NATIONALUM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.4
| Stock Code | NATIONALUM | Market Cap | 68,084 Cr. | Current Price | 371 ₹ | High / Low | 432 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 11.0 | Book Value | 109 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.83 % | ROCE | 43.7 % |
| ROE | 32.6 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 326 ₹ | DMA 200 | 251 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 3.45 % | Chg in DII Hold | -3.10 % | PAT Qtr | 1,601 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,433 Cr. |
| RSI | 55.3 | MACD | 18.4 | Volume | 2,89,40,296 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,58,02,258 |
| Low price | 138 ₹ | High price | 432 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.51 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 79.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 1.14 % | EPS | 33.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.4 |
📊 NATIONALUM shows strong potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 371 ₹, trading well above its 50 DMA (326 ₹) and 200 DMA (251 ₹), confirming bullish momentum. RSI at 55.3 suggests balanced strength, while MACD at 18.4 indicates continued positive momentum. Fundamentals are robust with ROCE at 43.7% and ROE at 32.6%. Valuation is attractive (P/E 11.0 vs industry 27.4), and dividend yield of 2.83% adds investor appeal. Debt-free balance sheet further strengthens confidence, though reduced DII holdings and modest quarterly profit variation (+1.14%) temper enthusiasm.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 360–370 ₹ (near short-term support)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 420–430 ₹ (near resistance zone), or exit if price falls below 350 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 Attractive valuation with P/E of 11.0 vs industry 27.4.
- 📈 Strong ROCE (43.7%) and ROE (32.6%).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 2.83% supports investor sentiment.
- 📊 EPS of 33.6 ₹ reflects earnings strength.
- 📦 Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.
- 📈 FII holding increased by 3.45%, showing foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- ⚠️ DII holding decreased by -3.10%, showing reduced domestic participation.
- 📉 Quarterly profit variation at only +1.14% indicates limited earnings momentum.
- 🔻 Volume below weekly average, showing reduced trading activity.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Domestic institutional investors reduced stake (-3.10%).
- 📉 Modest quarterly profit growth despite strong fundamentals.
Company Positive News
- 📊 PAT improved (1,433 Cr. → 1,601 Cr.).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 2.83% adds investor confidence.
- 📈 FII inflows (+3.45%) reflect foreign confidence in the company.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 27.4 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Metals and mining sector benefits from rising commodity demand and infrastructure growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ NATIONALUM is a fundamentally strong, debt-free company with attractive valuations and bullish technical signals, making it a good candidate for swing trading. Entry near 360–370 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with exit targets around 420–430 ₹. Caution advised if price breaks below 350 ₹, as momentum could weaken.