CHAMBLFERT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📉 Current Price: ₹481

📊 RSI: 38.0 (Approaching oversold zone)

📉 MACD: -9.97 (Bearish momentum)

📉 DMA 50 / 200: ₹513 / ₹536 (Price below both averages)

📉 Volume: 7,92,045 vs 1Wk Avg 8,69,030 (Slightly below average)

💰 Market Cap: ₹19,281 Cr

📈 Qtr Profit Growth: +15.5%

📈 FII Holding: +1.23%

📉 DII Holding: -2.56%

📌 Optimal Entry Price

🎯 Entry Range: ₹460–₹475 (Near support zone and RSI oversold)

📤 Exit Strategy

💡 Exit if: Price approaches ₹520–₹540 (resistance near 200 DMA) or RSI crosses 65 with declining volume.

✅ Positive

• Strong ROCE (27.6%) and ROE (20.3%) indicate efficient capital use
• Zero debt (Debt/Equity: 0.00) enhances financial stability
• EPS of ₹43.5 shows strong earnings
• Low P/E (11.1) compared to industry average (22.7)
• FII holding increased (+1.23%)

⚠️ Limitation

• Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
• MACD indicates bearish trend
• RSI still weak, suggesting limited momentum
• DII holding declined (-2.56%)

📰 Company Negative News

• DII holding dropped significantly
• MACD and RSI show weak technical signals

📈 Company Positive News

• Quarterly PAT surged from ₹99.7 Cr to ₹638 Cr
• FII holding increased, indicating institutional confidence

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E: 22.7 (much higher than stock P/E)
• Fertilizer sector remains cyclical and sensitive to government policy and seasonal demand

🔚 Conclusion

CHAMBLFERT presents a solid swing trade opportunity with strong fundamentals and undervaluation relative to peers. Entry near ₹460–₹475 is favorable, with an exit target around ₹520–₹540. A stop-loss below ₹455 is recommended to manage downside risk.

I can also track RSI and MACD trends for CHAMBLFERT to alert you when bullish momentum strengthens.