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IRCTC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:57 am

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code IRCTC Market Cap 43,164 Cr. Current Price 540 ₹ High / Low 820 ₹
Stock P/E 31.2 Book Value 53.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.58 % ROCE 49.0 %
ROE 37.2 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 559 ₹ DMA 200 645 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.33 % Chg in DII Hold 0.84 % PAT Qtr 387 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 338 Cr.
RSI 46.5 MACD 0.22 Volume 11,17,918 Avg Vol 1Wk 13,96,872
Low price 493 ₹ High price 820 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.27 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 14.3 % Qtr Profit Var 13.3 % EPS 17.8 ₹ Industry PE 44.2

📉 IRCTC is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹559) and 200 DMA (₹645), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 46.5 indicates neutral-to-bearish momentum, while MACD at 0.22 suggests a weak positive crossover. Bollinger Bands show price near mid-range, reflecting consolidation. Current volume (11.1 lakh) is below average (13.9 lakh), highlighting reduced participation.

🔑 Short-term momentum signals: Mild bullish bias, but sustainability depends on reclaiming ₹560–₹570 zone.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹530–₹540 (support region)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹570–₹590 (resistance region)

📊 Trend Status: Consolidating with weak bullish tilt

Positive

  • Strong ROCE (49%) and ROE (37.2%) highlight efficiency
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.02 indicates virtually debt-free balance sheet
  • Quarterly PAT growth (+13.3%) shows earnings momentum
  • DII holdings increased (+0.84%), showing domestic institutional support
  • EPS at ₹17.8 supports valuation strength

Limitation

  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
  • FII holdings decreased (-2.33%), showing reduced foreign investor interest
  • PEG ratio at 1.27 indicates moderate valuation stretch
  • Volume below average, limiting breakout potential

Company Negative News

  • Decline in foreign institutional holdings (-2.33%)
  • Price struggling to sustain above long-term averages

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved from ₹338 Cr. to ₹387 Cr.
  • DII inflows (+0.84%) support investor confidence
  • Strong fundamentals with high ROE and ROCE

Industry

  • Industry PE at 44.2 highlights sector trading at higher multiples
  • Railway and travel sector benefiting from rising passenger demand and government initiatives

Conclusion

⚖️ IRCTC shows strong fundamentals with high ROE, ROCE, and debt-free structure, but technicals remain weak with price below key moving averages and reduced volume. Entry near ₹530–₹540 offers tactical opportunity, with profit booking around ₹570–₹590. Trend remains consolidative with mild bullish tilt, requiring breakout above 200 DMA (₹645) for sustained upside momentum.

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