GESHIP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Strength: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹976) and 200 DMA (₹983), confirming bullish momentum.

MACD Strong: At 20.4, MACD signals sustained upward momentum.

RSI Overbought: 71.5 indicates the stock is in overbought territory—momentum is strong but a pullback is likely.

Volume Stable: Current volume (8.12L) is slightly below 1-week average (8.91L), showing consistent interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Attractive: P/E of 10.2 vs industry average of 14.3 and PEG of 0.34—undervalued with growth potential.

Strong Efficiency: ROCE 14.9%, ROE 15.2%—solid capital deployment.

Healthy Dividend: Yield of 2.80% adds cushion for holding periods.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.12 supports financial stability.

Profit Volatility: PAT rose from ₹230 Cr to ₹388 Cr, but Qtr Profit Var is −35.6%—signals inconsistency.

Institutional Sentiment: FII reduced (−0.80%), DII increased (+0.21%)—mixed but slightly bullish.

🧠 Analyst Sentiment

Forecasts suggest a long-term upside target of ₹1,148 in 2025 and ₹1,461 by 2027

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. However, recent commentary highlights concerns about earnings growth slowing, which may cap short-term upside

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.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹1,000–₹1,020: Ideal pullback zone near 21-DMA and below RSI 65. Entry only if MACD remains positive and RSI cools below 60.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹1,140–₹1,165: First resistance zone aligned with broker targets. Exit if RSI crosses 75 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹1,020 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

GESHIP (Great Eastern Shipping) offers a technically strong and fundamentally undervalued swing setup. While RSI is overheated and earnings volatility is a concern, the low P/E, strong ROCE, and MACD strength make it suitable for short-term trades with tight risk control. Entry on a mild dip offers better risk-reward.

Want me to prep a filtered basket with PEG < 0.5, ROCE > 15%, and MACD > 10 for higher-conviction swing setups?

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stocks-buy.com

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simplywall.st

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