PFC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Analysis: PFC is trading at ₹338, well below its 50 DMA (₹369) and 200 DMA (₹399), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 18.8 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-11.4) confirms bearish momentum. Intraday volume (55,47,258) is slightly below the 1-week average (59,46,049), showing moderate participation. Fundamentals remain strong with ROE (20.4%) and attractive dividend yield (4.76%), but high leverage (Debt-to-equity 4.97) and weak technicals limit confidence for intraday trades.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹335–₹340 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹348 – ₹355 (short-term resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹330 (below intraday support).

⏱️ Exit Strategy if Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹338 with weakening momentum. If RSI remains below 20 and MACD stays negative, consider closing positions near ₹335–₹338. If momentum improves with volume pickup, hold until ₹348–₹355.

Positive

• 📈 ROE (20.4%) shows strong shareholder returns.
• 💡 Dividend Yield 4.76% provides attractive income for investors.
• ⚡ Low P/E (6.14) compared to industry PE (21.2), indicating undervaluation.
• 📊 EPS ₹55.2 supports earnings strength.

Limitation

• 📉 Current price below DMA 50 & DMA 200, reflecting bearish trend.
• 📊 High debt-to-equity (4.97) raises leverage risk.
• 📉 RSI 18.8 shows oversold but weak momentum.

Company Negative News

• ⚠️ DII holding reduced (-0.07%), showing domestic investor caution.
• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined slightly from ₹4,502 Cr. to ₹4,462 Cr.

Company Positive News

• ✅ FII holding increased (+0.18%), supporting foreign sentiment.
• 💡 Quarterly profit variation +2.09% YoY shows earnings stability.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 21.2 vs stock PE 6.14, making PFC undervalued compared to peers.
• 📊 Power finance sector remains cyclical, dependent on infrastructure and energy demand outlook.

Conclusion

⚖️ PFC shows strong fundamentals and undervaluation relative to peers, but weak short-term technicals. Intraday traders should be cautious, buying near support (₹335–₹340) with tight stop-losses. Upside is possible toward ₹348–₹355 if momentum improves. Long-term investors may find value due to strong ROE and dividend yield, but intraday trades should remain defensive today.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing PFC with other power finance companies, or prepare a sector rotation basket scan to highlight stronger intraday momentum candidates?