⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

VGUARD - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code VGUARD Market Cap 15,089 Cr. Current Price 345 ₹ High / Low 413 ₹
Stock P/E 59.1 Book Value 47.5 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.44 % ROCE 17.2 %
ROE 13.6 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 331 ₹ DMA 200 356 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.33 % Chg in DII Hold 0.46 % PAT Qtr 55.7 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 66.0 Cr.
RSI 64.7 MACD 1.22 Volume 2,34,726 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,40,603
Low price 298 ₹ High price 413 ₹ PEG Ratio 14.7 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 41.0 % Qtr Profit Var 15.9 % EPS 5.55 ₹ Industry PE 48.5

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT declined from 66 Cr. to 55.7 Cr., showing short-term pressure despite 15.9% YoY growth.
  • Margins & Returns: ROCE at 17.2% and ROE at 13.6% indicate moderate efficiency compared to peers.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 0.03 reflects negligible leverage and strong balance sheet health.
  • Cash Flows: Low debt and consistent earnings suggest stable operating cash flows.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 59.1 vs industry average of 48.5 → trades at a premium.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price / Book Value ≈ 7.3 → relatively high compared to intrinsic value.
  • PEG Ratio: 14.7 → signals significant overvaluation relative to growth.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price (345 ₹) appears stretched compared to fundamentals.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Strong presence in electrical appliances and consumer durables with diversified product portfolio.
  • Brand recognition and distribution network provide competitive edge.
  • Low debt enhances resilience and financial flexibility.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation range between 310 ₹ – 330 ₹, closer to 50 DMA support.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking defensive exposure, but staggered buying recommended due to premium valuation.

✅ Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial safety.
  • Strong brand presence in consumer durables.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.46%), reflecting domestic institutional confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E and PEG ratios indicate overvaluation.
  • ROCE and ROE are moderate compared to industry leaders.
  • FII holdings declined (-0.33%), showing cautious foreign sentiment.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT dropped from 66 Cr. to 55.7 Cr., showing earnings pressure.
  • Trading below 200 DMA (356 ₹), indicating weak long-term momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation shows 15.9% YoY growth despite sequential decline.
  • RSI at 64.7 and positive MACD (1.22) suggest near-term bullish momentum.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 48.5 indicates sector trades at lower multiples.
  • Consumer durables sector benefits from rising demand and urbanization.
  • VGUARD commands premium due to brand strength and distribution reach.

🔎 Conclusion

VGUARD demonstrates financial stability with low debt and strong brand presence, but trades at a significant premium compared to industry peers. Entry is advisable near 310 ₹ – 330 ₹ for long-term investors, with staggered accumulation to mitigate valuation risks. Overall, the company remains strategically positioned, though short-term earnings pressure and high valuation warrant caution.

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