UPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | UPL | Market Cap | 63,321 Cr. | Current Price | 751 ₹ | High / Low | 776 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 58.6 | Book Value | 162 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.81 % | ROCE | 1.26 % |
| ROE | 8.20 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 733 ₹ | DMA 200 | 681 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 2.11 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.92 % | PAT Qtr | 416 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 122 Cr. |
| RSI | 50.0 | MACD | 3.66 | Volume | 7,55,781 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 13,94,844 |
| Low price | 493 ₹ | High price | 776 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -4.85 | Debt to equity | 0.07 |
| 52w Index | 91.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 823 % | EPS | 37.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.6 |
📊 UPL is currently trading at ₹751, close to its 52-week high of ₹776, reflecting strong momentum. The stock is above both its 50 DMA (₹733) and 200 DMA (₹681), confirming bullish technical strength. RSI at 50.0 suggests balanced momentum, while MACD at 3.66 indicates mild bullish sentiment. The optimal entry price would be near ₹730–₹740, closer to support levels. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹770–₹780, near resistance zones.
✅ Positive
- 📈 EPS at ₹37.0, supporting profitability
- 📊 Quarterly PAT surged from ₹122 Cr. to ₹416 Cr., an 823% improvement
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.07, showing very low leverage risk
- 📈 FII holding increased by 2.11%, reflecting strong foreign investor confidence
- 📊 Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bullish technical trend
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Very high P/E ratio (58.6) compared to industry average (27.6), suggesting overvaluation
- 📊 PEG ratio at -4.85, indicating poor growth prospects relative to valuation
- 📉 Low ROCE (1.26%) and moderate ROE (8.20%), reflecting weak efficiency
- 📉 Dividend yield at 0.81%, offering limited shareholder return
- 📉 Trading volume (7,55,781) below weekly average (13,94,844), showing weaker participation
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 DII holding decreased by -0.92%, showing reduced domestic institutional support
- 📉 Stock trading very close to its 52-week high, limiting short-term upside potential
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT growth (+823%) highlights strong operational recovery
- 📊 EPS at ₹37.0 supports valuation despite high P/E
- 📈 FII inflows (+2.11%) provide external support
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 27.6 is much lower, suggesting UPL trades at a premium
- 🌐 Agrochemicals sector remains cyclical but benefits from global demand for crop protection products
📌 Conclusion
UPL is a moderate swing trade candidate. Strong PAT growth and low debt provide stability, but high valuation and weak efficiency metrics limit upside. Entry is best near ₹730–₹740, while exit should be considered around ₹770–₹780. Traders should monitor RSI and volume trends closely before committing.
Would you like me to also outline UPL’s medium-term support and resistance zones to help you track positional trades alongside swing opportunities?
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