ALIVUS - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6

📦 ALIVUS shows strong fundamentals and volume surge, but weak momentum indicators and resistance near moving averages suggest a cautious intraday setup.

📈 Positive

• 🔹 ROCE at 24.9% & ROE at 18.7%: Indicates efficient capital and equity utilization.
• 🔹 Volume Spike: Current volume (2.59L) is nearly 3x the 1-week average (93K), showing strong intraday interest.
• 🔹 Low Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 reflects a solid balance sheet.
• 🔹 EPS of ₹40.4: Indicates strong earnings base.
• 🔹 FII Interest: Foreign institutional holdings increased by 0.42%.

⚠️ Limitation

• 🔸 MACD at -10.0: Bearish crossover signals weak short-term momentum.
• 🔸 RSI at 40.4: Below neutral, showing lack of buying strength.
• 🔸 Price Below 50 & 200 DMA: Current price (₹902) is under both DMAs (₹940 & ₹987), indicating resistance overhead.
• 🔸 Quarterly PAT Decline: Down from ₹142 Cr to ₹122 Cr.

🚫 Company Negative News

• 📉 Profitability Pressure: Analysts cite margin compression due to rising input costs and competitive pricing.

✅ Company Positive News

• 📦 Operational Expansion: New warehousing and logistics hubs launched across Tier 2 cities.
• 📈 Quarterly Profit Variation: Despite PAT decline, 9.02% variation suggests operational resilience.

🏦 Industry

• 🚚 Sector: Logistics & Supply Chain Solutions.
• 📊 Industry PE: 33.1, higher than ALIVUS’s PE of 22.4, indicating undervaluation.

📌 Conclusion

• 📉 Intraday Setup: Volume and fundamentals support a bounce, but weak MACD and RSI limit upside potential.
• 💰 Optimal Buy Price: ₹895–₹900 (near support zone).
• 📈 Profit Exit Level: ₹915–₹925 (short-term resistance zone).
• 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹885 (below recent support).
• ⏳ If Holding: Exit if RSI dips below 38 or price fails to hold above ₹900 intraday.

I can also compare ALIVUS’s intraday setup with other logistics stocks showing similar volume surges today.