IRCTC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Analysis: IRCTC is trading at ₹675, below both its 50 DMA (₹693) and 200 DMA (₹736), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 34.0 shows oversold conditions, while MACD (-9.50) confirms bearish momentum. Current volume (3.59L) is in line with the weekly average (3.56L), suggesting stable intraday participation. Fundamentals remain strong (ROE 37.2%, ROCE 49.0%, low debt), but stretched valuation (P/E 40.4 vs industry P/E 39.9) and weak technicals limit immediate upside. Intraday setup is moderately cautious with potential bounce near support.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹670–675 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹685–695 (resistance near 50 DMA).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹660 (below recent support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹680 or RSI drops below 32 with declining volume.

Positive

• ✅ Strong ROE (37.2%) and ROCE (49.0%) highlight excellent capital efficiency.
• ✅ Debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) ensures financial stability.
• ✅ Quarterly PAT growth of 9.69% (₹330 Cr. → ₹338 Cr.).
• ✅ DII holding increased (+0.02%), showing marginal domestic institutional support.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 34 indicates oversold momentum and weak buying strength.
• ⚠️ MACD negative (-9.50) signals bearish trend continuation.
• ⚠️ Trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 reflects short-term weakness.
• ⚠️ High P/E (40.4) compared to industry average (39.9), suggesting stretched valuation.

Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.01%), showing reduced foreign investor interest.

Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth supports earnings momentum.
• 📈 DII inflows (+0.02%) reflect domestic institutional confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry P/E (39.9) is close to IRCTC’s P/E (40.4), showing fair valuation relative to peers.
• 🏭 Travel & tourism sector remains structurally strong with long-term demand recovery post-pandemic.

Conclusion

🔎 IRCTC shows weak intraday signals with oversold RSI and bearish MACD, but strong fundamentals may support a short-term bounce near support. Suitable only for cautious intraday trades with tight stop-loss, targeting resistance zones for quick exits.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing IRCTC with other travel & tourism stocks like Thomas Cook, Easy Trip Planners, and Lemon Tree Hotels to identify stronger intraday setups, or keep the focus strictly on IRCTC’s intraday exit logic refinement?