TRIVENI - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:16 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.3

📊 Core Financials Breakdown

Profitability

ROCE: 9.01% and ROE: 8.32% — below industry benchmarks, indicating modest capital efficiency.

EPS: ₹9.96, but quarterly PAT plunged from ₹175 Cr. to ₹0.46 Cr. — a staggering 98.5% drop, raising concerns about earnings volatility.

Debt-to-equity: 0.55 — moderate leverage, acceptable but worth monitoring.

Dividend Yield: 0.70% — modest, offering some passive income.

Institutional Sentiment

FII holdings increased (+0.64%), while DII holdings declined (-0.62%) — mixed sentiment.

💰 Valuation Metrics

Metric Value Insight

P/E Ratio 36.0 High compared to industry average (19.1) — suggests overvaluation.

P/B Ratio ~2.53 Reasonable for a diversified industrial firm.

PEG Ratio -2.61 Negative — reflects erratic or declining earnings growth.

Intrinsic Value ~₹320–₹340 (est.) Current price of ₹359 is slightly above fair value.

🧠 Business Model & Competitive Edge

Core Operations: Sugar manufacturing, power cogeneration, water treatment, and defense engineering.

Strengths

Diversified revenue streams across cyclical and infrastructure sectors.

Long-term CAGR of 78.9% over 3 years and 676.3% over 5 years

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Challenges

Recent earnings collapse and bearish long-term trend

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Trading near 52-week low — potential value trap if fundamentals don’t recover.

📈 Entry Zone & Technicals

DMA 50: ₹358, DMA 200: ₹382 — price is below long-term average, signaling weakness.

RSI: 55.0 — neutral zone.

MACD: 1.71 — mild bullish crossover.

📌 Entry Zone: ₹320–₹340 — ideal for accumulation if earnings stabilize.

🕰️ Long-Term Holding Guidance

2025 Target: ₹370–₹420

2026–2030 Target: ₹520–₹650 (conditional on earnings recovery and margin expansion)

Holding Strategy: Suitable for long-term investors with moderate risk appetite. Accumulate cautiously and monitor quarterly results for signs of turnaround.

You can explore Triveni’s full fundamental analysis or review long-term price targets and technical levels for deeper insights

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