IRCTC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | IRCTC | Market Cap | 49,760 Cr. | Current Price | 622 ₹ | High / Low | 820 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 37.2 | Book Value | 53.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.29 % | ROCE | 49.0 % |
| ROE | 37.2 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 653 ₹ | DMA 200 | 711 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.08 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.16 % | PAT Qtr | 338 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 330 Cr. |
| RSI | 44.0 | MACD | -14.1 | Volume | 10,07,899 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 17,49,844 |
| Low price | 596 ₹ | High price | 820 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.51 | Debt to equity | 0.02 |
| 52w Index | 11.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 9.69 % | EPS | 17.1 ₹ | Industry PE | 41.4 |
📊 IRCTC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is priced at ₹622, below both its 50 DMA (₹653) and 200 DMA (₹711), indicating short-term weakness. Technical indicators (RSI 44.0, MACD negative) suggest bearish momentum. Fundamentals remain strong with high ROCE (49.0%), ROE (37.2%), and low debt (0.02). However, valuation is slightly expensive (P/E 37.2 vs industry 41.4), and institutional outflows weigh on sentiment.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹605–615 (near support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near ₹650–660 resistance levels, or maintain a stop-loss around ₹595.
✅ Positive
- ROCE of 49.0% and ROE of 37.2% highlight strong efficiency.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 shows negligible leverage risk.
- Quarterly PAT improved from ₹330 Cr. to ₹338 Cr. (+9.69%).
- EPS of ₹17.1 reflects solid profitability.
- Dividend yield of 1.29% provides modest shareholder returns.
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA signals weakness.
- MACD at -14.1 shows bearish crossover momentum.
- PEG ratio of 1.51 indicates slightly expensive growth valuation.
- Volume (10.1 lakh) is below weekly average, showing reduced participation.
📉 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.08%) and DII holdings decreased (-0.16%), reflecting reduced institutional confidence.
- Stock trading far below 52-week high (₹820), limiting bullish sentiment.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit growth (+9.69%) supports near-term optimism.
- Strong efficiency ratios (ROCE, ROE) highlight operational strength.
- Low debt provides financial stability.
🏦 Industry
- Industry P/E at 41.4 is slightly higher than IRCTC’s 37.2, suggesting fair valuation.
- Travel and tourism sector benefits from rising demand, but remains cyclical and sensitive to external shocks.
🔎 Conclusion
IRCTC earns a swing trade rating of 3.7. Entry near ₹605–615 offers a safer risk-reward setup, while profit booking should be considered near ₹650–660. Traders should remain cautious due to weak technicals and institutional outflows, but strong fundamentals, profitability, and low debt provide medium-term support.