UPL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | UPL | Market Cap | 54,166 Cr. | Current Price | 642 ₹ | High / Low | 812 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 108 | Book Value | 162 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.93 % | ROCE | 1.26 % |
| ROE | 8.20 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 652 ₹ | DMA 200 | 679 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 2.94 % | Chg in DII Hold | -2.08 % | PAT Qtr | 39.1 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 416 Cr. |
| RSI | 50.4 | MACD | 1.99 | Volume | 21,79,242 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 18,01,755 |
| Low price | 565 ₹ | High price | 812 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -8.96 | Debt to equity | 0.07 |
| 52w Index | 31.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | -93.7 % | EPS | 25.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.0 |
📈 Optimal Buy Price: 630 – 645 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)
💰 Profit Exit Levels: 670 – 690 ₹ (short-term resistance), 710 ₹ (momentum breakout)
⚠️ Stop-Loss: 620 ₹ (below support zone)
⏳ Intraday Exit Guidance: If already holding, consider booking profits near 670–690 ₹ if RSI approaches 55 or volume fades. Exit immediately if price slips under 630 ₹ with weakening momentum.
Positive
- EPS of 25.6 ₹ provides valuation support.
- Dividend yield of 0.93% adds modest investor appeal.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 indicates low leverage risk.
- FII holdings increased (+2.94%), showing foreign investor confidence.
- Trading near 50 DMA (652 ₹), offering short-term support.
Limitation
- Extremely high P/E of 108 vs industry PE of 25.0, indicating severe overvaluation.
- ROCE (1.26%) and ROE (8.20%) reflect weak efficiency.
- PEG ratio (-8.96) suggests negative growth alignment.
- Current price (642 ₹) is below 200 DMA (679 ₹), showing medium-term weakness.
- RSI at 50.4 indicates neutral momentum, not strongly bullish.
Company Negative News
- PAT dropped sharply (39.1 Cr. vs 416 Cr.), highlighting earnings deterioration.
- Quarterly profit variation (-93.7%) reflects severe instability.
- DII holdings decreased (-2.08%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
Company Positive News
- Foreign institutional inflows (+2.94%) highlight external optimism.
- Technical support near 50 DMA provides accumulation opportunity.
Industry
- Agrochemicals sector trades at industry PE of 25.0, much lower than UPL’s inflated valuation.
- Sector demand remains cyclical, driven by global agriculture trends, but UPL lags peers in efficiency.
Conclusion
⚖️ UPL remains a weak intraday candidate with poor fundamentals, sharp profit decline, and bearish technical indicators. While speculative trades may be attempted near 630–645 ₹ support, upside is limited to 670–710 ₹. Strict stop-loss at 620 ₹ is essential due to high volatility and overvaluation.
Would you like me to prepare a peer benchmarking overlay comparing UPL with Bayer CropScience, PI Industries, and Rallis India to highlight relative valuation, ROE/ROCE, and growth positioning?