UPL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:16 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.4

UPL Ltd. presents a cautiously bullish setup for intraday trading today. While fundamentals show a sharp earnings rebound and volume is strong, technical indicators suggest limited momentum and valuation remains stretched.

📊 Intraday Trade Analysis

✅ Bullish Factors

Volume Surge: Current volume (31.6 lakh) is ~30% higher than 1-week average, indicating strong intraday interest.

Price Above DMA50 & DMA200: Trading at ₹699, above 50-DMA (₹696) and 200-DMA (₹646), confirming short-term strength.

Quarterly PAT Reversal: From ₹–76 Cr to ₹122 Cr — a sharp turnaround.

Low Debt-to-Equity (0.05): Financially stable.

FII Holding Increased: Foreign institutions showing renewed interest.

⚠️ Bearish Signals

MACD Slightly Negative (–0.66): Indicates weak momentum.

RSI at 48.4: Below neutral zone, suggesting indecision.

ROCE at 1.26%: Very low operational efficiency.

High P/E (83.0) vs Industry PE (31.8): Valuation is stretched.

Negative PEG Ratio (–6.88): Poor growth relative to valuation.

DII Holding Decline: Domestic institutions trimming exposure.

🎯 Intraday Strategy

📌 Optimal Buy Price

Entry Zone: ₹695–₹699

Preferably on dips near 50-DMA with volume >32 lakh and RSI crossing above 50.

💰 Profit-Taking Levels

Target 1: ₹710

Target 2: ₹720–₹725

If momentum improves and price breaks above ₹710 with volume support.

🛡️ Stop-Loss

Exit Below: ₹688

A break below this level signals loss of intraday strength.

🕒 If Already Holding Today

📌 Exit Triggers

MACD Histogram Expands Negatively: Indicates fading momentum.

Volume Drops Below 25 lakh: Signals weakening interest.

Price Rejection at ₹710–₹715: If price fails to break this zone, consider exiting.

RSI Falls Below 47: Confirms momentum reversal.

UPL is a decent candidate for intraday scalping today, especially if volume sustains and RSI improves. Let me know if you'd like to compare it with other agrochemical plays like PI Industries or Sumitomo Chemical.

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