COALINDIA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Strengths

Price Action: Trading above 50 DMA (₹387) and just below 200 DMA (₹396)—short-term strength with medium-term resistance.

MACD (3.70): Positive, indicating bullish momentum.

RSI (56.5): Neutral-bullish zone, with room to rise.

Volume Surge: Current volume is ~23% higher than 1-week average—momentum supported.

Zero Debt: Strong margin of safety.

ROCE (96.6%) & ROE (96.1%): Exceptional capital efficiency.

PEG (0.95): Fair growth-adjusted valuation.

Dividend Yield (6.74%): Attractive for income-focused traders.

⚠️ Weaknesses

PAT Qtr (₹116 Cr) vs Prev Qtr (₹3,149 Cr): Sharp earnings drop—likely one-off or seasonal.

DII Outflow (-0.69%): Mild domestic caution.

52W Index (26%): Trading near lower end of yearly range—no breakout confirmation.

Price Compression: ~24% below 52W high (₹518)—trend reversal not yet confirmed.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹385–₹390 (near 50 DMA and VWAP)

Momentum Entry: ₹397–₹402 if MACD strengthens and RSI crosses 58

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹415–₹425 (next resistance zone and above 200 DMA)

Stop Loss: ₹374 (below recent support and volume base)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD flattens

Selva, COALINDIA offers a value-driven swing setup with strong fundamentals and technical support, but demands caution due to recent earnings volatility. If you'd like, I can help you script alerts for MACD crossover or build a PSU dividend basket with similar low-debt, high-yield plays.

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