GRANULES - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Strength: Price is well above both 50 DMA (₹497) and 200 DMA (₹504), confirming a bullish structure.

MACD Strong: At 18.4, MACD signals solid upward momentum.

RSI Overbought: 72.5 indicates the stock is in overbought territory—momentum is strong but a pullback is likely.

Volume Surge: Current volume (13.89L) exceeds 1-week average (11.83L), confirming active participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Premium: P/E of 46.6 vs industry average of 33.4 and PEG of −5.42—signals overvaluation and earnings contraction.

Moderate Efficiency: ROCE 10.9%, ROE 9.14%—acceptable but not swing-grade elite.

Profit Decline: PAT fell from ₹72.7 Cr to ₹78.6 Cr, with Qtr Profit Var at −16.2%—a concern for earnings momentum.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.26 adds financial stability.

Institutional Sentiment: FII reduced (−1.90%), DII increased (+1.07%)—mixed but slightly bullish.

📈 Analyst Sentiment

Broker consensus suggests an average price target of ₹608, implying ~12% upside from current levels

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. Forecasts for 2025–2027 show upside targets ranging from ₹631 to ₹719 based on projected earnings and DCF models

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🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹500–₹510: Ideal pullback zone near 50 DMA. Entry only if RSI cools below 60 and MACD remains positive.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹605–₹628: First resistance zone aligned with broker targets and 52-week high. Exit if RSI crosses 75 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹525 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

GRANULES presents a momentum-backed swing setup with strong technicals and decent fundamentals, though valuation and earnings contraction warrant caution. Best suited for short-term trades with tight risk control. Entry on a pullback offers better risk-reward, while exit near ₹628 is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

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1

trendlyne.com

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www.stocks-buy.com

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