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PFC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 4.1

Stock Code PFC Market Cap 1,25,899 Cr. Current Price 382 ₹ High / Low 444 ₹
Stock P/E 6.91 Book Value 296 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.14 % ROCE 9.74 %
ROE 20.4 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 368 ₹ DMA 200 390 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.51 % Chg in DII Hold -0.56 % PAT Qtr 4,462 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 4,502 Cr.
RSI 59.1 MACD 4.86 Volume 2,46,57,144 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,48,40,125
Low price 330 ₹ High price 444 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.34 Debt to equity 4.97
52w Index 45.2 % Qtr Profit Var 2.09 % EPS 55.2 ₹ Industry PE 19.1

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: PFC is trading at 382 ₹, above its 50 DMA (368 ₹) but slightly below its 200 DMA (390 ₹). This indicates short-term strength but medium-term resistance. RSI at 59.1 suggests neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD at 4.86 confirms bullish crossover. Bollinger Bands show price moving towards the mid-to-upper band, signaling continuation potential if volume sustains.

📈 Momentum Signals: Strong volume (2.46 Cr.) compared to 1-week average (1.48 Cr.) indicates active participation and bullish sentiment. RSI is not overbought, leaving room for further upside. However, resistance near 390–400 ₹ must be cleared for trend continuation.

🎯 Entry Zone: 370–380 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)

🚪 Exit Zone: 420–440 ₹ (resistance near upper trendline and 52-week high)

📌 Trend Status: Trending upward with bullish bias, but facing medium-term resistance around 390–400 ₹. Sustained volume and breakout above 400 ₹ could confirm reversal into a strong uptrend.


Positive

  • Attractive valuation with P/E of 6.91 vs industry PE of 19.1.
  • High dividend yield of 4.14% supports income investors.
  • Strong ROE of 20.4% and EPS of 55.2 ₹ indicate profitability.
  • PEG ratio of 0.34 suggests undervaluation relative to growth.

Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 4.97 increases leverage risk.
  • ROCE at 9.74% is modest compared to peers.
  • Stock faces resistance near 200 DMA (390 ₹), limiting upside unless broken.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT slightly declined from 4,502 Cr. to 4,462 Cr.
  • FII (-0.51%) and DII (-0.56%) holdings reduced, showing institutional caution.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation +2.09% shows stable earnings.
  • Strong market cap of 1.25 lakh Cr. reflects leadership in the sector.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 19.1 highlights sector is valued higher than PFC, making PFC relatively undervalued.
  • Power finance sector benefits from infrastructure and energy demand growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ PFC shows bullish momentum with strong fundamentals and attractive valuation. Entry near 370–380 ₹ offers margin of safety, while exits around 420–440 ₹ align with resistance. Despite high leverage, dividend yield and profitability make it appealing. A breakout above 400 ₹ could trigger a strong uptrend, making PFC suitable for medium-term investors with risk management.

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