BPCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.2
| Stock Code | BPCL | Market Cap | 1,58,768 Cr. | Current Price | 366 ₹ | High / Low | 382 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 7.24 | Book Value | 211 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.72 % | ROCE | 19.6 % |
| ROE | 18.7 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 355 ₹ | DMA 200 | 330 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.08 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.87 % | PAT Qtr | 6,443 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 6,124 Cr. |
| RSI | 53.0 | MACD | 1.83 | Volume | 42,46,801 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 55,27,582 |
| Low price | 234 ₹ | High price | 382 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.55 | Debt to equity | 0.24 |
| 52w Index | 89.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 169 % | EPS | 47.1 ₹ | Industry PE | 11.3 |
📊 BPCL appears to be a strong candidate for swing trading. The stock trades at a low P/E of 7.24 compared to the industry average of 11.3, supported by robust ROCE (19.6%) and ROE (18.7%). RSI at 53.0 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD is positive, suggesting short-term bullishness. Optimal entry would be near the 50 DMA (~355 ₹). If already holding, consider exiting near resistance around 380–382 ₹ unless a breakout occurs.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Large market cap of 1,58,768 Cr. ensures stability and liquidity.
- 💹 Attractive dividend yield of 2.72%.
- 📊 Strong profitability: PAT rose to 6,443 Cr. from 6,124 Cr.
- 📈 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.24), indicating financial strength.
- 📉 PEG ratio of 0.55, suggesting undervaluation relative to growth.
- 📊 EPS of 47.1 ₹ supports earnings strength.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Slight decline in DII holding (-0.87%).
- 📉 Trading close to 52-week high (382 ₹), limiting immediate upside.
- 📉 Average weekly volume higher than current daily volume, showing reduced momentum.
🚨 Company Negative News
No major fresh negative news reported, but reduced DII interest and proximity to 52-week high may cap short-term gains.
🌟 Company Positive News
Strong quarterly profit growth (+169% variation) and increased FII holding (+1.08%) highlight improving investor sentiment.
🏭 Industry
The oil & gas refining sector trades at an average PE of 11.3. BPCL’s lower P/E of 7.24 indicates undervaluation compared to peers, making it attractive for swing traders.
📌 Conclusion
BPCL is a favorable swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals and undervaluation. Best entry near 355 ₹ (50 DMA). If already holding, exit near 380–382 ₹ unless momentum breaks resistance. Risk-reward is positive, supported by earnings growth and strong financial metrics.
Would you like me to also prepare a comparison of BPCL with IOC or HPCL to highlight relative swing trade opportunities in the oil & gas sector?
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