BEL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.2

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Bullish Signals

MACD at 5.67 and RSI at 68.2 — strong momentum, nearing breakout zone.

Price above DMA50 (₹386) and DMA200 (₹346) — confirms bullish trend.

Zero debt — excellent financial structure.

ROCE (39.4%) and ROE (29.5%) — top-tier capital efficiency.

FII holding increased (+1.01%) — strong foreign institutional interest.

Qtr Profit Var +24.9% — earnings momentum intact.

PEG ratio 1.76 — fair valuation relative to growth.

EPS ₹7.50 — consistent profitability.

⚠️ Watchouts

P/E of 54.6 vs industry 75.3 — premium but not excessive.

Volume below average — short-term participation cooling.

DII holding dipped (-0.27%) — mild domestic sentiment softening.

PAT Qtr ₹969 Cr. vs ₹2,105 Cr. — notable sequential drop.

RSI nearing 70 — caution for fresh entry.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

BEL is trading near the upper band of its 52-week range (86.6%) and showing signs of continuation. Analysts have placed a short-term price target around ₹413–₹415

1

, with broader market optimism supporting defense sector momentum

2

.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹400–₹405, near breakout zone and just above DMA50.

Confirm entry only if RSI stays below 70 and volume exceeds 1.8 Cr.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹430–₹435 (near 52-week high and resistance cluster).

Stop-loss: ₹385 (below DMA50 and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 75 or MACD divergence near ₹435.

This setup offers a strong blend of technical momentum, institutional support, and fundamental stability. If you're basket-optimizing across defense or PSU themes, I can scan for peers with similar MACD and PEG profiles. Just say the word.

1

trendlyne.com

2

www.livemint.com

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