UPL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | UPL | Market Cap | 53,313 Cr. | Current Price | 632 ₹ | High / Low | 812 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 106 | Book Value | 162 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.95 % | ROCE | 1.26 % |
| ROE | 8.20 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 685 ₹ | DMA 200 | 694 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 3.31 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.05 % | PAT Qtr | 39.1 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 416 Cr. |
| RSI | 41.2 | MACD | -26.5 | Volume | 15,34,268 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 17,72,595 |
| Low price | 580 ₹ | High price | 812 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -8.82 | Debt to equity | 0.07 |
| 52w Index | 22.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | -93.7 % | EPS | 25.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 22.2 |
📊 Analysis: UPL shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential today. RSI at 41.2 indicates oversold-to-neutral momentum, while MACD (-26.5) remains bearish. Volume (15.3 lakh) is below the 1-week average (17.7 lakh), suggesting reduced participation. The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (685 ₹) and 200 DMA (694 ₹), reflecting short- and medium-term weakness. Fundamentals are under pressure with sharply declining profits and stretched valuations.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: 625–635 ₹ (near current support zone).
🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: 650 ₹ (first resistance), 670–680 ₹ (next resistance zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: 615 ₹ (protective support).
📈 If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 625 ₹ with weakening momentum or volume. Protective exit below 615 ₹. Book partial profits near 650–680 ₹ if momentum sustains.
Positive
- EPS at 25.6 ₹, ROE 8.20% shows profitability.
- Dividend yield at 0.95% provides investor confidence.
- FII holdings increased (+3.31%), reflecting foreign investor support.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.07 indicates low leverage.
Limitation
- Stock trades below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- MACD strongly negative (-26.5), confirming bearish bias.
- High P/E (106) compared to industry PE (22.2), showing steep premium valuation.
- ROCE very weak at 1.26%, limiting efficiency.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT declined sharply (39.1 Cr. vs 416 Cr.).
- Profit variation negative (-93.7%), raising concerns.
- DII holdings decreased (-1.05%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
Company Positive News
- FII support increased significantly (+3.31%).
- Dividend yield remains attractive at 0.95%.
- Book value at 162 ₹ provides asset backing.
Industry
- Industry PE at 22.2, while UPL trades at 106, indicating steep premium valuation.
- Agrochemicals sector remains cyclical, with demand linked to global crop cycles and commodity prices.
Conclusion
⚖️ UPL earns a weak-to-moderate intraday rating (3.5). Oversold RSI and bearish MACD limit upside, while sharp profit decline and stretched valuations add caution. Best strategy: Buy near 625–635 ₹, target 650–680 ₹, and protect downside at 615 ₹. Intraday traders should remain defensive and book profits quickly.
Selva, UPL looks technically weak and fundamentally pressured despite FII inflows. Would you like me to prepare a basket overlay comparing UPL with peers like PI Industries, Rallis India, and Bayer CropScience to see if intraday capital rotation favors UPL or stronger agrochemical setups?