VGUARD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.9
| Stock Code | VGUARD | Market Cap | 14,145 Cr. | Current Price | 324 ₹ | High / Low | 413 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 55.4 | Book Value | 47.5 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.46 % | ROCE | 17.2 % |
| ROE | 13.6 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 324 ₹ | DMA 200 | 347 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.33 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.46 % | PAT Qtr | 55.7 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 66.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 52.6 | MACD | -0.23 | Volume | 1,35,229 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,83,337 |
| Low price | 290 ₹ | High price | 413 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 13.8 | Debt to equity | 0.03 |
| 52w Index | 27.7 % | Qtr Profit Var | 15.9 % | EPS | 5.55 ₹ | Industry PE | 44.2 |
📊 VGUARD shows weak potential for swing trading at present. The RSI at 52.6 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly negative (-0.23), suggesting lack of strong directional movement. The current price (324 ₹) is at the 50 DMA but below the 200 DMA (347 ₹), which acts as resistance. Valuation is stretched (P/E 55.4 vs industry 44.2, PEG 13.8), and quarterly profits have declined. Overall, this is not an ideal swing candidate unless it approaches support levels.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 300–310 ₹ (near support zone, safer entry).
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 340–350 ₹ (close to 200 DMA resistance) unless momentum improves.
Positive
- Strong ROCE (17.2%) and ROE (13.6%) show decent efficiency.
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.03) ensures financial stability.
- DII holdings increased (+0.46%), showing domestic support.
Limitation
- High valuation compared to peers (P/E 55.4 vs industry 44.2).
- Quarterly PAT declined from 66 Cr. to 55.7 Cr. (down ~15.9%).
- Trading volumes below weekly average, reflecting weak interest.
Company Negative News
- Decline in quarterly profits, showing earnings pressure.
- FII holdings reduced (-0.33%), indicating lower foreign confidence.
Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.46%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Stable EPS (5.55 ₹) despite profit decline.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 44.2 is lower than VGUARD’s, highlighting overvaluation.
- Sector growth remains steady, but valuations are stretched.
Conclusion
⚖️ VGUARD is financially stable but overvalued and technically weak. It is not an attractive swing trade at current levels. A cautious entry near 300–310 ₹ may be considered, with an exit around 340–350 ₹. Risk management is essential due to declining profits and weak momentum.