ALIVUS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 ALIVUS presents a moderately favorable setup for swing trading. The RSI at 50.7 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD (-3.53) shows mild bearishness. The stock is trading just below the 50 DMA (909 ₹) and 200 DMA (963 ₹), suggesting resistance overhead. Optimal entry would be near 880–890 ₹, close to support levels. If already holding, consider exiting near 940–960 ₹, where strong resistance from the 200 DMA exists.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (18.7%) highlight efficient capital use.
• 💰 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 indicates a virtually debt-free balance sheet.
• 📊 Quarterly profit growth (+36.4%) shows robust earnings momentum.
• 📈 FII holdings increased (+0.42%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 P/E of 20.8 is lower than industry average (30.6), but PEG ratio of 4.42 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
• 📉 MACD negative (-3.53) indicates weak short-term momentum.
• 📉 DII holdings decreased (-0.15%), showing reduced domestic investor interest.
• 📉 Price below DMA 50 & DMA 200, confirming resistance overhead.

🚨 Company Negative News

Technical indicators show mild bearishness with price struggling below key moving averages. Valuation concerns arise from a high PEG ratio, and reduced DII participation adds caution.

🌟 Company Positive News

Strong quarterly profit growth (+36.4%) and high efficiency ratios (ROCE, ROE) support fundamentals. Debt-free balance sheet adds financial stability. FII inflows reflect foreign investor confidence.

🏭 Industry

The industry average P/E is 30.6, while ALIVUS trades at 20.8, making it relatively cheaper. However, the high PEG ratio suggests growth expectations are priced in. The sector outlook remains positive, supporting medium-term opportunities.

📌 Conclusion

ALIVUS is a moderate candidate for swing trading. Entry near 880–890 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup. Exit strategy should target 940–960 ₹, with potential upside if momentum strengthens. Traders should remain cautious due to weak technicals but can benefit from strong fundamentals and earnings growth.

I can also outline a short-term stop-loss level for ALIVUS to help manage risk more effectively if you'd like.