VGUARD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | VGUARD | Market Cap | 13,579 Cr. | Current Price | 310 ₹ | High / Low | 413 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 49.4 | Book Value | 50.9 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.48 % | ROCE | 17.0 % |
| ROE | 13.0 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 313 ₹ | DMA 200 | 333 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.05 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.07 % | PAT Qtr | 95.4 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 55.7 Cr. |
| RSI | 51.9 | MACD | -3.67 | Volume | 1,78,207 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,36,097 |
| Low price | 290 ₹ | High price | 413 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.24 | Debt to equity | 0.03 |
| 52w Index | 16.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 22.2 % | EPS | 5.94 ₹ | Industry PE | 48.2 |
📊 VGUARD presents moderate fundamentals with improving profits but weak technical momentum. The RSI at 51.9 indicates neutral positioning, while the MACD at -3.67 shows bearish undertones. Current price (310 ₹) is below both the 50 DMA (313 ₹) and 200 DMA (333 ₹), reflecting subdued sentiment. ROCE (17.0%) and ROE (13.0%) are modest compared to peers. Valuations remain stretched with a P/E of 49.4 vs industry average of 48.2, and a high PEG ratio of 3.24.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 300–305 ₹ (near support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 340–350 ₹ resistance zone, or trail stop-loss below 290 ₹.
Positive
- ✅ Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.03) ensures financial stability.
- ✅ Quarterly PAT growth of 22.2% shows earnings improvement.
- ✅ EPS at 5.94 ₹ supports profitability.
- ✅ Industry P/E (48.2) is supportive, showing sector strength.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High valuation (P/E 49.4 vs industry 48.2).
- ⚠️ Weak technicals: MACD negative (-3.67), price below both 50DMA and 200DMA.
- ⚠️ PEG ratio of 3.24 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
- ⚠️ FII holdings decreased (-0.05%), showing slight institutional caution.
Company Negative News
- 📉 No major negative news reported, but weak technical momentum and stretched valuations pose risks.
Company Positive News
- 📈 Quarterly PAT improved from 55.7 Cr. to 95.4 Cr.
- 📈 Institutional investors slightly increased holdings (DII +0.07%).
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 48.2, slightly lower than company’s valuation, showing sector strength but caution on premium pricing.
- 🏭 Sector demand outlook remains steady, supporting long-term fundamentals.
Conclusion
🔎 VGUARD is a moderate candidate for swing trading with improving profits but weak technical momentum and stretched valuations. Entry near 300–305 ₹ offers limited risk, while exits should be targeted around 340–350 ₹. Caution is advised due to low volume and overvaluation signals, making strict stop-loss discipline essential.
Would you like me to expand this into a peer benchmarking report to compare VGUARD’s valuation and momentum against competitors, or refine it into an intraday trade setup for sharper entry/exit timing?