ALIVUS - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

ALIVUS presents a technically cautious setup with mixed signals. While its fundamentals hint at possible long-term strength, the swing trade potential is currently muted due to lack of earnings clarity and momentum weakness.

✅ Positives for Swing Setup

Above Industry PE (35.3 vs 34.0): Market pricing suggests future growth expectations.

EPS is Robust (₹359): Implies earnings potential, though verification with PAT is needed.

Dividend Yield (2.21%): Decent payout supports holding comfort.

Supportive DMA Levels: CMP ₹1,017 is sandwiched between DMA50 ₹1,037 and DMA200 ₹1,029, hinting at base-building.

DII Inflows (+0.43%): Domestic investors accumulating modestly.

❌ Risk Flags

Weak Momentum: RSI 44.6 and MACD -0.20 point to bearish consolidation.

Volume Dropping: Current volume below 1-week average indicates weak trader conviction.

FII Outflows (-0.15%): Foreign sentiment remains negative.

Missing Metrics: No Book Value, ROE, ROCE, Debt-to-Equity or Profit Data, making valuation and capital efficiency unclear.

Low 52W Index (37.3%): Price remains far from its 52-week high of ₹1,335.

📥 Optimal Entry Zone

Entry Range: ₹995–₹1,015

Only consider buying if

Price closes above ₹1,037 (DMA50) for 2 days

RSI moves above 50

Volume surges above 50,000

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Initial Target: ₹1,065–₹1,080 (short-term resistance zone)

Mid-Term Target: ₹1,110–₹1,140 (requires volume-led rally)

Aggressive Exit: ₹1,190+ if momentum confirms and RSI nears 65+

Stop Loss: ₹985 (to cut if trend breaks down)

🧠 Final Thought

ALIVUS could be forming a base, but the lack of complete fundamental data and current technical sluggishness make it a "watchlist candidate" rather than a high-conviction swing buy. Best to wait for confirmation signals or consider tighter setups unless you already hold.

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