IOC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s a structured swing trade analysis for Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) based on the provided parameters
Swing Trade Rating: 4.3
| Stock Code | IOC | Market Cap | 2,06,283 Cr. | Current Price | 146 ₹ | High / Low | 189 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 5.61 | Book Value | 145 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 4.79 % | ROCE | 17.5 % |
| ROE | 19.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 143 ₹ | DMA 200 | 150 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.27 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.90 % | PAT Qtr | 11,378 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 12,126 Cr. |
| RSI | 58.9 | MACD | 0.63 | Volume | 1,19,11,811 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,66,37,032 |
| Low price | 130 ₹ | High price | 189 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.09 | Debt to equity | 0.60 |
| 52w Index | 27.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 56.6 % | EPS | 26.1 ₹ | Industry PE | 5.37 |
📊 IOC shows strong potential for swing trading. The stock is trading above its 50 DMA (143 ₹) but slightly below its 200 DMA (150 ₹), reflecting short-term strength with medium-term resistance. RSI at 58.9 suggests healthy momentum, while MACD (0.63) indicates mild bullishness. Fundamentals are attractive with low P/E (5.61 vs industry 5.37), strong ROE (19.2%), ROCE (17.5%), and EPS (26.1 ₹). Dividend yield of 4.79% adds investor appeal. However, recent PAT decline (₹12,126 Cr. → ₹11,378 Cr.) and reduced DII holdings (-0.90%) raise caution.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 142–146 ₹ (near DMA support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider booking profits near 160–165 ₹ (resistance zone below recent high of 189 ₹). Use a stop-loss around 138 ₹ to manage risk.
Positive
- ✅ Low P/E (5.61) compared to industry average (5.37).
- ✅ Strong ROE (19.2%) and ROCE (17.5%).
- ✅ EPS at 26.1 ₹ supports earnings strength.
- ✅ Dividend yield of 4.79% adds investor confidence.
- ✅ Increase in FII holdings (+1.27%).
Limitation
- ⚠️ Stock trading slightly below 200 DMA, showing medium-term weakness.
- ⚠️ PAT declined sequentially (₹12,126 Cr. → ₹11,378 Cr.).
- ⚠️ Decline in DII holdings (-0.90%).
- ⚠️ PEG ratio (0.09) suggests limited growth prospects.
Company Negative News
- ❌ Sequential decline in PAT.
- ❌ Reduced DII participation.
Company Positive News
- ✅ Increase in FII holdings (+1.27%).
- ✅ Strong quarterly profit variation (+56.6%).
- ✅ Dividend yield supports investor sentiment.
Industry
- ⛽ Industry P/E at 5.37, close to IOC’s 5.61, suggesting fair valuation.
- 📈 Oil & gas sector benefits from energy demand but remains sensitive to global crude prices and regulatory changes.
Conclusion
🔎 IOC is a strong swing trade candidate with attractive valuation, solid fundamentals, and dividend support. Entry near ₹142–146 with exit around ₹160–165 is advisable. Risk management is essential due to medium-term resistance and reduced DII interest.
Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay or a peer benchmarking to refine the swing trade outlook?