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RCF - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 25 May 26, 01:36 am

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code RCF Market Cap 7,209 Cr. Current Price 130 ₹ High / Low 167 ₹
Stock P/E 18.1 Book Value 93.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.01 % ROCE 10.2 %
ROE 8.06 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 127 ₹ DMA 200 136 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.10 % Chg in DII Hold -0.02 % PAT Qtr 158 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 81.4 Cr.
RSI 58.0 MACD -0.05 Volume 2,34,87,182 Avg Vol 1Wk 56,55,250
Low price 106 ₹ High price 167 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.76 Debt to equity 0.80
52w Index 40.5 % Qtr Profit Var 126 % EPS 7.79 ₹ Industry PE 16.2

📊 Financial Overview: Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers (RCF) shows moderate fundamentals. Quarterly PAT rose from ₹81.4 Cr. to ₹158 Cr. (126% growth), reflecting strong earnings momentum. ROE at 8.06% and ROCE at 10.2% are modest, indicating average efficiency. Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 is manageable but adds leverage risk. EPS of ₹7.79 is modest relative to valuation, while cash flows remain steady due to government-backed operations.

💰 Valuation Indicators: Current P/E of 18.1 is slightly above the industry average of 16.2, suggesting fair valuation. P/B ratio of ~1.40 (₹130 / ₹93) indicates reasonable pricing. PEG ratio of -0.76 highlights valuation distortion due to inconsistent earnings growth. Intrinsic value appears close to current market price, offering limited margin of safety.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage: RCF operates in fertilizers and chemicals, benefiting from government support and strong demand in agriculture. Its competitive advantage lies in scale, product diversification, and government backing. However, modest return ratios and cyclical profitability limit overall health.

📈 Entry Zone & Holding Guidance: Attractive entry zone lies between ₹115–₹120 (near support levels and below DMA 200). Long-term investors may hold for dividend yield and government-backed stability. Fresh entry is favorable at undervalued levels, but monitoring leverage and profitability trends is essential.

Positive

  • 🌟 Quarterly PAT growth of 126%
  • 📈 Government-backed operations ensure stability
  • 💡 Diversified product portfolio in fertilizers and chemicals
  • 💰 Dividend yield of 1.01% adds income appeal

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Modest [ROE](ca://s?q=Explain_ROE) at 8.06% and [ROCE](ca://s?q=Explain_ROCE) at 10.2%
  • 📉 [PEG ratio](ca://s?q=Explain_PEG_ratio) negative, indicating valuation distortion
  • 🔎 EPS of 7.79 is modest relative to price

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Decline in DII holdings (-0.02%)
  • ⚠️ Concerns over modest return metrics

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Increase in FII holdings (+0.10%) shows foreign investor confidence
  • 💰 Strong quarterly earnings momentum

Industry

🌾 The fertilizer and chemical industry trades at an average P/E of 16.2. RCF’s P/E of 18.1 highlights fair valuation. Industry growth is supported by agricultural demand and government subsidies, but profitability remains cyclical and sensitive to raw material costs.

Conclusion

✅ RCF offers exposure to India’s fertilizer and chemical sector with government backing and dividend yield. However, modest return ratios and cyclical profitability pose risks. Entry around ₹115–₹120 provides a favorable risk-reward balance. Long-term holding is suitable for value investors seeking stable, government-backed operations.

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