VGUARD - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:04 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.8

📊 Analysis: VGUARD is currently trading at 329 ₹, below both DMA 50 (348 ₹) and DMA 200 (367 ₹), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 34.5 shows oversold conditions, but MACD negative (-6.95) confirms bearish momentum. Intraday volume (89,719) is significantly lower than weekly average (1,63,764), suggesting limited participation. Overall, the stock is weak for intraday trading, though oversold RSI may trigger a minor bounce.

💰 Optimal Buy Price: Only consider entry near 325–328 ₹ if intraday reversal signals appear.

📈 Profit-Taking Levels: 335–338 ₹ (first resistance), 344–348 ₹ (second resistance near DMA 50).

⚠️ Stop-Loss: 322 ₹ (below recent support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to hold above 330 ₹ or if RSI remains below 35 with MACD continuing negative. Weak volume and inability to cross 335 ₹ should trigger exit to protect capital.

Positive

• ✅ Low debt-to-equity (0.03) ensures financial stability.
• ✅ Quarterly PAT growth of 26.4% shows improving profitability.
• ✅ Domestic institutional investors increased holdings (+1.25%), reflecting local support.

Limitation

• ⚠️ High P/E (57.9) compared to industry average (49.3), indicating overvaluation.
• ⚠️ RSI at 34.5 and negative MACD (-6.95) show weak momentum.
• ⚠️ Intraday volume far below weekly average, limiting breakout potential.
• ⚠️ PEG ratio of 14.4 suggests expensive growth relative to earnings.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Decline in FII holding (-0.10%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT improved from 55.7 Cr. to 66.0 Cr. quarter-on-quarter.
• 📈 DII holdings increased (+1.25%), reflecting domestic institutional support.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry P/E at 49.3 is lower than company’s P/E, showing sector is relatively cheaper.
• 🏭 Sector demand cycle remains supportive, but valuations are stretched across peers.

Conclusion

📌 VGUARD is a weak candidate for intraday trading due to bearish momentum and low volume. Only consider entry near 325–328 ₹ if reversal signals appear, with profit targets at 335–338 ₹ and 344–348 ₹. Maintain strict stop-loss at 322 ₹. If already holding, exit on failure to sustain above 330 ₹ or if RSI/MACD remain negative.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay so you can compare VGUARD against other consumer electrical peers for intraday confirmation, or keep the focus on single-stock execution logic?