NTPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | NTPC | Market Cap | 3,62,704 Cr. | Current Price | 374 ₹ | High / Low | 394 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 18.0 | Book Value | 173 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.23 % | ROCE | 12.2 % |
| ROE | 13.6 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 365 ₹ | DMA 200 | 348 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.16 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.26 % | PAT Qtr | 4,987 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 4,653 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.9 | MACD | 4.68 | Volume | 1,09,08,293 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,54,91,218 |
| Low price | 316 ₹ | High price | 394 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.47 | Debt to equity | 1.11 |
| 52w Index | 74.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 5.85 % | EPS | 20.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.7 |
Analysis: NTPC trades at 374 ₹, above both its 50 DMA (365 ₹) and 200 DMA (348 ₹), showing bullish momentum. RSI at 49.9 indicates neutral strength, while MACD (4.68) confirms positive momentum. The P/E of 18.0 is below the industry average (31.7), suggesting undervaluation. Fundamentals are decent with ROE (13.6%), ROCE (12.2%), and EPS (20.8 ₹). Dividend yield of 2.23% adds investor appeal. However, debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11 is relatively high, and FII holdings decreased (-0.16%). Overall, NTPC is a good candidate for swing trading with moderate upside potential.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 365–370 ₹, near the 50 DMA support zone.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 390–394 ₹ (recent high zone). Place a stop-loss around 360 ₹ to protect against downside risk.
✅ Positive
- P/E of 18.0 vs industry 31.7 suggests undervaluation.
- Dividend yield of 2.23% provides steady income.
- EPS of 20.8 ₹ reflects strong earnings power.
- Stock trades above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing bullish momentum.
⚠️ Limitation
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11 adds financial risk.
- ROCE (12.2%) and ROE (13.6%) are moderate compared to peers.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.16%), showing reduced foreign confidence.
📉 Company Negative News
- Debt levels remain high, limiting flexibility.
- FII holdings decreased, reflecting weaker foreign sentiment.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.26%), showing domestic institutional support.
- PAT improved (4,987 Cr. vs 4,653 Cr.), showing earnings growth.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 31.7, making NTPC relatively undervalued.
- Power sector benefits from long-term demand growth but faces regulatory and debt challenges.
🔎 Conclusion
NTPC shows strong technical momentum and fair valuation, making it a good swing trade candidate. Entry near 365–370 ₹ is safer, with exit around 390–394 ₹. Stop-loss at 360 ₹ is recommended. While debt levels pose a limitation, steady earnings growth and dividend yield support upside potential.