⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

ITC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 05 May 26, 03:38 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

Stock Code ITC Market Cap 3,89,730 Cr. Current Price 311 ₹ High / Low 444 ₹
Stock P/E 19.3 Book Value 54.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.61 % ROCE 36.9 %
ROE 27.9 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 311 ₹ DMA 200 357 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.28 % Chg in DII Hold 0.25 % PAT Qtr 5,297 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 5,113 Cr.
RSI 55.9 MACD 1.77 Volume 2,15,43,954 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,01,49,078
Low price 287 ₹ High price 444 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.10 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 15.3 % Qtr Profit Var 5.59 % EPS 27.8 ₹ Industry PE 44.1

Analysis: ITC is trading at ₹311, exactly at its 50 DMA (₹311) but below the 200 DMA (₹357), showing consolidation with mild bearish bias. RSI at 55.9 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at 1.77 suggests a slight positive crossover. Valuation is reasonable with a P/E of 19.3 compared to industry average of 44.1, and EPS of ₹27.8 is strong. ROCE (36.9%) and ROE (27.9%) are excellent, highlighting efficiency. Debt-to-equity ratio is 0.00, showing a debt-free balance sheet. PAT improved (₹5,297 Cr vs ₹5,113 Cr), with quarterly profit variation (+5.59%) supporting earnings stability. Dividend yield at 4.61% adds investor appeal. Swing trade potential is strong, though resistance lies near 200 DMA.

Optimal Entry Price: ₹305–310, near short-term support.

Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting around ₹340–350, aligning with resistance near 200 DMA.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (36.9%) and ROE (27.9%).
  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00).
  • Dividend yield of 4.61% adds investor attractiveness.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Trading below 200 DMA (₹357), showing overhead resistance.
  • PEG ratio at 2.10 indicates growth is priced expensively.
  • FII holdings decreased (-1.28%).

📉 Company Negative News

  • Decline in foreign institutional holdings (-1.28%).
  • Stock still below long-term resistance (200 DMA).

📈 Company Positive News

  • PAT improved (₹5,297 Cr vs ₹5,113 Cr).
  • DII holdings increased (+0.25%), showing domestic support.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 44.1, showing ITC trades at a discount.
  • Consumer goods sector remains resilient with steady demand.

🔎 Conclusion

ITC is a strong candidate for swing trading with excellent fundamentals, debt-free status, and attractive dividend yield. Entry near ₹305–310 may be considered, with exit around ₹340–350. While valuation is favorable compared to industry, caution is advised due to resistance near 200 DMA and reduced FII participation.

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