LUPIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.3
| Stock Code | LUPIN | Market Cap | 97,038 Cr. | Current Price | 2,124 ₹ | High / Low | 2,403 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 18.2 | Book Value | 596 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.57 % | ROCE | 21.9 % |
| ROE | 17.8 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 2,035 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,992 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.75 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.01 % | PAT Qtr | 869 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 2,128 Cr. |
| RSI | 64.0 | MACD | 24.6 | Volume | 5,29,058 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 6,28,742 |
| Low price | 1,774 ₹ | High price | 2,403 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.11 | Debt to equity | 0.04 |
| 52w Index | 55.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 7.55 % | EPS | 126 ₹ | Industry PE | 30.6 |
📊 Lupin shows strong fundamentals and technical momentum, making it a fairly good candidate for swing trading. The stock is currently trading above both its 50 DMA (2,035 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,992 ₹), confirming bullish strength. RSI at 64 indicates moderate momentum but nearing overbought levels. Optimal entry would be around 2,030–2,050 ₹ near support. If already holding, exit should be considered near 2,350–2,400 ₹, close to resistance levels.
✅ Positive
- 📈 ROCE of 21.9% and ROE of 17.8% reflect strong operational efficiency.
- 💰 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 shows a very healthy balance sheet.
- 📊 PEG ratio of 0.11 highlights undervaluation relative to growth prospects.
- 📉 Trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms bullish technical trend.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from 2,128 Cr. to 869 Cr., showing earnings volatility.
- 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.75%), suggesting reduced foreign investor confidence.
- 📊 RSI at 64 is close to overbought territory, limiting upside potential.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in quarterly profits raises concerns about earnings consistency.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Domestic institutional investors increased holdings (+1.01%), showing confidence in the company.
- 💊 Strong fundamentals with low debt and efficient capital utilization.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE at 30.6 vs. Lupin’s PE of 18.2 indicates undervaluation compared to peers.
- 💊 Pharma sector remains defensive and resilient, offering stability in volatile markets.
📌 Conclusion
Overall, Lupin is a solid swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals and bullish technical signals. Entry around 2,030–2,050 ₹ is optimal, while exit should be considered near 2,350–2,400 ₹. Traders should monitor earnings performance and foreign investor sentiment closely to manage risk.
Would you like me to also prepare a side-by-side swing trade comparison with another pharma stock like Cipla or Sun Pharma to see relative strength?
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