UPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📊 UPL shows strong short-term momentum and a sharp earnings rebound, making it a good swing trade candidate. Optimal entry is ₹720–₹730. If already held, consider exiting near ₹755–₹770.

📈 Positive

• MACD (11.2) and RSI (71.2) indicate strong bullish momentum, though nearing overbought territory.
• Trading above both 50-DMA (₹691) and 200-DMA (₹656) confirms technical strength.
• Quarterly PAT turnaround from -₹76 Cr. to ₹122 Cr. shows sharp earnings recovery.
• EPS of ₹35.5 supports valuation and profitability.
• FII holdings increased by 2.11%, indicating rising foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

• ROCE (1.26%) and ROE (8.20%) are weak, reflecting poor capital efficiency.
• PEG ratio (-7.19) suggests valuation concerns relative to growth.
• Volume below 1-week average may signal fading momentum.
• High P/E (86.9) compared to industry average (29.9) implies premium pricing.

🚫 Company Negative News

• DII holdings declined by 0.92%, showing reduced domestic institutional interest.
• Stock is near its 52-week high (₹741), limiting short-term upside.

✅ Company Positive News

• Strong quarterly profit rebound and EPS growth signal operational recovery.
• Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.05) reflects solid financial structure.

🌐 Industry

• UPL operates in the agrochemicals and crop protection sector, which benefits from global food demand and rural spending.
• Industry P/E of 29.9 reflects moderate valuation expectations.

🧾 Conclusion

• UPL is a strong swing trade candidate with bullish technicals and improving fundamentals.
• Optimal entry: ₹720–₹730 (near breakout and support zone).
• Exit target: ₹755–₹770 (above resistance and psychological level).
• Monitor RSI for overbought signals and MACD strength for continuation.

I can chart UPL’s RSI and MACD trends to help you visualize the timing for entry and exit.