IRCTC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.0
| Stock Code | IRCTC | Market Cap | 44,391 Cr. | Current Price | 555 ₹ | High / Low | 820 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 32.1 | Book Value | 53.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.53 % | ROCE | 49.0 % |
| ROE | 37.2 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 559 ₹ | DMA 200 | 644 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -2.33 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.84 % | PAT Qtr | 387 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 338 Cr. |
| RSI | 54.2 | MACD | 0.94 | Volume | 20,19,436 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 15,50,076 |
| Low price | 493 ₹ | High price | 820 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.31 | Debt to equity | 0.02 |
| 52w Index | 19.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 13.3 % | EPS | 17.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 44.7 |
Analysis: IRCTC is trading at ₹555, near its 50 DMA (₹559) but below the 200 DMA (₹644), showing consolidation with mild bearish bias. RSI at 54.2 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at 0.94 suggests a slight positive crossover. Valuation is moderately high with a P/E of 32.1 compared to industry average of 44.7, but fundamentals are strong: ROCE at 49% and ROE at 37.2% are excellent. Debt-to-equity ratio is very low (0.02), showing financial stability. PAT improved (₹387 Cr vs ₹338 Cr), with quarterly profit variation (+13.3%) supporting earnings momentum. Dividend yield at 1.53% adds investor appeal. Swing trade potential is strong, though resistance lies near 200 DMA.
Optimal Entry Price: ₹540–550, near short-term support.
Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting around ₹590–600, aligning with resistance levels before 200 DMA.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (49%) and ROE (37.2%).
- Debt-free structure (Debt-to-equity 0.02).
- PAT growth (+13.3%) supports earnings momentum.
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E ratio (32.1) higher than industry average valuation comfort.
- Trading below 200 DMA (₹644), showing overhead resistance.
- PEG ratio at 1.31 indicates growth is priced fairly high.
📉 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased significantly (-2.33%).
- Stock still below long-term resistance (200 DMA).
📈 Company Positive News
- PAT improved (₹387 Cr vs ₹338 Cr).
- DII holdings increased (+0.84%), showing domestic investor support.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 44.7, showing IRCTC trades at a discount.
- Travel and tourism sector remains cyclical but benefits from rising demand post-recovery.
🔎 Conclusion
IRCTC is a strong candidate for swing trading with excellent fundamentals, debt-free balance sheet, and improving profits. Entry near ₹540–550 may be considered, with exit around ₹590–600. While valuation is reasonable compared to industry, caution is advised due to resistance near 200 DMA and reduced FII participation.