RCF - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:16 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

🧪 Intraday Trading Analysis for RCF (Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers)

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

Current Price: ₹154 — hovering right at both 50 DMA and 200 DMA (₹153), signaling a consolidation zone with potential for breakout or breakdown.

RSI at 50.1: Neutral, suggesting indecision and lack of strong momentum.

MACD at 0.41: Slightly positive, but not convincingly bullish.

Volume: 9.81L vs 14.24L average — below average, indicating subdued intraday interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

P/E of 30.1 vs Industry PE of 30.1: Fairly valued.

ROCE (7.48%) & ROE (5.09%): Weak efficiency metrics.

Quarterly PAT Drop: ₹69.9 Cr → ₹54.1 Cr — moderate decline.

Institutional Activity: FII down (-0.18%), DII flat (+0.01%) — neutral sentiment.

Debt-to-Equity (0.58): Reasonable leverage.

PEG Ratio (-1.13): Negative, indicating valuation concerns despite strong Qtr Profit Var (404%).

🎯 Intraday Strategy

✅ Optimal Buy Price

Buy Zone: ₹152–₹154

Entry near DMA cluster with tight stop-loss; confirm with RSI holding above 50 and MACD slope rising.

💰 Profit-Taking Levels

Target 1: ₹157 (minor resistance)

Target 2: ₹160 (next resistance zone)

Aggressive Target: ₹164+ only if RSI crosses 55 and MACD strengthens

🛡️ Stop-Loss

Stop-Loss Level: ₹149

Breach below this level signals breakdown risk and invalidates intraday setup.

🕒 Exit Strategy If Already Holding Today

Exit on Strength

If price nears ₹160–₹164 and RSI rises above 55 with volume surge, consider booking profits.

Exit on Weakness

If MACD flattens or RSI drops below 48 with price rejection at ₹157, exit partially.

Full exit if price breaks below ₹149 with rising volume.

RCF offers a neutral-to-cautious intraday setup today — best suited for tight-range scalping with disciplined risk control. Let me know if you'd like to track this live or compare with other fertilizer sector stocks showing stronger momentum.

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