PFC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | PFC | Market Cap | 1,41,477 Cr. | Current Price | 429 ₹ | High / Low | 486 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 7.06 | Book Value | 311 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 3.68 % | ROCE | 9.93 % |
| ROE | 20.7 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 431 ₹ | DMA 200 | 414 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.31 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.43 % | PAT Qtr | 6,325 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 4,763 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.0 | MACD | -3.13 | Volume | 46,92,854 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 57,89,465 |
| Low price | 330 ₹ | High price | 486 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.35 | Debt to equity | 4.85 |
| 52w Index | 63.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 23.8 % | EPS | 60.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.9 |
📊 PFC shows solid fundamentals with a low P/E (7.06 vs industry 18.9), strong ROE (20.7%), and attractive dividend yield (3.68%). Quarterly PAT growth (+23.8%) is encouraging, though high debt-to-equity (4.85) remains a concern. Technicals are neutral with RSI at 49 and MACD slightly negative (-3.13), suggesting consolidation. The stock is near its 50 DMA (431 ₹), making current levels crucial for swing trade positioning.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 415–420 ₹ (near 200 DMA support).
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near 470–480 ₹ (recent resistance) or trail stop-loss at 400 ₹ to protect downside.
🌟 Positive
- 📈 Low P/E (7.06) compared to industry average (18.9).
- 💰 Attractive dividend yield (3.68%).
- 📊 Strong ROE (20.7%) and consistent PAT growth (6,325 Cr vs 4,763 Cr).
- 📉 FII holdings increased (+1.31%), showing institutional confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📌 High debt-to-equity ratio (4.85).
- 📌 ROCE at 9.93% is modest compared to peers.
- 📌 DII holdings decreased (-0.43%), showing mixed sentiment.
- 📌 MACD negative (-3.13) indicates weak short-term momentum.
📰 Company Negative News
- No major negative news reported, but leverage remains a structural risk.
📰 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth (+23.8%).
- Stable dividend payouts and consistent earnings visibility.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 18.9, highlighting PFC’s undervaluation.
- Power finance sector benefits from infrastructure expansion and government support.
✅ Conclusion
PFC is fundamentally undervalued with strong earnings and dividend yield, making it a good candidate for swing trading. Entry near 415–420 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while profit booking near 470–480 ₹ is prudent. High leverage and modest ROCE remain key risks, so disciplined stop-loss management is essential.
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