NTPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | NTPC | Market Cap | 3,47,624 Cr. | Current Price | 359 ₹ | High / Low | 371 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 17.2 | Book Value | 173 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.33 % | ROCE | 12.2 % |
| ROE | 13.6 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 339 ₹ | DMA 200 | 338 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.16 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.26 % | PAT Qtr | 4,987 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 4,653 Cr. |
| RSI | 62.2 | MACD | 5.26 | Volume | 1,21,42,181 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,65,45,800 |
| Low price | 293 ₹ | High price | 371 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.37 | Debt to equity | 1.11 |
| 52w Index | 83.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 5.85 % | EPS | 20.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.5 |
📊 NTPC shows good potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 359 ₹, trading above both its 50 DMA (339 ₹) and 200 DMA (338 ₹), indicating bullish momentum. RSI at 62.2 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, while MACD at 5.26 confirms positive sentiment. Fundamentals are stable with ROCE at 12.2% and ROE at 13.6%. Valuation is attractive (P/E 17.2 vs industry 25.5), and dividend yield of 2.33% adds investor appeal. However, high debt-to-equity (1.11) and PEG ratio (2.37) highlight some financial and growth concerns.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 350–355 ₹ (near short-term support)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 368–371 ₹ (near resistance zone), or exit if price falls below 345 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 Attractive valuation with P/E of 17.2 vs industry 25.5.
- 📈 Dividend yield of 2.33% adds investor confidence.
- 📊 EPS of 20.8 ₹ reflects strong earnings power.
- 📦 DII holding increased by 0.26%, showing domestic investor support.
- 📈 PAT growth (4,653 Cr. → 4,987 Cr.) indicates improving profitability.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11 is relatively high.
- 📉 PEG ratio of 2.37 suggests limited growth efficiency.
- 🔻 RSI at 62.2 indicates the stock is nearing overbought levels.
- 📉 Volume lower than weekly average, showing reduced participation.
Company Negative News
- 📉 FII holding decreased by -0.16%.
- 📉 Rising debt levels may pressure balance sheet.
Company Positive News
- 📊 Quarterly PAT growth of 5.85% shows steady improvement.
- 💰 Dividend yield supports investor sentiment.
- 📈 Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bullish trend.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 25.5 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Power sector benefits from government-led infrastructure and renewable energy initiatives.
Conclusion
⚖️ NTPC is a fundamentally stable company with attractive valuation and steady earnings growth, making it a good candidate for swing trading. Entry near 350–355 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with exit targets around 368–371 ₹. Caution advised if price breaks below 345 ₹, as momentum could weaken.