CHAMBLFERT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | CHAMBLFERT | Market Cap | 17,563 Cr. | Current Price | 438 ₹ | High / Low | 742 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 9.52 | Book Value | 241 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.28 % | ROCE | 27.6 % |
| ROE | 20.3 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 451 ₹ | DMA 200 | 495 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -2.68 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.65 % | PAT Qtr | 602 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 638 Cr. |
| RSI | 46.6 | MACD | -5.78 | Volume | 7,89,178 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 11,06,200 |
| Low price | 410 ₹ | High price | 742 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.26 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 8.38 % | Qtr Profit Var | 20.2 % | EPS | 46.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.6 |
📊 CHAMBLFERT shows moderate potential for swing trading. Strong fundamentals such as high ROCE, ROE, debt-free status, and attractive dividend yield support stability. However, weak technical indicators (negative MACD, price below 50 & 200 DMA, and low 52-week index) along with declining foreign investor interest limit short-term upside. The stock is trading close to its support zone, offering cautious entry opportunities.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 425–430 ₹ (near support zone, slightly below current price).
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 470–480 ₹ (short-term resistance) or if RSI rises above 60.
✅ Positive
- ROCE at 27.6% and ROE at 20.3% indicate strong efficiency and profitability.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.00 — completely debt-free.
- Dividend yield of 2.28% adds income appeal.
- EPS of 46 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- P/E of 9.52 is well below industry average (18.6), suggesting undervaluation.
- Quarterly PAT of 602 Cr. shows resilience despite slight decline.
⚠️ Limitation
- Current price (438 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (451 ₹) and 200 DMA (495 ₹), showing weak trend.
- MACD negative (-5.78), suggesting bearish momentum.
- Volume (7.89 lakh) is lower than average weekly volume (11.06 lakh), showing reduced participation.
- 52-week index at 8.38% indicates the stock is near its yearly low.
- PEG ratio of 1.26 suggests growth is fairly priced.
📉 Company Negative News
- Decline in FII holdings (-2.68%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Quarterly PAT decline (602 Cr. vs. 638 Cr.) raises concerns about earnings momentum.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.65%), reflecting domestic investor support.
- Strong fundamentals with high ROCE and ROE.
- Debt-free balance sheet enhances financial stability.
🏦 Industry
- Industry P/E at 18.6 is higher than CHAMBLFERT’s 9.52, suggesting undervaluation compared to peers.
- Fertilizer sector outlook remains steady, supported by agricultural demand and government policies.
🔎 Conclusion
CHAMBLFERT earns a swing trade rating of 3.8. Entry near 425–430 ₹ offers a cautious opportunity, while exit around 470–480 ₹ is optimal. Strong fundamentals and undervaluation support stability, but weak technicals and declining foreign investor interest suggest traders should adopt a conservative approach with strict stop-losses.