IOC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.4

⛽ IOC shows strong earnings momentum and bullish technicals. Entry near ₹160–₹164 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting near ₹170–₹175.

📈 Positive

• Quarterly PAT growth: ₹7,610 Cr. vs ₹5,689 Cr. — up 1,016%
• EPS ₹16.6 and P/E 10.4 — undervalued vs industry PE of 20.3
• MACD 4.61 and RSI 78.2 — strong bullish momentum
• Trading well above DMA 50 (₹152) and DMA 200 (₹145) — confirms uptrend
• Dividend yield 1.77% — decent income potential
• FII and DII holdings increased — rising institutional confidence

⚠️ Limitation

• ROCE 7.26% and ROE 6.41% — moderate capital efficiency
• PEG ratio -0.47 — unreliable growth valuation metric
• RSI 78.2 — overbought zone, risk of short-term correction
• Volume below weekly average — cooling short-term interest

🚫 Company Negative News

• Stock near 52-week high of ₹170 — resistance zone
• Overbought RSI may trigger profit booking

✅ Company Positive News

• Strong Q2 performance driven by refining margins and inventory gains
• Positive sentiment around energy demand and fuel consumption recovery
• Analysts maintain bullish targets above ₹175

🏭 Industry

• Oil & gas sector benefits from global energy demand, price stability, and infrastructure expansion
• IOC trades below industry PE (20.3) — offers relative value

🧾 Conclusion

• IOC is a technically strong and fundamentally undervalued swing candidate
• Best entry: ₹160–₹164 near breakout zone and DMA support
• If already held, exit near ₹170–₹175 — resistance zone and 52-week high
• Watch for RSI cooling below 70 and MACD continuation for re-entry

I can also compare IOC with other oil marketing companies to highlight stronger swing setups.