BPCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.5

📈 BPCL is a strong swing trade candidate with bullish momentum, attractive valuation, and robust earnings. Entry near ₹365 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting around ₹380–₹390.

📈 Positive

• 📊 ROCE of 19.6% and ROE of 18.7% reflect solid profitability.
• 📈 MACD at 8.28 and RSI at 75.6 indicate strong bullish momentum.
• 📈 Trading above DMA 50 (₹336) and DMA 200 (₹318) confirms a sustained uptrend.
• 💰 Dividend Yield of 2.68% adds to total return potential.
• 📉 Low P/E of 7.46 vs industry average of 20.3 suggests undervaluation.
• 📈 FII holding increased by 1.08%, showing rising foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI above 75 signals overbought territory, cautioning against immediate entry.
• 📉 DII holding declined by 0.87%, indicating cautious domestic sentiment.
• 📉 PEG ratio of 0.57 suggests moderate growth expectations.
• 📉 Volume slightly below average (1.37 Cr. vs 1.38 Cr.), showing flat participation.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Analysts flagged concerns over volatility in crude prices and regulatory risks affecting margins.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 BPCL posted a 169% YoY profit surge, driven by refining margins and inventory gains.
• 📈 Government’s divestment plans and strategic investments in green energy support long-term growth.

🛢️ Industry

• 🛢️ Oil & gas sector benefits from rising energy demand and favorable refining spreads.
• 📊 Industry P/E of 20.3 reflects moderate valuation across peers.

✅ Conclusion

• 📈 BPCL is a strong swing trade candidate with bullish technicals and attractive valuation.
• 📉 Optimal entry price: ₹365–₹368 (on minor pullback from overbought zone).
• 📈 Exit target: ₹380–₹390 (above 52-week high and near psychological resistance).
• 📌 Monitor RSI cooling below 70 and volume surge for ideal entry timing.

I can chart BPCL’s RSI and MACD trends to help visualize its momentum setup—just say the word.