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RCF - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 06:09 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6

Stock Code RCF Market Cap 7,312 Cr. Current Price 132 ₹ High / Low 167 ₹
Stock P/E 18.4 Book Value 93.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.99 % ROCE 10.2 %
ROE 8.06 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 127 ₹ DMA 200 136 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.10 % Chg in DII Hold -0.02 % PAT Qtr 158 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 81.4 Cr.
RSI 61.0 MACD 1.01 Volume 22,25,593 Avg Vol 1Wk 64,28,767
Low price 106 ₹ High price 167 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.77 Debt to equity 0.80
52w Index 43.8 % Qtr Profit Var 126 % EPS 7.79 ₹ Industry PE 16.3

Analysis:

RCF is trading at 132 ₹, above DMA 50 (127 ₹) but below DMA 200 (136 ₹), showing short-term strength but medium-term resistance. RSI at 61.0 indicates mildly overbought momentum, while MACD at 1.01 suggests weak bullish crossover. Volume (22,25,593) is significantly below the 1-week average (64,28,767), reflecting reduced participation. Fundamentals remain fair with P/E (18.4 vs industry 16.3), but profitability ratios (ROE 8.06%, ROCE 10.2%) are modest. Quarterly PAT growth (+126%) supports near-term sentiment.

Optimal Buy Price:

Entry zone: 130–132 ₹ if price sustains with rising volume.

Exit Levels:

- Profit-taking: 136–140 ₹ (near-term resistance)

- Stop-loss: 126 ₹ (below intraday support and DMA 50)

If Already Holding:

Exit intraday if RSI dips below 58 with declining volume or if price fails to hold above 130 ₹. Trail stop-loss to 132 ₹ once price moves above 136 ₹.

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Positive

- EPS at ₹7.79 supports valuation comfort

- Dividend yield at 0.99% provides steady income

- FII holding increased (+0.10%), showing foreign confidence

- Quarterly PAT growth (81.4 Cr. → 158 Cr., +126%)

Limitation

- ROE (8.06%) and ROCE (10.2%) remain weak compared to peers

- PEG ratio (-0.77) reflects poor growth prospects

- Price below DMA 200 indicates medium-term weakness

- Volume below average reduces intraday conviction

Company Negative News

- DII holding reduced (-0.02%), showing weaker domestic sentiment

- Profitability ratios remain modest despite PAT growth

Company Positive News

- Strong quarterly PAT growth supports earnings momentum

- Technicals remain bullish above DMA 50

- Sector demand supportive for fertilizers

Industry

- Industry PE at 16.3 highlights sector trading at fair multiples

- Fertilizer sector supported by government subsidies and agricultural demand

- Competitive landscape with peers offering stronger profitability

Conclusion

RCF is a moderate intraday candidate with short-term bullish signals but medium-term resistance and weak profitability ratios. Optimal buy near 130–132 ₹ with profit exits around 136–140 ₹. Stop-loss at 126 ₹ is essential. Existing holders should trail stops and monitor RSI/volume closely for intraday exit signals.

This structured HTML report captures RCF’s intraday profile with clear entry/exit logic. Would you like me to extend this into a moving average breakout overlay or sector benchmarking analysis for sharper trade timing?

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