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LUPIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 4.3

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

Here’s the structured swing trade analysis for Lupin (LUPIN) based on the provided parameters

Swing Trade Rating: 4.3

Stock Code LUPIN Market Cap 1,06,647 Cr. Current Price 2,327 ₹ High / Low 2,494 ₹
Stock P/E 17.7 Book Value 659 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.52 % ROCE 26.6 %
ROE 22.2 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,282 ₹ DMA 200 2,185 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.20 % Chg in DII Hold -0.26 % PAT Qtr 1,797 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,241 Cr.
RSI 59.0 MACD -0.79 Volume 9,55,815 Avg Vol 1Wk 7,22,645
Low price 1,837 ₹ High price 2,494 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.12 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 74.6 % Qtr Profit Var 39.2 % EPS 139 ₹ Industry PE 32.1

📊 Lupin is trading at ₹2,327, above both 50 DMA (₹2,282) and 200 DMA (₹2,185), confirming bullish momentum. RSI at 59.0 indicates neutral-to-positive strength, while MACD (-0.79) shows mild consolidation. Volumes (9.55L) are higher than weekly averages (7.22L), reflecting strong participation. Valuations are attractive (P/E 17.7 vs industry 32.1), supported by robust quarterly PAT growth (₹1,241 Cr → ₹1,797 Cr). Debt-to-equity is very low at 0.04, and ROCE (26.6%) and ROE (22.2%) remain excellent.

💡 Optimal Entry: ₹2,300–₹2,320 (near 50 DMA support zone)

🚪 Exit if Holding: Profit-taking zone around ₹2,460–₹2,480; Stop-loss below ₹2,280

✅ Positive

  • Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
  • Strong quarterly PAT growth (₹1,241 Cr → ₹1,797 Cr)
  • Excellent ROCE (26.6%) and ROE (22.2%)
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.04)
  • FII holdings increased (+0.20%)
  • Attractive valuation (P/E 17.7 vs industry 32.1)

⚠️ Limitation

  • MACD (-0.79) indicates mild consolidation
  • DII holdings declined (-0.26%)
  • Stock trading near 52-week high (₹2,494), limiting upside potential
  • PEG ratio (0.12) suggests limited growth relative to earnings

📉 Company Negative News

  • Domestic institutional selling pressure (-0.26%)
  • Resistance near 52-week high may cap upside

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation (+39.2%) highlights strong operational improvement
  • EPS of ₹139 supports earnings visibility
  • FII confidence with increased holdings

🏭 Industry

  • Pharma sector P/E at 32.1, Lupin trades at a discount (P/E 17.7)
  • Sector outlook remains defensive with long-term demand stability

🔎 Conclusion

Lupin is a strong candidate for swing trading with attractive valuation, robust fundamentals, and supportive technicals. Entry near ₹2,300–₹2,320 offers a favorable risk-reward setup, while exits should be considered around ₹2,460–₹2,480. Suitable for short-term momentum trades with strong upside potential, though caution is advised near resistance levels.

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