BPCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.0
| Stock Code | BPCL | Market Cap | 1,32,974 Cr. | Current Price | 306 ₹ | High / Low | 392 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 5.05 | Book Value | 220 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 5.71 % | ROCE | 32.1 % |
| ROE | 29.9 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 304 ₹ | DMA 200 | 323 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.11 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.04 % | PAT Qtr | 5,094 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 7,545 Cr. |
| RSI | 53.9 | MACD | 3.05 | Volume | 1,16,60,969 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,21,64,232 |
| Low price | 267 ₹ | High price | 392 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.05 | Debt to equity | 0.22 |
| 52w Index | 31.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 13.7 % | EPS | 53.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 5.27 |
BPCL appears to be a strong candidate for swing trading due to its attractive valuation (P/E 5.05 vs industry average 5.27), high dividend yield (5.71%), and strong profitability metrics (ROCE 32.1%, ROE 29.9%). Technical indicators are neutral to slightly bullish — RSI at 53.9 is stable, and MACD at 3.05 suggests mild upward momentum. However, quarterly PAT declined (7,545 Cr. → 5,094 Cr.), which may limit upside. The stock is trading near its DMA 50 (304 ₹) and DMA 200 (323 ₹), offering a favorable entry zone.
Optimal Entry Price: 300–310 ₹ (near DMA 50 support)
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 360–370 ₹ resistance or if RSI approaches 70.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Attractive P/E ratio of 5.05, in line with industry average.
- 💰 High dividend yield of 5.71% provides income support.
- 📊 Strong ROCE of 32.1% and ROE of 29.9%.
- 📉 Support near DMA 50 at 304 ₹ offers a good entry zone.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📌 Quarterly PAT declined from 7,545 Cr. to 5,094 Cr.
- 📌 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, though manageable, is higher than zero-debt peers.
- 📌 EPS of 53.7 ₹ may face pressure if profits continue to decline.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in quarterly profits raises concerns about margin sustainability.
- 📉 Reduction in DII holding (-1.04%).
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Increase in FII holding (+1.11%).
- 📈 Strong dividend payout history.
- 📈 PEG ratio of 0.05 indicates undervaluation relative to growth.
🏭 Industry
- ⛽ Oil & gas sector benefits from global energy demand and government support.
- 📌 Industry P/E at 5.27, showing BPCL trades fairly compared to peers.
📌 Conclusion
BPCL is a fundamentally strong stock with attractive valuation, high dividend yield, and solid profitability metrics. Entry near 300–310 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while exit near 360–370 ₹ is optimal. Traders should monitor quarterly earnings and RSI levels to manage risk effectively.