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NTPC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 4.2

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.2

Stock Code NTPC Market Cap 3,47,624 Cr. Current Price 359 ₹ High / Low 371 ₹
Stock P/E 17.2 Book Value 173 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.33 % ROCE 12.2 %
ROE 13.6 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 339 ₹ DMA 200 338 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.16 % Chg in DII Hold 0.26 % PAT Qtr 4,987 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 4,653 Cr.
RSI 62.2 MACD 5.26 Volume 1,21,42,181 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,65,45,800
Low price 293 ₹ High price 371 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.37 Debt to equity 1.11
52w Index 83.6 % Qtr Profit Var 5.85 % EPS 20.8 ₹ Industry PE 25.5

📊 Analysis: NTPC shows strong intraday potential. Current price (359 ₹) is above both 50 DMA (339 ₹) and 200 DMA (338 ₹), confirming bullish support. RSI at 62.2 indicates positive momentum but nearing overbought territory. MACD (5.26) signals bullish strength. Volume (1.21 Cr) is below average (1.65 Cr), suggesting slightly weaker participation, but price action remains favorable for intraday trades.

💰 Optimal Buy Price: 357 ₹ – 360 ₹ (near support zone)

📈 Profit-Taking Levels: 365 ₹ – 370 ₹

📉 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 352 ₹

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to hold above 357 ₹ or if RSI crosses above 65 and momentum weakens. Book profits if price approaches 365–370 ₹ with signs of volume divergence or reversal candles.


Positive

  • Trading above both DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms bullish trend support.
  • Dividend yield of 2.33% provides steady shareholder returns.
  • Quarterly PAT improved (4,987 Cr. vs 4,653 Cr.), showing earnings growth.
  • EPS of 20.8 ₹ reflects strong profitability.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.26%), showing domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • RSI at 62.2 is close to overbought zone, limiting upside potential.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11 indicates relatively high leverage.
  • Volume below average weakens intraday conviction.
  • PEG ratio of 2.37 suggests valuation is stretched relative to growth.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.16%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation (+5.85%) highlights earnings resilience.
  • 52-week index at 83.6% shows strong recovery from lows.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 25.5 is higher than NTPC’s (17.2), suggesting NTPC trades at a discount to peers.
  • Power generation sector remains stable, supported by government initiatives and rising demand.

Conclusion

⚖️ NTPC is a strong candidate for intraday trading today, supported by bullish DMA positioning, earnings growth, and favorable valuation compared to peers. However, slightly weaker volume and high leverage require disciplined entries with tight stop-losses. Best suited for momentum trades with profit booking around 365–370 ₹.

Would you like me to also prepare a workflow-ready HTML template with peer benchmarking overlays (e.g., comparing NTPC with NHPC, SJVN, and PowerGrid) so you can integrate sector-relative strength into your intraday reports?

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