VGUARD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

⚡ VGUARD Swing Trade Analysis

VGUARD presents a cautious swing trade setup. While the fundamentals are stable and the stock is technically near support, weak momentum and valuation concerns suggest limited upside unless momentum improves.

✅ Positives

Decent Fundamentals

ROCE: 17.2% / ROE: 13.6% — solid capital efficiency.

Debt-to-Equity: 0.04 — very low leverage.

DII Sentiment Positive: Domestic institutions increased holdings by 0.98%.

Technical Positioning

Price Near DMA 50 & 200: Current price ₹370 is just below DMA 50 (₹372) and DMA 200 (₹379), offering a potential bounce setup.

RSI: 50.4 — neutral zone, with room to rise.

MACD: -0.18 — slightly bearish but flattening, could reverse.

⚠️ Negatives

Quarterly PAT Decline: ₹78.1 Cr. → ₹55.7 Cr. — down 32%, weakening sentiment.

Volume Collapse: Current volume is ~90% below 1-week average, indicating low participation.

High P/E (69.0) vs Industry PE (56.8) — expensive relative to peers.

PEG Ratio: 17.2 — growth doesn’t justify valuation.

FII Sentiment Negative: Foreign institutions reduced holdings by 0.88%.

52W Index: 41.2% — mid-range, indicating moderate recovery.

🎯 Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹360–₹365

Enter on a pullback near recent support if MACD turns positive and volume picks up.

Exit Plan (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹390–₹400

Conservative target near short-term resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹350

Below recent support and DMA 200 to manage downside risk.

VGUARD is a cautious swing candidate. Best suited for traders who can monitor technical reversals and volume closely. Let me know if you'd like to compare it with other consumer electrical stocks.

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