TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 TRIVENI shows weak earnings and valuation concerns but has short-term technical support. Optimal entry is ₹350–₹360. If already held, consider exiting near ₹375–₹385.

📈 Positive

• ROCE (9.01%) and ROE (8.32%) reflect modest but stable capital efficiency.
• MACD (2.08) is positive, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
• Volume above 1-week average indicates rising market interest.
• Trading near 50-DMA (₹354) offers technical support for entry.

⚠️ Limitation

• Quarterly PAT collapsed from ₹175 Cr. to ₹0.46 Cr., a 98.5% decline.
• PEG ratio (-2.60) signals poor growth outlook relative to valuation.
• P/E (36.0) is significantly higher than industry average (14.8), implying overvaluation.
• RSI (56.4) is neutral, offering limited oversold advantage.

🚫 Company Negative News

• FII and DII holdings declined by 0.51% and 0.52% respectively, showing reduced institutional confidence.
• Recent earnings shock may weigh on sentiment and price action.

✅ Company Positive News

• EPS of ₹9.96 and consistent dividend payout (0.70%) offer some investor value.
• Stock trading near support zone with potential for technical bounce.

🌐 Industry

• TRIVENI operates in the engineering and industrial manufacturing sector, which is cyclical and sensitive to capex trends.
• Industry P/E of 14.8 reflects conservative valuation expectations.

🧾 Conclusion

• TRIVENI is a speculative swing trade candidate with weak fundamentals but short-term technical support.
• Optimal entry: ₹350–₹360 (near 50-DMA and support zone).
• Exit target: ₹375–₹385 (near 200-DMA and resistance).
• Watch for MACD continuation and volume strength before confirming entry.

I can chart TRIVENI’s RSI and MACD trends to help you visualize the timing for entry and exit.