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IRCTC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 08:37 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code IRCTC Market Cap 41,821 Cr. Current Price 523 ₹ High / Low 800 ₹
Stock P/E 30.3 Book Value 53.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.62 % ROCE 46.1 %
ROE 34.6 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 550 ₹ DMA 200 628 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.33 % Chg in DII Hold 0.84 % PAT Qtr 327 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 387 Cr.
RSI 39.1 MACD -5.21 Volume 21,21,702 Avg Vol 1Wk 12,60,203
Low price 493 ₹ High price 800 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.55 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 9.99 % Qtr Profit Var -0.44 % EPS 17.4 ₹ Industry PE 40.3

📉 IRCTC is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹550) and 200 DMA (₹628), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 39.1 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD is negative (-5.21), confirming bearish crossover. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, suggesting downside pressure. Current volume (21.2 lakh) is above average (12.6 lakh), showing heightened participation but with selling bias.

🔑 Short-term momentum signals: Bearish, with limited upside unless price reclaims ₹550–₹560 zone.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹500–₹520 (support region)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹560–₹580 (resistance region)

📊 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish tilt

Positive

  • Strong ROE (34.6%) and ROCE (46.1%) highlight efficiency
  • EPS at ₹17.4 supports valuation strength
  • DII holdings increased (+0.84%), showing domestic institutional support
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.02 ensures financial stability
  • Dividend yield of 1.62% provides income cushion

Limitation

  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
  • RSI below 40 indicates weak momentum
  • Negative MACD confirms bearish crossover
  • Quarterly PAT declined (₹387 Cr. → ₹327 Cr.)
  • FII holdings decreased (-2.33%), showing reduced foreign confidence
  • PEG ratio at 2.55 indicates stretched valuation relative to growth

Company Negative News

  • Decline in quarterly PAT (-0.44%)
  • FII outflows (-2.33%)
  • Price struggling to sustain above long-term averages

Company Positive News

  • DII inflows (+0.84%) support investor confidence
  • Strong efficiency metrics (ROE and ROCE)
  • Dividend yield of 1.62% adds income cushion

Industry

  • Industry PE at 40.3 highlights sector trading at premium valuations
  • Travel and tourism sector supported by rising demand and government initiatives

Conclusion

⚖️ IRCTC shows weak technical momentum with RSI below 40 and negative MACD. Entry is favorable near ₹500–₹520 with profit booking around ₹560–₹580. Trend remains consolidative with bearish tilt unless price sustains above 50 DMA (₹550) and 200 DMA (₹628). Fundamentals remain strong with high ROE/ROCE and dividend yield, but technical weakness and declining PAT limit near-term upside.

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