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TRIVENI - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 11:43 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code TRIVENI Market Cap 7,395 Cr. Current Price 338 ₹ High / Low 468 ₹
Stock P/E 23.4 Book Value 141 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.74 % ROCE 9.01 %
ROE 8.32 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 370 ₹ DMA 200 371 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.26 % Chg in DII Hold 0.16 % PAT Qtr 109 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 31.9 Cr.
RSI 27.4 MACD -9.04 Volume 7,30,266 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,43,848
Low price 305 ₹ High price 468 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.69 Debt to equity 0.17
52w Index 20.3 % Qtr Profit Var 92.0 % EPS 13.7 ₹ Industry PE 11.1

📊 Analysis: TRIVENI shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential today. RSI at 27.4 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-9.04) remains bearish. Volume (7.3 lakh) is higher than the 1-week average (3.4 lakh), suggesting strong participation. The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (370 ₹) and 200 DMA (371 ₹), reflecting short- and medium-term weakness despite sharp improvement in quarterly profits.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: 335–340 ₹ (near current support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: 350 ₹ (first resistance), 365–370 ₹ (next resistance zone).

🛑 Stop-Loss: 325 ₹ (protective support).

📈 If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 335 ₹ with weakening momentum or volume. Protective exit below 325 ₹. Book partial profits near 350–370 ₹ if momentum sustains.


Positive

  • EPS at 13.7 ₹, ROE 8.32%, ROCE 9.01% show profitability.
  • Quarterly PAT surged (109 Cr. vs 31.9 Cr.), showing strong recovery.
  • FII holdings increased (+1.26%) and DII holdings also rose (+0.16%).
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.17 indicates low leverage.

Limitation

  • Stock trades below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
  • RSI oversold, limiting bullish strength.
  • MACD negative (-9.04), confirming bearish bias.
  • ROCE and ROE remain relatively weak compared to peers.

Company Negative News

  • PEG ratio (-1.69) indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.
  • Stock has fallen sharply from 52-week high of 468 ₹.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profits surged by 92%, showing operational recovery.
  • Institutional support increased, especially FII holdings.
  • Book value at 141 ₹ provides asset backing.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 11.1, while TRIVENI trades at 23.4, indicating premium valuation.
  • Sector remains cyclical, with demand linked to sugar, ethanol, and engineering businesses.

Conclusion

⚖️ TRIVENI earns a weak-to-moderate intraday rating (3.5). Oversold RSI and bearish MACD limit upside, though strong quarterly profit growth and increased FII support are positives. Best strategy: Buy near 335–340 ₹, target 350–370 ₹, and protect downside at 325 ₹. Intraday traders should remain cautious and book profits quickly.

Selva, TRIVENI looks technically weak but fundamentally improving. Would you like me to prepare a basket overlay comparing TRIVENI with Balrampur Chini, Dwarikesh Sugar, and Shree Renuka Sugars to see if intraday capital rotation favors TRIVENI or stronger sugar/ethanol sector peers?

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