TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 TRIVENI is currently trading at ₹374, slightly above its 50 DMA (₹358) and near its 200 DMA (₹370), reflecting neutral-to-positive technical momentum. RSI at 57.5 suggests moderate strength without being overbought, while MACD at 2.67 indicates mild bullish sentiment. The optimal entry price would be near ₹360–₹370, close to support levels. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹410–₹430, where resistance is expected.

✅ Positive

• 📈 EPS at ₹12.1, supporting profitability
• 📊 Quarterly PAT surged from ₹0.46 Cr. to ₹31.9 Cr., a 325% improvement
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.17, showing low leverage risk
• 📊 Trading near DMA levels, offering potential for short-term swing opportunities

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 P/E ratio (31.0) is much higher than industry average (12.4), suggesting overvaluation
• 📊 PEG ratio at -2.25, indicating poor growth prospects relative to valuation
• 📉 Low ROCE (9.01%) and ROE (8.32%), reflecting weak efficiency
• 📉 Dividend yield at 0.67%, offering limited shareholder return
• 📉 52-week index at 29.8%, showing weak performance compared to peers

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding decreased by -0.51%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence
• 📉 DII holding decreased by -0.52%, reflecting weaker domestic institutional support
• 📉 Trading volume (3,14,635) below weekly average (8,16,556), indicating reduced participation

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT improved significantly (+325%), highlighting operational recovery
• 📊 EPS at ₹12.1, maintaining profitability despite sector challenges

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry P/E at 12.4 is much lower, suggesting TRIVENI trades at a premium
• 🌐 Sector outlook remains cyclical, with demand fluctuations impacting valuations

📌 Conclusion

TRIVENI is a moderate swing trade candidate. While recent profit growth is encouraging, high valuation and weak efficiency metrics limit upside. Entry is best near ₹360–₹370, while exit should be considered around ₹410–₹430. Traders should monitor RSI and volume trends closely before committing.

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