ALIVUS - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 03:54 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

📊 Chart Patterns: ALIVUS is trading slightly below its 50 DMA (909 ₹) and 200 DMA (963 ₹), showing mild weakness. Current price (901 ₹) is near support at 890–900 ₹, with stronger support at 827 ₹ and resistance around 909–963 ₹.

📈 Moving Averages: Price below both averages indicates consolidation with bearish bias. Sustained move above 963 ₹ is required for trend reversal.

📉 RSI: At 50.7, RSI is neutral, suggesting balanced momentum without strong overbought or oversold signals.

📉 MACD: Negative at -3.53, reflecting mild bearish momentum and lack of strong upward signals.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, indicating consolidation with potential for breakout in either direction.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (96,094) is higher than average weekly volume (76,420), showing increased participation near support zones.

📌 Momentum Signals: Short-term bounce possible from 890–901 ₹ support, but trend remains weak unless price sustains above 909–963 ₹.

🎯 Entry Zone: 890–901 ₹ (near support, neutral RSI).

🎯 Exit Zone: 909–963 ₹ (resistance at moving averages), extended resistance at 1,050–1,100 ₹.

🔎 Trend Status: Currently consolidating with mild bearish bias. Reversal requires breakout above 963 ₹.

Positive

• Strong ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (18.7%) highlight efficient capital use.
• Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 indicates virtually debt-free balance sheet.
• Quarterly PAT improved (130 Cr. vs 122 Cr.), showing growth momentum.
• EPS of 43.3 ₹ supports earnings strength.

Limitation

• PEG ratio of 4.42 suggests expensive valuation relative to growth.
• Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
• DII holdings decreased (-0.15%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.

Company Negative News

• Stock struggling to stay above key moving averages, reflecting weak technicals.
• Premium valuation compared to industry peers may limit upside.

Company Positive News

• Quarterly profit growth (+36.4%) shows strong operational improvement.
• FII holdings increased (+0.42%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
• Dividend yield of 0.56% adds shareholder value.

Industry

• Industry PE at 30.6 is higher than ALIVUS’s P/E (20.8), suggesting relatively attractive valuation.
• Sector outlook remains positive with steady demand drivers.

Conclusion

⚖️ ALIVUS is consolidating near support with neutral momentum. Traders may consider entry around 890–901 ₹ with exit near 909–963 ₹. Long-term investors can hold for extended targets near 1,050–1,100 ₹, while monitoring valuation risks and trend reversal above 963 ₹.