IOC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | IOC | Market Cap | 2,01,240 Cr. | Current Price | 143 ₹ | High / Low | 189 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 6.16 | Book Value | 133 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 4.90 % | ROCE | 7.26 % |
| ROE | 6.41 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 165 ₹ | DMA 200 | 158 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.88 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.42 % | PAT Qtr | 12,126 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 7,610 Cr. |
| RSI | 25.0 | MACD | -6.72 | Volume | 2,16,28,449 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,27,72,742 |
| Low price | 120 ₹ | High price | 189 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.28 | Debt to equity | 0.74 |
| 52w Index | 32.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 420 % | EPS | 23.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 13.1 |
📊 IOC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 25.0 indicates oversold conditions, while the MACD (-6.72) confirms bearish sentiment. The price is trading well below both the 50 DMA (165 ₹) and 200 DMA (158 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. Fundamentally, the company is strong with low P/E (6.16 vs industry 13.1), decent EPS (23.2 ₹), and a high dividend yield (4.90%). Quarterly profits surged (PAT up from 7,610 Cr. to 12,126 Cr.), showing strong earnings momentum. However, weak ROCE (7.26%) and ROE (6.41%) limit efficiency, and institutional flows are mixed with FII inflows (+0.88%) but DII outflows (-0.42%).
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 140–145 ₹, near current levels, with confirmation of reversal signals.
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 160–165 ₹ if a rebound occurs, or cut losses if the price falls below 135 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- Low P/E (6.16) compared to industry average (13.1).
- Strong quarterly profit growth (PAT up 420%).
- Dividend yield of 4.90% provides consistent income support.
- EPS at 23.2 ₹ supports earnings strength.
Limitation
- Price trading below 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms bearish trend.
- Weak ROCE (7.26%) and ROE (6.41%) compared to peers.
- PEG ratio (-0.28) indicates growth concerns.
- 52-week index gain is modest (32.9%).
Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased (-0.42%), showing reduced domestic confidence.
- Weak technical indicators (RSI, MACD) suggest continued selling pressure.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit surged from 7,610 Cr. to 12,126 Cr.
- FII inflows (+0.88%) show foreign investor confidence.
- Strong dividend yield attracts long-term investors.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 13.1 is higher than IOC’s 6.16, suggesting IOC is undervalued relative to peers.
- Oil and energy sector remains cyclical, influenced by global crude prices and government policies.
Conclusion
✅ IOC is a moderately good candidate for swing trading, supported by strong earnings growth, undervaluation relative to peers, and high dividend yield. However, weak technicals and modest efficiency limit short-term upside. Traders may enter around 140–145 ₹ with momentum confirmation and target exits near 160–165 ₹. If already holding, monitor closely and protect downside below 135 ₹.