GPPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.2
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.2
| Stock Code | GPPL | Market Cap | 8,807 Cr. | Current Price | 182 ₹ | High / Low | 200 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 20.5 | Book Value | 45.0 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 4.50 % | ROCE | 24.9 % |
| ROE | 19.0 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 181 ₹ | DMA 200 | 169 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.34 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.52 % | PAT Qtr | 126 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 101 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.1 | MACD | 0.07 | Volume | 6,68,043 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 21,74,507 |
| Low price | 121 ₹ | High price | 200 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.77 | Debt to equity | 0.02 |
| 52w Index | 77.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 37.8 % | EPS | 9.56 ₹ | Industry PE | 24.7 |
Analysis: Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd (GPPL) is trading at ₹182, close to its 50 DMA (₹181) and comfortably above its 200 DMA (₹169), showing medium-term strength. RSI at 47.1 indicates neutrality, while MACD at 0.07 suggests mild bullish momentum. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (19.0%), supported by very low debt-to-equity (0.02). The company offers a high dividend yield of 4.50%, making it attractive for investors. With a P/E of 20.5 compared to industry average of 24.7, the stock is fairly valued and a good candidate for swing trading.
Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹178–₹182, near support levels.
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near ₹195–₹200 resistance zone, or trail profits if momentum continues beyond ₹200.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (19.0%) reflect efficient capital use.
- 💳 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) ensures financial stability.
- 💰 High dividend yield (4.50%) provides attractive investor returns.
- 📊 Quarterly PAT growth from ₹101 Cr. to ₹126 Cr. (+37.8%).
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Trading volume lower than average, suggesting reduced market participation.
- 🔄 DII holding decreased (-0.52%), showing reduced domestic investor confidence.
- 📉 Stock near 52-week high (₹200), limiting upside potential.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in DII holding may weigh on sentiment.
- ⚠️ Neutral RSI suggests limited immediate momentum.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📊 FII holding increased (+0.34%), showing foreign investor confidence.
- 🏭 Strong quarterly earnings momentum supports valuation strength.
- 📈 Technical support at DMA levels provides stability for swing trades.
🏗️ Industry
- 🚢 Operates in port and logistics sector, benefiting from rising trade and infrastructure demand.
- 📈 Industry PE of 24.7 suggests moderate valuation compared to GPPL’s fair P/E of 20.5.
- 🌍 Sector growth supported by global shipping demand but sensitive to trade cycles and regulations.
📝 Conclusion
GPPL is a good swing trade candidate. Entry near ₹178–₹182 offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, with exit near ₹195–₹200. Strong fundamentals, dividend yield, and low debt support stability, but reduced DII interest and proximity to 52-week highs require cautious trading. Traders should use strict stop-loss levels around ₹172 to manage risk.
Would you like me to also prepare a sector outlook (shipping, logistics, and port infrastructure trends) so you can see how GPPL’s performance aligns with industry cycles?