ASHOKLEY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 4.2

Entry Zone: ₹136–₹139 (only if RSI > 58 and MACD sustains)

Exit if held: ₹144–₹147 (near 52W high and psychological resistance)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📈 Current Price: ₹140
• 📈 52W High/Low: ₹144 / ₹95.2
• 📈 RSI: 56.1 (bullish zone)
• 📈 MACD: 1.03 (positive crossover)
• 📉 Volume: 87.4L vs 1W Avg 129.9L (slightly below average)
• 📈 FII/DII Holding Change: +0.47% / -0.29%
• 📈 P/E: 25.0 vs Industry 33.3 (undervalued)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 0.06 — extremely attractive growth pricing

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 36.5% and 31.4% — elite capital efficiency.
• 📈 EPS: ₹5.74 — consistent earnings base.
• 📈 MACD & RSI: Momentum indicators support continuation.
• 📈 Above DMA 50 & 200: Trend confirmation zone.
• 📈 Dividend Yield: 2.23% — attractive for swing + passive income.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Volume Dip: Slightly below average — watch for breakout confirmation.
• 📉 DII Exit: Domestic institutions trimmed exposure.
• 📉 Qtr Profit Var: 13.0% — moderate sequential growth.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹594 Cr vs ₹1,255 Cr QoQ — drop due to base effect and margin normalization.
• 📉 Export Headwinds: European CV demand softening amid regulatory shifts and freight costs.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 October Sales: Domestic volumes up 16% YoY to 16,314 units — strong truck and bus demand.
• 📈 Dealer Finance Pact: Tie-up with PNB to support inventory funding and working capital.
• 📈 EV & Defence Expansion: Management reaffirmed long-term growth via electric and military segments.

🚛 Industry

• 📈 CV Outlook: GST cut and RBI credit push expected to lift FY26–27 demand sharply.
• 📉 Cost Sensitivity: CV sector remains vulnerable to fuel and financing costs.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ Strong swing setup with momentum, valuation, and sector tailwinds.
• 📥 Entry near ₹136–₹139 if RSI > 58 and MACD sustains.
• 📤 Exit near ₹144–₹147 (resistance and 52W high zone).
• 📈 Fundamentals robust, sentiment improving — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

PNB Dealer Finance Pact

October Sales Growth

EV & Defence Strategy

GST & Credit Push Outlook

Industry Sentiment