RCF - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.0
| Stock Code | RCF | Market Cap | 6,380 Cr. | Current Price | 116 ₹ | High / Low | 167 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 20.5 | Book Value | 89.3 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.14 % | ROCE | 7.47 % |
| ROE | 5.00 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 129 ₹ | DMA 200 | 141 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.19 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.08 % | PAT Qtr | 81.4 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 106 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.4 | MACD | -3.85 | Volume | 13,91,759 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 46,59,801 |
| Low price | 108 ₹ | High price | 167 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.76 | Debt to equity | 0.56 |
| 52w Index | 13.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 2.16 % | EPS | 5.69 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.2 |
📊 Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers (RCF) shows moderate fundamentals and weak technical indicators, making it a cautious candidate for swing trading. The RSI at 40.4 is near oversold territory, while MACD (-3.85) indicates bearish momentum. The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (129 ₹) and 200 DMA (141 ₹), signaling short-term weakness. Valuation is slightly high with a P/E of 20.5 compared to industry average of 17.2, though dividend yield and institutional interest provide some support.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 112–118 ₹ (near current support)
💡 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 128–130 ₹ (50 DMA resistance) unless momentum strengthens.
🌟 Positive
- Dividend yield of 1.14% provides steady income.
- Book value of 89.3 ₹ supports valuation stability.
- EPS of 5.69 ₹ reflects consistent earnings.
- FII (+0.19%) and DII (+0.08%) holdings increased slightly.
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E ratio (20.5) higher than industry average (17.2), suggesting mild overvaluation.
- Weak ROCE (7.47%) and ROE (5.00%) show modest efficiency.
- Quarterly PAT declined (81.4 Cr. vs 106 Cr.).
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
📉 Company Negative News
- Bearish technical indicators: RSI near oversold and MACD negative.
- Stock underperforming relative to recent highs (167 ₹).
- Quarterly profit decline shows operational weakness.
📈 Company Positive News
- Dividend yield supports investor confidence.
- Institutional investors marginally increasing holdings.
- Quarterly profit variation of 2.16% shows some stability despite decline.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 17.2, while RCF trades at a premium (20.5).
- Fertilizer sector benefits from government support and agricultural demand.
- Competition remains strong, requiring efficiency improvements.
✅ Conclusion
RCF is fundamentally stable but technically weak, making it a cautious swing trade candidate. Entry near 112–118 ₹ is favorable, with an exit target around 128–130 ₹. Traders should remain cautious due to weak momentum and modest efficiency, while long-term investors may hold for steady dividends and sectoral support from agriculture demand.