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ASHOKLEY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:29 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Stock Code ASHOKLEY Market Cap 98,999 Cr. Current Price 169 ₹ High / Low 215 ₹
Stock P/E 26.9 Book Value 19.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.85 % ROCE 36.5 %
ROE 31.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 189 ₹ DMA 200 160 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.09 % Chg in DII Hold 0.14 % PAT Qtr 1,026 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 801 Cr.
RSI 31.8 MACD -7.31 Volume 2,08,18,125 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,12,02,616
Low price 95.2 ₹ High price 215 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.07 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 61.0 % Qtr Profit Var 34.7 % EPS 5.80 ₹ Industry PE 34.2

📊 ASHOKLEY shows strong fundamentals but weak technicals, making it a moderately good candidate for swing trading. The RSI at 31.8 suggests oversold conditions, while MACD remains negative (-7.31), confirming bearish momentum. The stock is trading below its 50 DMA (189 ₹) but above its 200 DMA (160 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness but medium-term strength. Fundamentals are impressive: ROCE (36.5%) and ROE (31.4%) highlight efficiency, and PAT improved significantly (1,026 Cr vs. 801 Cr). EPS stands at 5.80 ₹, and dividend yield is attractive at 1.85%. Valuation is reasonable with a P/E of 26.9 vs. industry 34.2, and PEG ratio of 0.07 suggests strong growth potential. Institutional activity is supportive, with FII holdings up (+0.09%) and DII holdings up (+0.14%).

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 165–170 ₹ (near support zone).

📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 188–190 ₹ (close to 50 DMA resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (36.5%) and ROE (31.4%) highlight excellent efficiency.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (1,026 Cr vs. 801 Cr) shows strong operational improvement.
  • Dividend yield of 1.85% adds investor appeal.
  • Reasonable P/E (26.9) compared to industry average (34.2).
  • Institutional confidence with both FII (+0.09%) and DII (+0.14%) increasing.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below 50 DMA indicates short-term weakness.
  • RSI and MACD confirm bearish momentum.
  • Book value (19.6 ₹) is relatively low compared to current price.
  • Volume slightly lower than average, reducing short-term momentum.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Short-term technical weakness with RSI oversold and MACD negative.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly profit growth highlights operational resilience.
  • Institutional support adds stability to outlook.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 34.2 is higher than ASHOKLEY’s 26.9, suggesting fair valuation.
  • Automobile sector remains cyclical, with demand linked to infrastructure and commercial vehicle sales.

🔎 Conclusion

ASHOKLEY is fundamentally strong but technically weak in the short term, making it a moderate swing trade candidate. Entry near 165–170 ₹ offers a favorable setup, with exit targets around 188–190 ₹. Strong efficiency and profit growth support bullish potential, but caution is advised due to short-term technical weakness.

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