NTPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for NTPC based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.0
| Stock Code | NTPC | Market Cap | 3,51,119 Cr. | Current Price | 362 ₹ | High / Low | 414 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 15.2 | Book Value | 180 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.31 % | ROCE | 8.43 % |
| ROE | 13.8 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 375 ₹ | DMA 200 | 362 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.30 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.06 % | PAT Qtr | 8,747 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 4,987 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.2 | MACD | -9.24 | Volume | 1,26,36,027 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,33,84,756 |
| Low price | 316 ₹ | High price | 414 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.46 | Debt to equity | 1.09 |
| 52w Index | 46.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 51.4 % | EPS | 23.9 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.6 |
NTPC shows good swing trade potential. The current price of 362 ₹ is at its 200 DMA (362 ₹) but below the 50 DMA (375 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness with long-term support. RSI at 42.2 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while MACD at -9.24 indicates bearish momentum. Fundamentals are strong with ROE at 13.8%, EPS at 23.9 ₹, and quarterly PAT growth of 51.4%. Valuation is attractive (P/E 15.2 vs industry 27.6, PEG 1.46), though debt-to-equity ratio of 1.09 raises caution.
Optimal Entry Price: 355–365 ₹, near support levels.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 395–405 ₹. If momentum sustains, monitor for breakout toward 414 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Attractive valuation (P/E 15.2 vs industry 27.6).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 2.31% provides steady returns.
- 📊 Strong quarterly PAT growth (8,747 Cr. vs 4,987 Cr.).
- 📈 EPS of 23.9 ₹ reflects solid profitability.
- 💹 FII inflows (+0.30%) add foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 RSI at 42.2 and bearish MACD (-9.24) show weak momentum.
- 📊 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.09 signals leverage risk.
- 📉 ROCE at 8.43% is modest compared to peers.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 DII holdings decreased (-0.06%), showing reduced domestic support.
- ⚠️ Technical weakness with price below 50 DMA.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth of 51.4% boosts sentiment.
- 💹 Dividend yield and valuation discount provide investor appeal.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 27.6 is higher, showing NTPC trades at a discount.
- ⚡ Power sector benefits from rising energy demand but faces regulatory and tariff risks.
📌 Conclusion
NTPC is a strong candidate for swing trading with solid fundamentals, dividend support, and valuation discount. Entry near 355–365 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup. Exit should be considered around 395–405 ₹ unless momentum sustains toward 414 ₹. Traders should monitor debt levels and technical indicators closely before aggressive positioning.
Would you like me to extend this with a peer benchmarking against NHPC and NLCINDIA to highlight relative swing trade opportunities?