NATIONALUM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.0
| Stock Code | NATIONALUM | Market Cap | 69,277 Cr. | Current Price | 377 ₹ | High / Low | 432 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 11.2 | Book Value | 109 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.79 % | ROCE | 43.7 % |
| ROE | 32.6 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 359 ₹ | DMA 200 | 283 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 3.45 % | Chg in DII Hold | -3.10 % | PAT Qtr | 1,601 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,433 Cr. |
| RSI | 51.0 | MACD | 8.35 | Volume | 1,11,87,975 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,83,66,969 |
| Low price | 138 ₹ | High price | 432 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.52 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 81.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 1.14 % | EPS | 33.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 16.0 |
Analysis: NATIONALUM trades at 377 ₹, above both its 50 DMA (359 ₹) and 200 DMA (283 ₹), reflecting strong bullish momentum. RSI at 51.0 indicates balanced strength, while MACD (8.35) confirms positive momentum. The P/E of 11.2 is well below the industry average (16.0), suggesting undervaluation. Fundamentals are excellent with ROCE (43.7%), ROE (32.6%), and zero debt. Dividend yield of 2.79% adds investor appeal. Quarterly PAT improved (1,601 Cr. vs 1,433 Cr.), supporting earnings strength. Overall, NATIONALUM is a strong candidate for swing trading with good upside potential.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 365–370 ₹, near the 50 DMA support zone.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 420–430 ₹ (resistance zone close to 52-week high). Place a stop-loss around 355 ₹ to protect against downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (43.7%) and ROE (32.6%) highlight efficiency.
- Zero debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial stability.
- P/E of 11.2 vs industry 16.0 suggests undervaluation.
- Dividend yield of 2.79% provides steady income.
- EPS of 33.6 ₹ reflects strong earnings power.
⚠️ Limitation
- DII holdings decreased (-3.10%), showing reduced domestic confidence.
- PEG ratio of 0.52 indicates moderate growth visibility.
- Stock is near its 52-week high, limiting immediate upside.
📉 Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased significantly (-3.10%).
- Quarterly profit variation (+1.14%) is modest despite strong fundamentals.
📈 Company Positive News
- FII holdings increased (+3.45%), showing strong foreign investor confidence.
- PAT improved (1,601 Cr. vs 1,433 Cr.), reflecting earnings growth.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 16.0, making NATIONALUM relatively undervalued.
- Metals and mining sector benefits from global demand but faces commodity price volatility.
🔎 Conclusion
NATIONALUM is fundamentally strong, undervalued, and technically bullish, making it a good swing trade candidate. Entry near 365–370 ₹ is safer, with exit around 420–430 ₹. Stop-loss at 355 ₹ is recommended. Strong efficiency, zero debt, and foreign investor confidence support upside potential, though reduced domestic holdings and proximity to 52-week highs warrant caution.