BPCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | BPCL | Market Cap | 1,30,893 Cr. | Current Price | 302 ₹ | High / Low | 392 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 5.32 | Book Value | 211 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 5.80 % | ROCE | 19.6 % |
| ROE | 18.7 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 318 ₹ | DMA 200 | 333 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.11 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.04 % | PAT Qtr | 7,545 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 6,443 Cr. |
| RSI | 45.1 | MACD | -1.89 | Volume | 94,87,235 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,39,19,788 |
| Low price | 267 ₹ | High price | 392 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.41 | Debt to equity | 0.24 |
| 52w Index | 28.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 62.3 % | EPS | 53.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.1 |
Analysis: Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) shows strong fundamentals with ROCE at 19.6% and ROE at 18.7%. The company is moderately leveraged with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24. The current price of ₹302 is below both the 50 DMA (₹318) and 200 DMA (₹333), suggesting short-term weakness. RSI at 45.1 indicates mildly oversold conditions, while MACD is negative (-1.89), reflecting bearish momentum. However, the stock trades at a very low P/E of 5.32 compared to the industry average of 15.1, making it attractively valued. Strong quarterly PAT growth (+62.3%) and high dividend yield (5.80%) add to its appeal for swing traders.
Optimal Entry Price: ₹295–₹300 (near support zone).
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking near ₹325–₹335 resistance, with a stop-loss below ₹290.
✅ Positive
- Low P/E (5.32) compared to industry average (15.1), making it undervalued.
- Strong quarterly PAT growth from ₹6,443 Cr. to ₹7,545 Cr. (+62.3%).
- High dividend yield of 5.80% provides steady returns.
- FII holdings increased (+1.11%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating short-term weakness.
- MACD negative (-1.89), suggesting bearish momentum.
- DII holdings decreased (-1.04%), showing reduced domestic support.
- 52-week performance at 28% is modest compared to peers.
📉 Company Negative News
- Decline in DII holdings (-1.04%) signals cautious domestic outlook.
- Stock underperforming near-term moving averages.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth (+62.3%).
- FII holdings increased (+1.11%), reflecting foreign confidence.
- Attractive dividend yield (5.80%).
🏭 Industry
- Oil & gas sector remains cyclical but benefits from global energy demand.
- Industry P/E at 15.1 indicates moderate valuations compared to BPCL’s discounted levels.
🔎 Conclusion
BPCL is a good candidate for swing trading due to strong earnings growth, undervaluation, and high dividend yield. Entry near ₹295–₹300 is favorable, with profit booking around ₹325–₹335. Despite short-term technical weakness, fundamentals and foreign investor support make it attractive. Risk management with a stop-loss below ₹290 is recommended.