⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TRIVENI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | TRIVENI | Market Cap | 8,928 Cr. | Current Price | 406 ₹ | High / Low | 435 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 33.2 | Book Value | 152 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.62 % | ROCE | 8.96 % |
| ROE | 8.37 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 384 ₹ | DMA 200 | 378 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.48 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.30 % | PAT Qtr | 161 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 92.9 Cr. |
| RSI | 64.6 | MACD | 3.88 | Volume | 4,73,470 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 4,97,281 |
| Low price | 318 ₹ | High price | 435 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -1.78 | Debt to equity | 0.63 |
| 52w Index | 74.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | -13.2 % | EPS | 11.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 16.9 |
📈 Optimal Entry Price: 395–405 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)
📉 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 425–430 ₹ (short-term resistance) or cut losses if price falls below 390 ₹.
Positive
- 📊 EPS at 11.8 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- 📈 PAT improved (92.9 Cr. → 161 Cr.), showing earnings growth.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 0.62% provides shareholder returns.
- 📊 RSI at 64.6 reflects healthy momentum.
- 📈 MACD positive at 3.88, confirming bullish crossover.
- 📊 FII holdings increased (+0.48%), showing foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E ratio (33.2) compared to industry PE (16.9), indicating premium valuation.
- 📉 ROCE (8.96%) and ROE (8.37%) remain modest.
- 📊 PEG ratio at -1.78 suggests poor growth valuation.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.63, showing moderate leverage risk.
- ⚠️ DII holdings decreased (-0.30%), showing reduced domestic support.
Company Negative News
- ❌ Quarterly profit variation at -13.2% highlights earnings volatility.
- ⚠️ Valuation stretched relative to industry benchmarks.
Company Positive News
- ✅ PAT growth quarter-on-quarter shows operational improvement.
- 📈 FII inflows support bullish sentiment.
- 📊 Strong 52-week performance (+74.9%).
Industry
- 🌐 Industry PE at 16.9 is much lower than TRIVENI’s PE (33.2), suggesting relative overvaluation.
- 📊 Engineering/industrial sector supported by infrastructure demand and government projects.
Conclusion
⚖️ TRIVENI is a moderate swing trade candidate with strong momentum and foreign investor support but faces valuation risks and modest efficiency metrics. Entry near 395–405 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, with exit near 425–430 ₹. Stop-loss should be maintained around 390 ₹ due to earnings volatility.
This analysis frames TRIVENI as a momentum-backed but valuation-sensitive swing candidate. Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing it with other industrial peers like Thermax and Timken to evaluate relative strength?