VGUARD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | VGUARD | Market Cap | 14,626 Cr. | Current Price | 335 ₹ | High / Low | 413 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 57.2 | Book Value | 47.5 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.45 % | ROCE | 17.2 % |
| ROE | 13.6 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 326 ₹ | DMA 200 | 342 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.05 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.07 % | PAT Qtr | 55.7 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 66.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 57.6 | MACD | 3.22 | Volume | 2,75,761 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,32,360 |
| Low price | 290 ₹ | High price | 413 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 14.3 | Debt to equity | 0.03 |
| 52w Index | 36.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 15.9 % | EPS | 5.55 ₹ | Industry PE | 48.7 |
VGUARD shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI (57.6) suggests mild bullish momentum, while MACD (3.22) indicates limited strength. The stock is trading near its 50 DMA (326 ₹) and slightly below its 200 DMA (342 ₹), signaling consolidation. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE (17.2%) and ROE (13.6%), but valuation is stretched with a P/E of 57.2 compared to industry average of 48.7. The PEG ratio (14.3) highlights weak growth relative to price.
✅ Entry Price: Best entry zone is around 320–325 ₹, close to 50 DMA support.
📤 Exit Strategy: If already holding, aim to exit near 360–370 ₹ resistance, or cut losses if price falls below 310 ₹.
🌟 Positive
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.03), ensuring financial stability.
- Quarterly profit variation shows recovery (+15.9%).
- Strong trading volume above weekly average, indicating investor interest.
⚠️ Limitation
- High valuation with P/E at 57.2 vs industry 48.7.
- PEG ratio of 14.3 suggests poor growth-to-price balance.
- Dividend yield is modest at 0.45%.
📰 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT declined from 66 Cr. to 55.7 Cr., showing short-term weakness.
- Slight reduction in FII holding (-0.05%).
📈 Company Positive News
- Improved quarterly profit variation (+15.9%).
- DII holdings increased (+0.07%), showing domestic confidence.
- Stock delivered 36.4% return over the past 52 weeks.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 48.7 indicates moderate valuation.
- VGUARD trades at a premium, reflecting investor confidence but also risk of correction.
🔎 Conclusion
VGUARD is a financially stable company with modest growth and low debt. However, stretched valuations and declining quarterly PAT limit upside potential. It is a fair candidate for swing trading if entered near 320–325 ₹ and exited near 360–370 ₹. Risk management is important due to premium pricing and weak growth metrics.