IOC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | IOC | Market Cap | 2,00,959 Cr. | Current Price | 142 ₹ | High / Low | 189 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 6.15 | Book Value | 133 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 4.92 % | ROCE | 7.26 % |
| ROE | 6.41 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 150 ₹ | DMA 200 | 154 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.27 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.90 % | PAT Qtr | 12,126 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 7,610 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.4 | MACD | -1.68 | Volume | 98,07,640 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,37,52,534 |
| Low price | 130 ₹ | High price | 189 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.28 | Debt to equity | 0.74 |
| 52w Index | 20.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 420 % | EPS | 23.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.1 |
IOC shows strong earnings momentum with quarterly PAT rising sharply (12,126 Cr vs 7,610 Cr, +420%). Fundamentals are decent with EPS of 23.2 ₹, ROE (6.41%), and ROCE (7.26%). The dividend yield (4.92%) adds investor appeal. Valuation is attractive with a low P/E (6.15 vs industry 15.1). However, technical indicators show weakness: RSI (42.4) is bearish-neutral, MACD (-1.68) is negative, and the stock trades below both 50 DMA (150 ₹) and 200 DMA (154 ₹). Debt-to-equity (0.74) is moderate but worth monitoring. Overall, IOC is undervalued fundamentally but faces short-term technical pressure.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 135–140 ₹ (near support levels)
📤 Exit Strategy if Holding: Exit near 155–160 ₹ resistance zone, or if price falls below 130 ₹ support.
🌟 Positive
- Strong quarterly PAT growth (+420%).
- EPS at 23.2 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- Dividend yield of 4.92% provides steady income.
- FII holdings increased (+1.27%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing short-term weakness.
- ROE (6.41%) and ROCE (7.26%) are modest compared to peers.
- 52-week performance index at 20.5% indicates limited upside momentum.
📰 Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased (-0.90%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
- Stock remains well below 52-week high (189 ₹).
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profits surged significantly, boosting earnings outlook.
- Dividend yield nearly 5%, attractive for investors.
- FII holdings increased, reflecting foreign confidence.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 15.1, much higher than IOC’s 6.15, suggesting undervaluation.
- Energy sector demand remains strong, supporting long-term fundamentals.
✅ Conclusion
IOC is a fundamentally undervalued candidate for swing trading with strong profit growth and attractive dividend yield. However, technical weakness limits immediate upside. Entry near 135–140 ₹ offers a good risk-reward setup, with exit around 155–160 ₹. Traders should monitor institutional flows and price action near DMA levels to confirm reversal momentum.