TRIVENI - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:04 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Analysis: TRIVENI is trading at ₹374, slightly above both 50 DMA (₹358) and 200 DMA (₹370), showing short-term bullish alignment. RSI at 57.5 indicates healthy momentum, while MACD at 2.67 confirms mild positive bias. Current volume (3.1L) is below average (8.1L), suggesting weaker intraday participation. Fundamentals are modest with ROCE 9.01% and ROE 8.32%, though quarterly PAT surged significantly (+325%), improving sentiment.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹370–₹375 (near current levels with tight entry).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹385 (short target), ₹395 (extended target if momentum sustains).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹365 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹385–₹395 if momentum sustains. If RSI rises above 65 but volume remains weak, consider early exit. A break below ₹365 should trigger stop-loss.

Positive

• 📈 Trading above DMA 50 & 200 shows short-term bullish bias.
• 💰 Quarter Profit Var +325% highlights strong earnings recovery.
• 📊 EPS 12.1 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
• 🔥 Low Debt-to-Equity 0.17 indicates financial stability.

Limitation

• ⚠️ Volume below average reduces intraday conviction.
• 📉 Low ROCE 9.01% and ROE 8.32% reflect modest efficiency.
• 📊 PEG Ratio -2.25 signals poor growth vs valuation.
• 💡 High P/E 31.0 vs industry average (12.4), showing valuation premium.

Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding reduced (-0.51%), showing foreign investor caution.
• 📉 DII holding reduced (-0.52%), reflecting weaker domestic support.

Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT improved sharply from ₹0.46 Cr. to ₹31.9 Cr., showing earnings turnaround.

Industry

• 🌐 Sector trades at PE 12.4, much lower than TRIVENI’s valuation (31.0).
• 📊 Sector outlook stable, but TRIVENI trades at premium requiring momentum confirmation.

Conclusion

⚖️ TRIVENI is a moderate intraday candidate. Technicals show short-term bullish bias, but weak volume and modest fundamentals limit upside. Suitable for momentum scalps with strict stop-loss discipline rather than aggressive intraday positions.

Would you like me to extend this into a sugar & engineering sector basket overlay with peers like Balrampur Chini, Dwarikesh Sugar, and EID Parry to benchmark TRIVENI’s intraday setup across the industry?