IRCTC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Strengths

ROCE (49.0%) / ROE (37.2%): Excellent capital efficiency—ideal for swing setups.

Price ≈ DMA50 (₹732): Sitting on short-term support, potential bounce zone.

Debt-to-Equity (0.02): Virtually debt-free, adds financial stability.

EPS (₹16.7) and P/E (45.0): Fairly valued relative to industry PE (43.5).

Volume > Avg Vol: Healthy participation.

DII Holding ↑ (0.27%): Mild domestic institutional support.

Stable PAT Qtr: ₹330 Cr. vs ₹328 Cr.—earnings consistency.

⚠️ Risks

MACD (-0.37): Bearish crossover—momentum weakening.

RSI (60.7): Approaching overbought zone—watch for short-term exhaustion.

Price < DMA200 (₹768): Long-term trend still under pressure.

PEG Ratio (1.83): Slightly expensive relative to growth.

FII Holding ↓ (-0.09%): Mild foreign outflow.

52w Index (28.7%): Weak relative strength—far from yearly high.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹715–₹725

A pullback near ₹715 offers better margin of safety.

Entry should be confirmed with MACD flattening and RSI push above 63.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹765–₹780

Resistance zone near DMA200 with ~4–6% swing potential.

Stop Loss: ₹698

Below recent support and pre-breakout levels; protects against downside risk.

If you'd like, I can scan for other transport-sector setups with stronger MACD and RSI alignment, or build a dynamic exit matrix tailored to your current swing basket. Just say the word.

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