RCF - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | RCF | Market Cap | 7,209 Cr. | Current Price | 130 ₹ | High / Low | 167 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 18.1 | Book Value | 93.0 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.01 % | ROCE | 10.2 % |
| ROE | 8.06 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 127 ₹ | DMA 200 | 136 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.10 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.02 % | PAT Qtr | 158 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 81.4 Cr. |
| RSI | 58.0 | MACD | -0.05 | Volume | 2,34,87,182 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 56,55,250 |
| Low price | 106 ₹ | High price | 167 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.76 | Debt to equity | 0.80 |
| 52w Index | 40.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 126 % | EPS | 7.79 ₹ | Industry PE | 16.2 |
📈 Trend Analysis: RCF is trading at ₹130, above the 50 DMA (₹127) but below the 200 DMA (₹136), indicating short-term strength but medium-term weakness. The stock has corrected from its 52-week high of ₹167 and is consolidating near current levels.
📊 RSI: At 58.0, RSI is neutral-to-positive, suggesting balanced momentum with room for further upside.
📉 MACD: Slightly negative MACD (-0.05) signals indecisive momentum, aligning with consolidation patterns.
📌 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, signaling consolidation with potential breakout if volumes improve.
🔎 Volume Trends: Current volume (2,34,87,182) is significantly higher than the 1-week average (56,55,250), showing strong participation, which supports short-term moves.
💡 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is mildly positive. Optimal entry zone lies near ₹125–₹128 support levels. Exit/resistance zone is around ₹135–₹140, where selling pressure may emerge.
📌 Market Phase: The stock is consolidating with a bullish bias, holding above short-term averages but facing resistance from medium-term weakness.
Positive
- 🚀 Quarterly PAT growth (₹158 Cr vs ₹81.4 Cr), up 126%.
- 📈 EPS of ₹7.79 supports earnings visibility.
- 💡 ROCE (10.2%) and ROE (8.06%) show moderate efficiency.
- 🌍 FII holdings increased by 0.10%, showing foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Current price below 200 DMA, signaling medium-term weakness.
- 📉 PEG ratio (-0.76) reflects growth inconsistency.
- 🔎 Debt-to-equity ratio (0.80) raises leverage concerns.
Company Negative News
- 📉 DII holdings decreased by 0.02%, showing reduced domestic institutional interest.
- ⚠️ Medium-term weakness as price remains below 200 DMA.
Company Positive News
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth highlights strong operational improvement.
- 💡 EPS of ₹7.79 supports long-term earnings visibility.
- 🌍 FII inflows reflect foreign confidence in the stock.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry PE at 16.2, slightly lower than RCF’s 18.1, suggesting fair valuation.
- 📊 Sector growth driven by fertilizer demand and government support for agriculture.
Conclusion
⚖️ RCF is consolidating with short-term strength but medium-term weakness due to stretched valuations and leverage concerns. Strong quarterly profit growth and foreign inflows provide support. Strategy: consider entry near ₹125–₹128 support zones and book profits around ₹135–₹140 resistance. The stock is consolidating with cautious optimism, awaiting stronger momentum for a sustained breakout.