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GRAVITA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:29 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code GRAVITA Market Cap 10,404 Cr. Current Price 1,407 ₹ High / Low 2,170 ₹
Stock P/E 34.6 Book Value 231 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.45 % ROCE 21.4 %
ROE 18.5 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,585 ₹ DMA 200 1,695 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.10 % Chg in DII Hold -0.16 % PAT Qtr 72.2 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 87.2 Cr.
RSI 31.0 MACD -56.9 Volume 1,95,955 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,22,921
Low price 1,380 ₹ High price 2,170 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.51 Debt to equity 0.11
52w Index 3.49 % Qtr Profit Var 111 % EPS 40.8 ₹ Industry PE 16.3

📊 Gravita India shows moderate swing trade potential. The RSI at 31.0 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-56.9) remains negative, suggesting weak momentum. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 21.4% and ROE at 18.5%, supported by a low debt-to-equity ratio (0.11). Valuation is slightly stretched with a P/E of 34.6 compared to industry average (16.3), but PEG ratio of 0.51 suggests growth is reasonably priced. The optimal entry price would be near support around 1,380–1,400 ₹. If already holding, consider exiting near resistance around 1,580–1,600 ₹ unless momentum improves.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (21.4%) and ROE (18.5%) highlight efficiency
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.11) ensures financial stability
  • EPS of 40.8 ₹ supports earnings visibility
  • FII holdings increased by 1.10%, showing foreign investor confidence
  • PEG ratio of 0.51 indicates growth is reasonably priced

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E ratio (34.6) much higher than industry average (16.3)
  • Weak technical indicators: RSI oversold, MACD negative
  • Price trading below both 50 DMA (1,585 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,695 ₹)
  • Quarterly profit decline (PAT down from 87.2 Cr. to 72.2 Cr.)

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variation shows decline
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.16%), reflecting reduced domestic investor confidence

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth of 111% year-on-year
  • FII holdings increased significantly (+1.10%)
  • Strong 52-week performance (3.49%) despite recent weakness

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 16.3, much lower than Gravita’s 34.6, suggesting overvaluation
  • Recycling and metals sector remains cyclical but benefits from sustainability demand

🔎 Conclusion

Gravita India is financially stable with strong efficiency ratios and foreign investor support, but technical weakness and valuation concerns limit swing trade attractiveness. Entry around 1,380–1,400 ₹ is optimal, with exit near 1,580–1,600 ₹ if resistance holds. Long-term investors may continue holding due to sector resilience, while swing traders should remain cautious until momentum indicators improve.

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