ITC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | ITC | Market Cap | 5,02,529 Cr. | Current Price | 401 ₹ | High / Low | 472 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 25.2 | Book Value | 54.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 3.57 % | ROCE | 36.9 % |
| ROE | 27.9 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 405 ₹ | DMA 200 | 414 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.59 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.50 % | PAT Qtr | 5,113 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 4,912 Cr. |
| RSI | 43.4 | MACD | -1.59 | Volume | 82,79,543 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,03,99,008 |
| Low price | 390 ₹ | High price | 472 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.74 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 13.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 2.76 % | EPS | 28.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 45.6 |
📊 ITC shows strong fundamentals with consistent profitability and zero debt, making it a relatively safe candidate for swing trading. The current price of ₹401 is near its 50 DMA (₹405) and below the 200 DMA (₹414), suggesting short-term weakness but potential for recovery. RSI at 43.4 indicates the stock is not overbought, while MACD (-1.59) reflects bearish momentum. Optimal entry would be around ₹390–395 near support. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹455–465, close to resistance levels.
✅ Positive
- High ROCE (36.9%) and ROE (27.9%) showing strong efficiency
- Attractive dividend yield of 3.57%
- Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00)
- Consistent quarterly profit growth (PAT ₹5,113 Cr vs ₹4,912 Cr)
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock P/E (25.2) is higher than its book value multiple, though still below industry PE
- Negative FII holding change (-0.59%)
- MACD (-1.59) shows weak momentum
- PEG ratio (2.74) suggests valuation is stretched relative to growth
📉 Company Negative News
- Decline in foreign institutional investor interest
- Short-term technical weakness with price below 200 DMA
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong FMCG and cigarette business with stable cash flows
- Improved quarterly profits (PAT growth of 2.76%)
- Expanding diversification into hotels, paperboards, and agri-business
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE (45.6) is much higher than ITC’s PE (25.2), showing relative undervaluation
- FMCG sector remains resilient with steady demand and defensive characteristics
📝 Conclusion
ITC presents a balanced swing trade opportunity with strong fundamentals and attractive dividend yield. Entry near ₹390–395 is optimal, while exit should be considered around ₹455–465. Despite short-term bearish signals, medium-term prospects remain favorable given undervaluation compared to industry peers.
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