above industry average, and trading volumes are relatively low. It is a moderately good candidate for swing trading with cautious positioning.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 360–370 ₹ (near support close to 50 DMA and 200 DMA)
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 410–420 ₹ (resistance zone before 468 ₹ high).
Positive
- Quarterly PAT surged to 109 Cr from 31.9 Cr, showing strong improvement.
- EPS of 13.7 ₹ supports earnings consistency.
- ROCE (9.01%) and ROE (8.32%) reflect moderate but stable efficiency.
- Increase in FII holdings (+1.26%) and DII holdings (+0.16%) shows institutional confidence.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 indicates low leverage risk.
Limitation
- Stock P/E (25.9) is higher than industry PE (11.1), suggesting overvaluation.
- PEG ratio of -1.88 indicates weak growth relative to valuation.
- Dividend yield of 0.66% offers limited investor return.
- Trading volume lower than weekly average, reflecting reduced participation.
- ROCE and ROE are modest compared to stronger peers.
Company Negative News
- Stock has corrected from 52-week high of 468 ₹.
- Efficiency ratios remain modest despite profit growth.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit variation of 92% highlights strong turnaround.
- Institutional confidence rising with FII and DII increases.
- Stock trading near DMA levels, offering technical support.
Industry
- Industry PE at 11.1 is much lower, highlighting TRIVENI’s premium valuation.
- Engineering and industrial sector benefits from infrastructure demand but faces cyclical pressures.
Conclusion
⚖️ TRIVENI offers moderate swing trading potential with entry near 360–370 ₹ and exit near 410–420 ₹. Strong quarterly profit growth and rising institutional interest support short-term upside, but premium valuation and modest efficiency ratios warrant caution. Best suited for short-term traders seeking controlled gains.