GPPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is hovering near both 50 DMA (₹156) and 200 DMA (₹160), suggesting a base-building phase with potential for breakout.

MACD Mildly Positive: At 1.18, MACD shows early signs of momentum but needs confirmation.

RSI Neutral: 55.8 indicates balanced strength—neither overbought nor oversold.

Volume Drop: Current volume (17.37L) is well below 1-week average (40.08L), suggesting reduced participation—watch for volume surge.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Attractive: P/E of 19.5 vs industry average of 25.6 and PEG of 0.73—undervalued with growth potential.

Strong Efficiency: ROCE 24.9%, ROE 19.0%—excellent capital deployment.

High Dividend Yield: 5.14% adds cushion for holding periods.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.03 supports financial stability.

Profit Stability: PAT dipped slightly from ₹109 Cr to ₹101 Cr (−3.74%)—still solid.

Institutional Sentiment: FII flat (+0.03%), DII reduced (−0.85%)—mixed but not alarming.

📈 Analyst Sentiment

According to Investing.com, the average 12-month price target is ₹150.6, with a high estimate of ₹186. Meanwhile, DailyBulls projects a bullish trajectory with mid-year 2025 targets of ₹164.14 and year-end targets of ₹180.17, assuming favorable macro conditions.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹152–₹155: Ideal pullback zone near 50 DMA. Entry only if MACD remains positive and RSI holds above 50 with volume pickup.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹178–₹186: First resistance zone aligned with year-end targets. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹148 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GPPL (Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd) offers a value-driven swing setup with strong ROCE, high dividend yield, and attractive PEG. While volume is soft and momentum is early-stage, the technical base and fundamental strength support a short-term trade. Entry near ₹152 with confirmation offers a favorable risk-reward, and exit near ₹180–₹186 is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

Want me to prep a filtered basket with PEG < 1, ROCE > 20%, and MACD > 5 for tighter swing setups?

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