CUB - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📈 Current Price: ₹259

📊 RSI: 73.2 (Overbought zone)

📈 MACD: 8.19 (Bullish momentum)

📈 DMA 50 / 200: ₹219 / ₹198 (Price well above both averages)

📈 Volume: 4,06,98,943 vs 1Wk Avg 96,80,599 (Surge in interest)

💰 Market Cap: ₹19,182 Cr

📈 Qtr Profit Growth: +15.2%

📉 FII Holding: -1.42%

📈 DII Holding: +1.52%

📌 Optimal Entry Price

🎯 Entry Range: ₹240–₹250 (Wait for pullback from overbought zone)

📤 Exit Strategy

💡 Exit if: Price approaches ₹270–₹275 or RSI remains above 70 with declining volume.

✅ Positive

• Price trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
• MACD and volume indicate strong bullish momentum
• EPS of ₹16.3 and consistent profit growth
• DII holding increased significantly (+1.52%)
• PEG ratio of 1.14 suggests reasonable valuation for growth

⚠️ Limitation

• RSI above 70 indicates overbought conditions
• ROCE (6.86%) is modest for the banking sector
• High debt-to-equity ratio (7.22) raises leverage concerns
• FII holding declined (-1.42%)

📰 Company Negative News

• FII holding dropped significantly
• RSI suggests limited upside without a correction

📈 Company Positive News

• Quarterly PAT increased from ₹306 Cr to ₹329 Cr
• DII holding rose, indicating domestic institutional confidence

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E: 14.6 (slightly lower than stock P/E)
• Banking sector remains sensitive to interest rate cycles and credit growth trends

🔚 Conclusion

CUB shows strong technical momentum and improving fundamentals, making it a viable swing trade candidate. However, RSI suggests caution due to overbought conditions. Entry near ₹240–₹250 on pullback is ideal, with an exit target around ₹270–₹275. A stop-loss below ₹235 is recommended to manage downside risk.

I can also monitor RSI and MACD trends for CUB to alert you when a better entry window opens.