ALIVUS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading below both 50-DMA (₹970) and 200-DMA (₹1,007), indicating short-term weakness and lack of bullish confirmation.

RSI (48.0): Neutral zone—no momentum signal, but not oversold either.

MACD (-9.51): Bearish crossover—momentum is fading.

Volume: Below 1-week average, suggesting weak participation and low conviction.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 23.5 Undervalued vs industry PE (33.4) — valuation support

PEG Ratio 4.99 Overpriced relative to growth — caution on sustainability

ROCE / ROE 24.9% / 18.7% Strong capital efficiency — supports quality setup

Debt-to-Equity 0.02 Virtually debt-free — low financial risk

PAT Growth (QoQ) -14.1% Mild decline — sentiment neutral

FII/DII Change -0.15% / +0.43% Mild DII accumulation offsets FII trimming — net neutral

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Fundamentally strong but technically weak setup.

Catalyst: ROCE/ROE strength and low debt offer support, but MACD and RSI lack confirmation.

Risk: Weak momentum and elevated PEG — entry should be delayed until reversal signals appear.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹930–₹945

(Near short-term support with stop-loss below ₹910)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹980–₹995 (Resistance near 50-DMA and prior swing zone)

Stop-Loss: ₹910 (Below MACD base and recent support)

Selva, this setup is best treated as a watchlist candidate until momentum confirms. If you're refining your mid-cap pharma or consumer basket, I can scan for peers with better PEG alignment and stronger breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you're ready.

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