UPL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | UPL | Market Cap | 63,795 Cr. | Current Price | 755 ₹ | High / Low | 812 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 127 | Book Value | 162 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.79 % | ROCE | 1.26 % |
| ROE | 8.20 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 743 ₹ | DMA 200 | 701 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.83 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.46 % | PAT Qtr | 39.1 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 416 Cr. |
| RSI | 54.7 | MACD | -13.0 | Volume | 49,05,505 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 45,93,755 |
| Low price | 580 ₹ | High price | 812 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -10.6 | Debt to equity | 0.07 |
| 52w Index | 75.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | -93.7 % | EPS | 25.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 30.9 |
📊 Analysis: UPL shows weak-to-moderate potential for intraday trading. Current price (₹755) is above both 50 DMA (₹743) and 200 DMA (₹701), reflecting short-term strength. RSI at 54.7 is neutral, while MACD (-13.0) indicates bearish divergence. Volume (49.0L vs avg 45.9L) is slightly higher, suggesting active participation. However, fundamentals are concerning with ROCE at 1.26% and quarterly PAT dropping sharply (₹39.1 Cr vs ₹416 Cr). Valuation is expensive with P/E at 127 compared to industry PE of 30.9.
💰 Optimal Buy Price: ₹750–755 if price sustains above support.
📈 Profit-Taking Levels: First exit near ₹770, extended target ₹785.
📉 Stop-Loss: ₹740 to protect against downside risk.
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to hold above ₹750 or momentum weakens near resistance zones (₹770–785). Watch RSI slipping below 52 or MACD widening negatively as exit signals.
Positive
- Price trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA signals short-term strength.
- EPS at ₹25.6 reflects profitability despite weak margins.
- Dividend yield of 0.79% adds investor appeal.
- FII holdings increased (+1.83%), showing foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- Extremely high P/E (127) compared to industry average (30.9), suggesting overvaluation.
- ROCE (1.26%) and ROE (8.20%) are weak, showing poor efficiency.
- MACD negative (-13.0) reflects bearish divergence.
- PEG ratio (-10.6) indicates poor growth relative to valuation.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT collapsed (₹39.1 Cr vs ₹416 Cr), showing severe earnings pressure.
- DII holdings decreased (-0.46%), reflecting reduced domestic institutional support.
Company Positive News
- FII inflows (+1.83%) highlight foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading near 52-week high (₹812) reflects investor optimism despite weak fundamentals.
Industry
- Industry PE at 30.9 is much lower than UPL’s PE (127), suggesting significant overvaluation.
- Agrichemicals sector remains cyclical but supported by global demand trends.
Conclusion
⚖️ UPL is a weak-to-moderate candidate for intraday trading. Entry near ₹750–755 with exit around ₹770–785 offers limited upside. Traders should remain cautious due to poor fundamentals, sharp profit decline, and bearish MACD, but short-term technical support and FII inflows provide momentum-driven opportunities.