RCF - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | RCF | Market Cap | 7,419 Cr. | Current Price | 134 ₹ | High / Low | 164 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 18.6 | Book Value | 93.0 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.98 % | ROCE | 10.2 % |
| ROE | 8.06 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 128 ₹ | DMA 200 | 135 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.10 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.02 % | PAT Qtr | 158 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 81.4 Cr. |
| RSI | 62.2 | MACD | 1.30 | Volume | 22,46,526 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 39,23,816 |
| Low price | 106 ₹ | High price | 164 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.78 | Debt to equity | 0.80 |
| 52w Index | 48.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 126 % | EPS | 7.79 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.8 |
📊 RCF shows moderate fundamentals with ROCE (10.2%) and ROE (8.06%), alongside a fair valuation (P/E 18.6 vs industry 15.8). Technicals are mildly bullish with RSI at 62.2 and MACD positive (1.30). Quarterly PAT surged (158 Cr vs 81.4 Cr, +126%), highlighting strong earnings momentum. The stock trades near its 50 DMA (128 ₹) and slightly below 200 DMA (135 ₹), suggesting consolidation with potential breakout. Debt-to-equity (0.80) is manageable but higher than peers.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 128–132 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near 150–155 ₹ (resistance zone) or trail stop-loss at 125 ₹ to manage downside risk.
🌟 Positive
- 📈 Strong quarterly PAT growth (+126%).
- 📊 EPS of 7.79 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- 📉 FII holdings increased (+0.10%), showing foreign investor confidence.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 0.98% adds investor appeal.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📌 ROCE (10.2%) and ROE (8.06%) are modest compared to peers.
- 📌 Debt-to-equity ratio (0.80) is relatively high.
- 📌 DII holdings decreased (-0.02%), showing reduced domestic interest.
- 📌 PEG ratio (-0.78) reflects poor growth-adjusted valuation.
📰 Company Negative News
- ⚠️ Earnings volatility remains a concern despite strong quarterly growth.
- ⚠️ Modest efficiency ratios compared to industry leaders.
📰 Company Positive News
- ✅ Strong quarterly profit momentum.
- ✅ FII inflows indicate foreign investor confidence.
- ✅ Dividend yield supports investor sentiment.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 15.8, highlighting RCF’s fair valuation.
- Fertilizer and chemicals sector benefits from government support and rising demand.
✅ Conclusion
RCF is a moderately attractive swing trade candidate with strong quarterly earnings momentum and fair valuation. Entry near 128–132 ₹ offers tactical positioning, while exit near 150–155 ₹ is prudent. Debt levels and modest efficiency ratios remain key risks, so disciplined stop-loss management is essential.
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