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PFC - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.9

Stock Code PFC Market Cap 1,25,899 Cr. Current Price 382 ₹ High / Low 444 ₹
Stock P/E 6.91 Book Value 296 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.14 % ROCE 9.74 %
ROE 20.4 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 368 ₹ DMA 200 390 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.51 % Chg in DII Hold -0.56 % PAT Qtr 4,462 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 4,502 Cr.
RSI 59.1 MACD 4.86 Volume 2,46,57,144 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,48,40,125
Low price 330 ₹ High price 444 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.34 Debt to equity 4.97
52w Index 45.2 % Qtr Profit Var 2.09 % EPS 55.2 ₹ Industry PE 19.1

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT of ₹4,462 Cr, stable compared to previous ₹4,502 Cr. EPS at ₹55.2 shows strong earnings capacity.
  • Margins: ROE at 20.4% is healthy, while ROCE at 9.74% indicates moderate efficiency.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 4.97 is very high, reflecting heavy leverage typical of financing companies.
  • Cash Flows: Strong operating cash flows supported by consistent profits, though debt servicing remains a key risk.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 6.91, significantly below industry average of 19.1, suggesting undervaluation.
  • P/B Ratio: Current price ₹382 vs. book value ₹296 → ~1.29x, fairly reasonable.
  • PEG Ratio: 0.34, very attractive, showing strong growth potential relative to valuation.
  • Intrinsic Value: Appears undervalued compared to fundamentals, offering margin of safety.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Power Finance Corporation (PFC) is a leading NBFC specializing in financing power sector projects.
  • Competitive advantage lies in government backing, strong sectoral presence, and consistent profitability.
  • Business model is stable but highly dependent on power sector growth and regulatory environment.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation range between ₹350 – ₹370, near DMA50 and support levels.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for long-term investors seeking stable dividends and undervalued entry, though high leverage risk must be monitored.

✅ Positive

  • Low P/E ratio compared to industry, indicating undervaluation.
  • Strong ROE at 20.4% reflects good shareholder returns.
  • High dividend yield of 4.14% provides steady income.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio (4.97) increases financial risk.
  • ROCE relatively modest at 9.74%, showing limited efficiency.
  • Dependence on power sector makes earnings vulnerable to policy changes.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Minor decline in quarterly PAT (₹4,502 Cr → ₹4,462 Cr).
  • FII holding decreased (-0.51%) and DII holding decreased (-0.56%), showing reduced institutional confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Stable profitability with EPS at ₹55.2.
  • PEG ratio of 0.34 highlights strong growth potential.
  • 52-week performance shows 45.2% index gain.

🏭 Industry

  • NBFC sector trades at industry PE of 19.1, much higher than PFC’s 6.91, highlighting undervaluation.
  • Sector growth supported by infrastructure and power demand, though regulatory risks remain.

🔎 Conclusion

  • PFC offers strong earnings, high dividend yield, and undervaluation compared to peers.
  • High leverage is a structural risk but manageable given government backing.
  • Best suited for long-term investors seeking value and income, with entry around ₹350 – ₹370 offering a good margin of safety.

Would you like me to create a side-by-side HTML comparison of PFC with REC Ltd (its closest peer in power financing) to highlight relative strengths and risks?

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