NTPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | NTPC | Market Cap | 3,87,915 Cr. | Current Price | 400 ₹ | High / Low | 414 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 19.2 | Book Value | 173 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.09 % | ROCE | 12.2 % |
| ROE | 13.6 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 382 ₹ | DMA 200 | 357 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.30 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.06 % | PAT Qtr | 4,987 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 4,653 Cr. |
| RSI | 59.0 | MACD | 7.41 | Volume | 67,35,146 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 88,17,655 |
| Low price | 316 ₹ | High price | 414 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.64 | Debt to equity | 1.11 |
| 52w Index | 85.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 5.85 % | EPS | 20.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.0 |
Analysis: NTPC is trading at 400 ₹, comfortably above both 50 DMA (382 ₹) and 200 DMA (357 ₹), indicating strong technical momentum. RSI at 59.0 shows healthy strength without being overbought, and MACD is positive at 7.41. Fundamentals are solid with P/E of 19.2 (below industry 31), ROE of 13.6%, and ROCE of 12.2%. Dividend yield at 2.09% adds investor appeal. However, debt-to-equity is relatively high at 1.11, and the stock is near its 52-week high (414 ₹), which may limit short-term upside.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 385–390 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 410–415 ₹ resistance zone or if RSI approaches 70.
✅ Positive
- Strong technical momentum above DMA levels
- Solid fundamentals with ROE 13.6% and ROCE 12.2%
- Dividend yield of 2.09% supports investor confidence
- Quarterly profit growth (+5.85%)
⚠️ Limitation
- Debt-to-equity relatively high at 1.11
- DII holdings slightly reduced (-0.06%)
- Stock trading close to 52-week high, limiting upside potential
📉 Company Negative News
- High leverage with debt-to-equity at 1.11
- Slight reduction in DII holdings
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT improved (4,987 Cr. vs 4,653 Cr.)
- FII holdings increased (+0.30%)
- Strong EPS at 20.8 ₹
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 31.0, higher than NTPC’s 19.2 (stock undervalued vs peers)
- Energy sector outlook remains favorable with rising demand
🔎 Conclusion
NTPC is a strong swing trade candidate with solid fundamentals and technical strength. Entry is favorable near 385–390 ₹, while profit booking is advised around 410–415 ₹. Traders should monitor debt levels and RSI trends to avoid entering at overbought conditions.