TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.1
| Stock Code | TRIVENI | Market Cap | 7,484 Cr. | Current Price | 343 ₹ | High / Low | 468 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 23.7 | Book Value | 141 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.73 % | ROCE | 9.01 % |
| ROE | 8.32 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 369 ₹ | DMA 200 | 370 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.26 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.16 % | PAT Qtr | 109 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 31.9 Cr. |
| RSI | 33.8 | MACD | -9.76 | Volume | 5,87,855 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 4,23,616 |
| Low price | 305 ₹ | High price | 468 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -1.71 | Debt to equity | 0.17 |
| 52w Index | 23.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 92.0 % | EPS | 13.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 11.3 |
📊 TRIVENI shows moderate potential for swing trading. Fundamentals are fair with EPS (13.7 ₹), ROE (8.32%), and ROCE (9.01%). Debt-to-equity is low at 0.17, reflecting financial stability. Technical indicators are weak: RSI at 33.8 suggests oversold conditions, MACD (-9.76) signals bearish momentum, and the current price (343 ₹) is below both the 50 DMA (369 ₹) and 200 DMA (370 ₹). Despite this, quarterly PAT improved significantly from 31.9 Cr. to 109 Cr., showing operational strength. Valuation is slightly high with a P/E of 23.7 compared to industry PE of 11.3, but FII inflows (+1.26%) provide some confidence.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 335–345 ₹ (near support levels).
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 365–370 ₹ (DMA resistance) unless strong breakout occurs.
🌟 Positive
- EPS of 13.7 ₹ indicates profitability.
- ROE (8.32%) and ROCE (9.01%) show fair efficiency.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 reflects financial strength.
- Quarterly PAT surged from 31.9 Cr. to 109 Cr.
- FII holdings increased by 1.26%, showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trades below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling bearish trend.
- RSI and MACD indicate weak momentum.
- PEG ratio (-1.71) suggests poor growth prospects.
- Dividend yield is modest at 0.73%, not attractive for income investors.
📰 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation is negative (-92%).
- Stock corrected from its high of 468 ₹.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT surged, showing operational improvement.
- FII inflows reflect foreign investor confidence.
- Strong book value of 141 ₹ provides downside cushion.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 11.3, lower than TRIVENI’s 23.7, suggesting overvaluation compared to peers.
- Sugar and engineering sector outlook remains cyclical, influenced by commodity prices and demand trends.
🔎 Conclusion
TRIVENI is a moderately suitable candidate for swing trading. Fundamentals are fair, but technical indicators show weakness. Traders may enter near 335–345 ₹ with a short-term target of 365–370 ₹. Risk management is essential due to weak momentum and overvaluation, but strong quarterly PAT and FII inflows provide confidence for potential short-term recovery.