IRCTC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

🚆 IRCTC shows strong fundamentals and neutral technicals. Entry near ₹705–₹715 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting near ₹755–₹770.

📈 Positive

• ROCE 49.0% and ROE 37.2% — excellent capital efficiency
• EPS ₹16.7 and P/E 44.0 — fair valuation relative to industry PE of 37.4
• MACD 1.79 and RSI 49.8 — neutral momentum with potential upside
• Debt-to-equity 0.02 — virtually debt-free
• Dividend yield 1.11% — modest income potential

⚠️ Limitation

• Trading below DMA 50 (₹721) and DMA 200 (₹754) — mild bearish bias
• PEG ratio 1.79 — growth not fully justifying valuation
• Volume below weekly average — cooling short-term interest
• FII holding slightly declined

🚫 Company Negative News

• Stock down ~17% from 52-week high of ₹863
• Flat quarterly PAT — ₹330 Cr. vs ₹328 Cr.

✅ Company Positive News

• Stable earnings and strong margins in catering and ticketing segments
• Positive outlook on tourism recovery and digital rail services
• Analysts expect medium-term recovery toward ₹800+ levels

🏭 Industry

• Railway and tourism sector benefits from increased travel demand, digital services, and infrastructure upgrades
• IRCTC trades slightly above industry PE (37.4) — reflects brand strength and monopoly position

🧾 Conclusion

• IRCTC is a fundamentally strong but technically consolidating swing candidate
• Best entry: ₹705–₹715 near support and RSI base
• If already held, exit near ₹755–₹770 — resistance zone below DMA 200
• Watch for RSI >55 and MACD continuation for confirmation

I can also compare IRCTC with other travel-tech or railway-linked stocks to highlight stronger swing setups.