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TRIVENI - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.3

Last Updated Time : 25 May 26, 01:36 am

Fundamental Rating: 3.3

Stock Code TRIVENI Market Cap 8,235 Cr. Current Price 377 ₹ High / Low 468 ₹
Stock P/E 26.0 Book Value 141 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.66 % ROCE 9.01 %
ROE 8.32 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 387 ₹ DMA 200 378 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.48 % Chg in DII Hold -0.30 % PAT Qtr 109 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 31.9 Cr.
RSI 43.3 MACD -5.21 Volume 2,42,648 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,53,011
Low price 318 ₹ High price 468 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.89 Debt to equity 0.17
52w Index 39.2 % Qtr Profit Var 92.0 % EPS 13.7 ₹ Industry PE 13.6

📊 Core Financials

Revenue Growth: PAT improved (₹109 Cr vs ₹31.9 Cr), showing strong YoY growth, though quarterly variation (+92%) may be volatile.

Profit Margins: Margins modest, reflecting cyclical sugar and engineering business.

Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity 0.17, low leverage.

Cash Flows: Positive operating cash flows, stable financial position.

Return Metrics: ROCE 9.01%, ROE 8.32% — moderate efficiency and shareholder returns.

💹 Valuation Indicators

P/E Ratio: 26.0, above industry average (13.6), indicating premium valuation.

P/B Ratio: ~2.67 (Price ₹377 / Book Value ₹141), moderate.

PEG Ratio: -1.89, negative due to inconsistent earnings growth.

Intrinsic Value: Fair value closer to ₹340–350, current price slightly overvalued.

Dividend Yield: 0.66%, modest.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

Operates in sugar, distillery, power generation, and engineering solutions.

Competitive edge: diversified portfolio, strong presence in sugar and allied industries.

Challenges: cyclical demand, commodity price volatility, and regulatory risks.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

Entry Zone: ₹340–350 (value zone near intrinsic).

Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking exposure to sugar and engineering growth, but only at lower valuations.

✅ Positive

PAT surged YoY (₹109 Cr vs ₹31.9 Cr).

Debt-to-equity low at 0.17.

FII holdings increased (+0.48%).

52-week performance up 39.2%.

⚠️ Limitation

ROCE (9.01%) and ROE (8.32%) relatively weak.

PEG ratio negative (-1.89).

Valuation stretched (P/E 26.0 vs industry 13.6).

🚨 Company Negative News

RSI at 43.3 indicates weak momentum.

MACD negative (-5.21), showing bearish technical trend.

DII holdings decreased (-0.30%).

🌟 Company Positive News

PAT growth momentum strong.

Strong FII confidence (+0.48%).

Technical support near DMA 200 (₹378).

🏭 Industry

Sugar and engineering industry driven by commodity cycles, ethanol blending, and infrastructure demand.

Industry PE ~13.6, TRIVENI trades at premium.

Growth drivers: government ethanol policies, renewable energy, and industrial expansion.

📌 Conclusion

TRIVENI is a moderately strong diversified stock with improving profits, low debt, and exposure to sugar and engineering. However, valuations are stretched, and efficiency ratios remain modest. Entry advisable near ₹340–350. Long-term holding suitable for investors seeking exposure to sugar, ethanol, and engineering growth, provided they enter at value levels.

Would you like me to compare TRIVENI directly with Balrampur Chini and Shree Renuka Sugars to highlight relative strengths and valuations?

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