NTPC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.0

📊 Analysis: NTPC is trading at ₹320, below both DMA 50 (₹328) and DMA 200 (₹337), indicating a bearish undertone. RSI at 35.8 shows weak momentum, close to oversold territory but not yet at reversal levels. MACD (-2.55) remains negative, confirming downward bias. Intraday volume (62 lakh) is below average (70 lakh), reflecting reduced participation. Fundamentals remain strong, but intraday technicals suggest caution.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹318–₹320 (near support zone)

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹326–₹328 (short-term bounce target)

🛑 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹315 (below recent support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹320 or if RSI drops below 35 with MACD continuing negative. Consider booking profits if price approaches ₹326–₹328 with volume confirmation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROE at 13.6% and ROCE at 12.2%
• 💰 Dividend yield of 2.61% provides steady shareholder returns
• 📊 EPS at ₹20.5 supports valuation strength
• 📈 FII holding increased by 0.31%, showing foreign investor confidence
• 📊 Industry PE at 26.7 vs NTPC’s 15.6, indicating undervaluation

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Price trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms weak trend
• 📊 RSI at 35.8 shows weak momentum
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 1.11 is relatively high
• 📉 Intraday volume below weekly average, showing reduced participation

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined slightly (₹4,775 Cr. → ₹4,653 Cr.)
• 📊 MACD remains negative, confirming bearish bias

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation stable (+0.10%)
• 💰 Consistent dividend yield supports investor sentiment

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 26.7, higher than NTPC’s 15.6, suggesting undervaluation
• ⚡ Power sector outlook tied to government infrastructure and renewable energy initiatives

📌 Conclusion

NTPC shows moderate intraday potential today. While fundamentals remain strong and valuation is attractive, technical indicators point to weakness. Traders may attempt entries near ₹318–₹320 with stop-loss at ₹315 and profit booking around ₹326–₹328. Conservative traders should wait for stronger momentum confirmation before entering intraday positions.

Would you like me to extend this into a basket overlay with peer benchmarking against other power sector stocks, so you can identify relative intraday strength opportunities?