NATIONALUM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.3
| Stock Code | NATIONALUM | Market Cap | 74,870 Cr. | Current Price | 408 ₹ | High / Low | 445 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 12.9 | Book Value | 119 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.57 % | ROCE | 39.2 % |
| ROE | 29.2 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 396 ₹ | DMA 200 | 313 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 2.60 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.60 % | PAT Qtr | 1,718 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,601 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.8 | MACD | 9.05 | Volume | 1,53,97,935 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,26,29,982 |
| Low price | 149 ₹ | High price | 445 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.23 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 87.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | -17.4 % | EPS | 31.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 20.4 |
Analysis: NATIONALUM is trading at 408 ₹, above both 50 DMA (396 ₹) and 200 DMA (313 ₹), showing strong technical momentum. RSI at 47.8 indicates the stock is not overbought, leaving room for further upside. MACD is positive at 9.05, supporting bullish sentiment. Fundamentals are robust with low P/E (12.9 vs industry 20.4), excellent ROCE (39.2%) and ROE (29.2%), and a healthy dividend yield of 2.57%. Debt-to-equity is 0.00, reflecting a debt-free balance sheet. However, quarterly profit variation is negative (-17.4%), and DII holdings have decreased (-1.60%), which may temper short-term enthusiasm.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 395–400 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 440–445 ₹ resistance zone or if RSI approaches 65–70.
✅ Positive
- Strong fundamentals with ROCE 39.2% and ROE 29.2%
- Low P/E (12.9 vs industry 20.4), undervalued compared to peers
- Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00)
- Dividend yield of 2.57% adds investor appeal
- FII holdings increased significantly (+2.60%)
⚠️ Limitation
- Quarterly profit variation negative (-17.4%)
- DII holdings reduced (-1.60%)
- Stock trading close to 52-week high, limiting short-term upside
📉 Company Negative News
- Sequential profit decline (PAT 1,718 Cr. vs 1,601 Cr.)
- Domestic institutional investors reduced exposure
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong EPS at 31.7 ₹
- FII holdings increased sharply (+2.60%)
- Stock trading above DMA levels, showing momentum
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 20.4, higher than NATIONALUM’s 12.9 (stock undervalued vs peers)
- Aluminium sector outlook remains positive with global demand recovery
🔎 Conclusion
NATIONALUM is a strong swing trade candidate with excellent fundamentals, debt-free status, and undervaluation compared to peers. Entry is favorable near 395–400 ₹, while profit booking is advised around 440–445 ₹. Traders should monitor quarterly earnings and institutional flows to manage risk effectively.