IOC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | IOC | Market Cap | 2,43,988 Cr. | Current Price | 173 ₹ | High / Low | 174 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 10.7 | Book Value | 133 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.89 % | ROCE | 7.26 % |
| ROE | 6.41 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 162 ₹ | DMA 200 | 154 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.88 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.42 % | PAT Qtr | 7,610 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 5,689 Cr. |
| RSI | 67.1 | MACD | 1.22 | Volume | 3,02,36,090 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,65,33,454 |
| Low price | 111 ₹ | High price | 174 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.48 | Debt to equity | 0.74 |
| 52w Index | 97.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | 1,016 % | EPS | 16.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 10.0 |
📊 IOC shows strong potential for swing trading. The stock is priced at ₹173, right near its 52-week high of ₹174, reflecting strong bullish momentum. Technical indicators (RSI 67.1, MACD positive) suggest continued strength, though RSI indicates the stock is approaching overbought territory. Fundamentals are stable with attractive dividend yield (2.89%), reasonable P/E (10.7 vs industry 10.0), and robust quarterly profit growth. However, modest ROE/ROCE and relatively high debt-to-equity ratio temper the outlook.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹162–165 (near 50 DMA support).
📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near ₹174–176 resistance levels, or maintain a stop-loss around ₹160.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT surged from ₹5,689 Cr. to ₹7,610 Cr. (+1,016%).
- EPS of ₹16.6 reflects solid profitability.
- Dividend yield of 2.89% provides steady shareholder returns.
- Stock trading above both 50 DMA (₹162) and 200 DMA (₹154), confirming bullish trend.
- FII holdings increased (+0.88%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- ROCE (7.26%) and ROE (6.41%) are relatively weak compared to peers.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 indicates moderate leverage risk.
- RSI at 67.1 suggests the stock is nearing overbought territory.
- PEG ratio of -0.48 indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.
📉 Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased (-0.42%), reflecting reduced domestic institutional support.
- Stock trading at 52-week high may limit immediate upside potential.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth (+1,016%) boosts sentiment.
- FII inflows (+0.88%) reflect foreign investor confidence.
- High trading volume (3.02 Cr.) above weekly average shows strong participation.
🏦 Industry
- Industry P/E at 10.0 is in line with IOC’s 10.7, suggesting fair valuation.
- Oil & gas sector benefits from rising demand and government support, but remains sensitive to global crude price volatility.
🔎 Conclusion
IOC earns a swing trade rating of 4.1. Entry near ₹162–165 offers a favorable risk-reward setup, while profit booking should be considered near ₹174–176. Traders should remain cautious due to weak efficiency ratios and high debt, but strong profit growth, dividend yield, and bullish technicals support a positive swing trading outlook.