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IRCTC - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 4.0

Stock Code IRCTC Market Cap 43,208 Cr. Current Price 540 ₹ High / Low 820 ₹
Stock P/E 31.2 Book Value 53.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.57 % ROCE 49.0 %
ROE 37.2 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 600 ₹ DMA 200 679 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.08 % Chg in DII Hold -0.16 % PAT Qtr 387 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 338 Cr.
RSI 35.1 MACD -24.7 Volume 24,72,854 Avg Vol 1Wk 23,26,426
Low price 518 ₹ High price 820 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.27 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 7.27 % Qtr Profit Var 13.3 % EPS 17.8 ₹ Industry PE 40.3

📊 Financial Overview

  • Revenue & Profitability: PAT rose from ₹338 Cr. to ₹387 Cr. (QoQ), showing healthy earnings growth.
  • Margins: ROE at 37.2% and ROCE at 49.0% are excellent, reflecting strong profitability and capital efficiency.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 indicates a nearly debt-free balance sheet.
  • Cash Flow: EPS of ₹17.8 is solid, supporting shareholder value.

💹 Valuation Metrics

  • P/E Ratio: 31.2 vs Industry PE of 40.3 → undervalued compared to peers.
  • P/B Ratio: Price ₹540 vs Book Value ₹53.2 → trading at a steep premium, reflecting investor optimism.
  • PEG Ratio: 1.27 → suggests valuation is slightly expensive relative to growth.
  • Intrinsic Value: Strong fundamentals and undervalued P/E make IRCTC attractive for long-term investors.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • IRCTC operates in online ticketing, catering, and tourism services under Indian Railways.
  • Competitive advantage lies in monopoly-like position in railway ticketing and strong brand recognition.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: ₹520–560 range looks attractive given undervaluation relative to industry PE.
  • Long-Term Holding: Strong candidate for long-term portfolios due to debt-free status, high ROE/ROCE, and monopoly business model.

✅ Positive

  • Debt-free balance sheet.
  • Excellent ROE (37.2%) and ROCE (49.0%).
  • Undervalued compared to industry PE.
  • Strong PAT growth (13.3% QoQ).

⚠️ Limitation

  • PEG ratio (1.27) suggests valuation is slightly expensive relative to growth.
  • Stock trading below DMA 50 & DMA 200, indicating bearish technical trend.
  • EPS of ₹17.8 is modest relative to price.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.08%).
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.16%).
  • Stock corrected from high of ₹820 to current ₹540.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth of 13.3% shows steady momentum.
  • Dividend yield of 1.57% provides income support.

🏦 Industry

  • Industry PE at 40.3 highlights sector trades at higher multiples than IRCTC.
  • Tourism and travel sector growth supported by rising demand for rail travel and hospitality services.

🔎 Conclusion

  • IRCTC is fundamentally strong with excellent ROE/ROCE, debt-free status, and monopoly advantage in railway ticketing.
  • Entry around ₹520–560 is favorable for long-term investors.
  • Strong long-term holding potential given business model and undervaluation relative to peers, but monitor institutional flows and technical weakness.

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