⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

RCF - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code RCF Market Cap 7,464 Cr. Current Price 135 ₹ High / Low 167 ₹
Stock P/E 24.1 Book Value 89.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.98 % ROCE 7.47 %
ROE 5.00 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 139 ₹ DMA 200 147 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.19 % Chg in DII Hold 0.08 % PAT Qtr 106 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 54.1 Cr.
RSI 47.1 MACD -1.73 Volume 11,58,740 Avg Vol 1Wk 22,25,471
Low price 108 ₹ High price 167 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.89 Debt to equity 0.56
52w Index 46.6 % Qtr Profit Var 34.5 % EPS 5.66 ₹ Industry PE 18.7

📊 Analysis: RCF shows moderate strength for intraday trading. Current price (₹135) is below both 50 DMA (₹139) and 200 DMA (₹147), reflecting short-term bearish bias. RSI at 47.1 indicates neutral-to-weak momentum, while MACD (-1.73) confirms mild weakness. Volume is lower than weekly average, limiting intraday conviction. Fundamentals are modest with ROCE (7.47%) and ROE (5.00%), though sequential PAT growth (+34.5%) provides earnings support. Valuation (P/E 24.1 vs industry 18.7) is slightly stretched, while PEG ratio (-0.89) highlights poor valuation relative to growth.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹133–₹135 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹139–₹142 (short-term resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹130 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting if price fails to sustain above ₹135 or RSI drops below 45 intraday. If momentum improves with volume, partial profit booking near ₹139–₹142 is advisable.


Positive

  • Sequential PAT growth (₹54.1 Cr → ₹106 Cr) shows strong earnings improvement.
  • EPS of ₹5.66 supports valuation strength.
  • Dividend yield of 0.98% adds investor confidence.
  • FII (+0.19%) and DII (+0.08%) holdings increased, showing institutional support.

Limitation

  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, reflecting bearish trend.
  • MACD negative (-1.73) indicates short-term weakness.
  • Volume lower than weekly average, limiting intraday momentum.
  • ROCE (7.47%) and ROE (5.00%) reflect modest efficiency.
  • PEG ratio (-0.89) highlights poor valuation relative to growth.

Company Negative News

  • Stock trading at mid-range of 52-week index (46.6%), showing limited momentum.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved significantly (+34.5%).
  • Institutional support from both FII and DII holdings.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 18.7, lower than RCF’s valuation, highlighting relative overvaluation.
  • Fertilizer and chemicals sector outlook supported by government demand and subsidies.

Conclusion

⚠️ RCF is a moderate candidate for intraday trading today. While fundamentals show earnings growth and institutional support, technicals remain weak with price below DMA levels, negative MACD, and low volume. Traders should adopt a cautious approach: Buy near ₹133–₹135, book profits around ₹139–₹142, and protect downside with stop-loss at ₹130.

Would you like me to also prepare a fertilizer sector benchmarking overlay comparing RCF with peers like NFL and Chambal Fertilizers, so you can evaluate relative intraday strength within the sector?

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