IOC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Strengths

MACD (0.72): Bullish crossover, indicating positive momentum.

Price > DMA50 (₹143) & DMA200 (₹142): Trend support confirmed.

EPS (₹11.3) and P/E (14.4): Reasonably valued vs. industry PE (17.4).

Dividend Yield (2.04%): Attractive for short-term holders.

Qtr Profit Var (+115%): Strong earnings rebound.

FII & DII Holding ↑: Institutional interest building.

Volume ≈ Avg Vol: Stable participation.

⚠️ Risks

RSI (65.5): Approaching overbought zone—watch for short-term pullback.

ROCE (7.26%) / ROE (6.41%): Moderate capital efficiency.

PEG Ratio (-0.65): Negative PEG suggests valuation distortion or inconsistent growth.

PAT Qtr ↓: Sequential decline from ₹7,264 Cr. to ₹5,689 Cr.

52w Index (50.8%): Mid-range, not near breakout or support extremes.

Debt-to-Equity (0.81): Acceptable for the sector, but worth monitoring.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹142–₹145

A pullback near DMA levels offers better margin of safety.

Entry should be confirmed with RSI cooling below 60 and MACD sustainment.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹155–₹160

Resistance zone with ~5–9% swing potential.

Stop Loss: ₹137

Below DMA200 and recent support; protects against downside risk.

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