RCF - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Technical Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical Analysis Summary

• Trend Status: Consolidating
• Current Price: ₹149
• RSI (50.0): Neutral — no clear momentum
• MACD (-0.02): Flat — indecisive trend
• Volume: Below average (14.3L vs 16.9L) — waning interest
• DMA 50/200: Price slightly below both (₹150 & ₹152) — weak technical setup
• Bollinger Bands: Price near mid-band — no breakout signal

📈 Entry & Exit Zones

• Support Levels: ₹145 / ₹138 / ₹130
• Resistance Levels: ₹152 / ₹160 / ₹172
• Optimal Entry: ₹145–₹149 (on dip near support)
• Exit Target: ₹160–₹172 (if momentum improves)

✅ Positive

• EPS of ₹5.17 and strong Qtr Profit Var (404%) — earnings rebound
• Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.58) — manageable leverage
• FII and DII holdings increased — institutional interest

⚠️ Limitation

• MACD and RSI show lack of momentum
• Price below moving averages — weak technical confirmation
• ROCE (7.47%) and ROE (5.00%) — below industry benchmarks
• Negative PEG ratio (-1.08) — valuation concerns

📉 Company Negative News

• Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹69.9 Cr to ₹54.1 Cr — sequential decline

📈 Company Positive News

• Qtr Profit Var up 404% — strong YoY earnings growth
• Stable EPS and dividend yield of 0.88%

🏢 Industry

• RCF operates in fertilizers and chemicals — cyclical and policy-sensitive sector
• Industry P/E is 22.7 — RCF trades at a premium
• Sector benefits from agricultural demand and government subsidies

🧾 Conclusion

• RCF is currently consolidating with neutral technical indicators and mixed volume trends
• Entry near ₹145 may offer upside toward ₹172 if momentum improves
• Fundamentals show earnings recovery, but technical setup suggests cautious accumulation