LUPIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.3
| Stock Code | LUPIN | Market Cap | 99,983 Cr. | Current Price | 2,187 ₹ | High / Low | 2,249 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 18.7 | Book Value | 596 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.55 % | ROCE | 21.9 % |
| ROE | 17.8 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 2,115 ₹ | DMA 200 | 2,033 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.00 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.98 % | PAT Qtr | 869 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 2,128 Cr. |
| RSI | 58.9 | MACD | 8.85 | Volume | 13,28,675 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 8,98,035 |
| Low price | 1,774 ₹ | High price | 2,249 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.11 | Debt to equity | 0.04 |
| 52w Index | 86.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 7.55 % | EPS | 126 ₹ | Industry PE | 29.2 |
📊 Lupin (LUPIN) shows strong fundamentals and favorable technical signals for swing trading. The stock trades at ₹2,187, above both its 50 DMA (₹2,115) and 200 DMA (₹2,033), reflecting bullish momentum. RSI at 58.9 indicates healthy strength without being overbought, while MACD at 8.85 confirms positive momentum. Valuation is attractive with a P/E of 18.7 compared to industry average of 29.2, supported by strong ROE (17.8%) and ROCE (21.9%). Despite sequential PAT decline, EPS of ₹126 and low debt-to-equity (0.04) provide confidence. Institutional activity shows mixed signals with FII buying (+1.00%) and DII selling (-0.98%).
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹2,150–2,170 (near support zone, slightly below current price).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exit near ₹2,240–2,260 (resistance zone close to recent high). If price falls below ₹2,100, apply stop-loss to protect capital.
Positive
- 📈 Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing bullish strength.
- 💹 Strong ROE (17.8%) and ROCE (21.9%).
- 📊 Attractive valuation (P/E 18.7 vs industry 29.2).
- 💰 EPS of ₹126 supports long-term valuation strength.
- ⚡ Very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.04).
- 🏦 FII holdings increased (+1.00%).
Limitation
- ⚠️ Sequential PAT decline (₹869 Cr. vs ₹2,128 Cr.).
- 📉 DII holdings decreased (-0.98%).
- 📉 Dividend yield is modest (0.55%).
Company Negative News
- 📉 PAT dropped significantly compared to previous quarter.
- ⚠️ Domestic institutional investors reduced stake.
Company Positive News
- 📈 EPS strength (₹126) and strong profitability ratios.
- 🏦 FII accumulation signals global investor confidence.
Industry
- 🏭 Pharma sector average PE is 29.2, Lupin trades at a discount (18.7).
- 📊 Sector demand remains resilient, supporting long-term growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ Lupin is a strong candidate for swing trading with attractive valuation, robust fundamentals, and positive technical signals. Entry near ₹2,150–2,170 offers favorable risk-reward, while exits should be targeted near ₹2,240–2,260. Despite short-term profit decline, strong ROE, ROCE, and discounted valuation make Lupin appealing for disciplined swing traders. Apply strict stop-loss below ₹2,100 to safeguard capital.