GRANULES - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

GRANULES presents an interesting swing setup driven by decent fundamentals, high volume engagement, and proximity to support. The technical indicators aren’t fully aligned, but improving profit and moderate valuations build a case for a tactical entry.

🧠 Fundamental Pulse

Valuation & Profitability

P/E: 24.8 vs Industry PE: 34.0 → Undervalued relative to sector peers

PEG Ratio: 5.01 → Indicates overvaluation based on growth

ROCE: 15.1%, ROE: 13.9% → Strong operational efficiency

Financial Health

Debt-to-Equity: 0.39 → Healthy balance sheet

EPS: ₹20.7 → Reasonable earnings relative to stock price

Qtr Profit Var: +0.96% → Steady progression

Institutional Holding

Drop in FII holding (-1.90%) could signal short-term caution

Rise in DII holding (+1.07%) suggests confidence from domestic investors

📉 Technical Outlook

Price Context

Current Price: ₹490

50-DMA: ₹492, 200-DMA: ₹510 → At 50-DMA, slightly below 200-DMA

Momentum Indicators

RSI: 51.5 → Neutral, with room to rise

MACD: -5.44 → Bearish crossover but flattening trend

Volume

Significantly higher than weekly average → Strong participant interest

52W Index: 25.1% → Recovery potential from deep price cut

🎯 Trade Strategy Summary

Current conditions are ripe for entry near support, with confirmation required from MACD leveling off and volume sustaining. It’s more of a tactical swing than a momentum breakout.

✅ Optimal Entry Price

Buy Range: ₹480–₹495 Enter near 50-DMA if price holds and MACD stabilizes; RSI staying above 50 is ideal

🚪 Exit Plan

Target Price: ₹530–₹545 Short-term resistance zone near 200-DMA and previous consolidation

Stop-Loss: ₹470 Below recent support to manage drawdown

🧭 If You're Already Holding

→ Look to exit near ₹540 if price hits resistance and MACD doesn't strengthen → Hold if volume surges and RSI climbs past 55 for a shot at ₹560+

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