UPL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | UPL | Market Cap | 55,259 Cr. | Current Price | 655 ₹ | High / Low | 812 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 68.2 | Book Value | 166 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.91 % | ROCE | 8.51 % |
| ROE | 6.22 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 647 ₹ | DMA 200 | 673 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 2.94 % | Chg in DII Hold | -2.08 % | PAT Qtr | 373 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 39.1 Cr. |
| RSI | 56.5 | MACD | 1.48 | Volume | 9,31,295 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 16,00,827 |
| Low price | 565 ₹ | High price | 812 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -13.1 | Debt to equity | 0.06 |
| 52w Index | 36.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 591 % | EPS | 9.30 ₹ | Industry PE | 23.6 |
📊 Current Price: 655 ₹
🛒 Optimal Buy Price: 645 – 660 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: 675 ₹ / 690 ₹
🛑 Stop-Loss: 635 ₹
⏳ If already holding: Exit near 675–690 ₹ if RSI weakens below 55 or MACD momentum fades; tighten stop-loss if price slips under 645 ₹ with declining volume.
Positive
✔️ EPS at 9.30 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
✔️ PAT surged (373 Cr. vs 39.1 Cr.), showing strong sequential rebound.
✔️ Price supported by 50 DMA (647 ₹), offering near-term cushion.
✔️ RSI at 56.5 indicates healthy momentum.
✔️ MACD positive (1.48), supporting short-term bullish bias.
✔️ FII holdings increased (+2.94%), reflecting strong foreign investor confidence.
✔️ Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.06 indicates low leverage risk.
Limitation
⚠️ P/E at 68.2 vs industry PE of 23.6 highlights steep valuation premium.
⚠️ Dividend yield at 0.91% is modest.
⚠️ ROCE at 8.51% and ROE at 6.22% show weak operational efficiency.
⚠️ PEG ratio negative (-13.1), showing poor growth valuation.
⚠️ Volume (9.3 Lakh) below weekly average (16 Lakh), limiting intraday liquidity.
⚠️ Price below 200 DMA (673 ₹), creating medium-term resistance.
Company Negative News
❌ Sequential profit volatility despite rebound.
❌ DII holdings reduced (-2.08%), showing weaker domestic support.
❌ Weak ROCE and ROE limit long-term attractiveness.
Company Positive News
✅ PAT rebound highlights operational recovery.
✅ EPS remains positive relative to peers.
✅ Strong FII inflows show foreign investor confidence.
✅ Price supported by 50 DMA, offering near-term cushion.
Industry
🌱 Industry PE at 23.6 vs UPL’s 68.2, showing valuation premium.
🌐 Agrochemicals sector outlook remains steady, supported by global demand but facing margin pressures.
Conclusion
⚖️ UPL shows moderate intraday potential with strong FII support and PAT rebound.
📉 Overvaluation, weak ROCE/ROE, and lower liquidity limit upside momentum.
🎯 Suitable for cautious intraday trades targeting 675–690 ₹, with strict stop-loss at 635 ₹.
Would you like me to extend this into an agrochemicals sector overlay with peer benchmarking (e.g., Bayer CropScience, PI Industries, Rallis India) to compare UPL’s intraday strength against its peers?