UCOBANK - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

🏦 UCOBANK Swing Trade Analysis

UCOBANK offers a moderately favorable swing trade setup, with short-term technical strength and attractive valuation, though fundamental efficiency and institutional sentiment suggest caution.

✅ Strengths

Technical Indicators

RSI: 63.7 — bullish zone, indicating upward momentum.

MACD: 0.17 — positive crossover, supporting a short-term uptrend.

Price Above 50 DMA (₹29.7) — confirms short-term strength.

Volume Surge: Current volume is ~17% higher than 1-week average, showing increased participation.

Valuation & Earnings

P/E: 15.2 vs Industry PE: 7.91 — slightly premium but still reasonable.

PEG Ratio: 0.40 — undervalued relative to growth.

EPS: ₹2.04 — supports current valuation.

Quarterly PAT Stability: ₹607 Cr. vs ₹652 Cr. — consistent earnings.

Dividend Yield: 1.29% — decent for short-term holders.

⚠️ Weaknesses

ROCE (5.76%) / ROE (8.38%) — weak capital efficiency.

Debt-to-Equity: 10.2 — extremely high leverage, typical for banks but still a risk factor.

Price Below 200 DMA (₹34.5) — long-term trend remains bearish.

FII/DII Sentiment Negative: Both foreign and domestic institutions reduced holdings.

52W Index: 14.0% — near yearly lows, indicating limited recovery so far.

🎯 Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹29.5–₹30.0

Enter near 50 DMA for a low-risk setup with technical support.

Exit Plan (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹33.5–₹34.0

Conservative target near 200 DMA.

Stop Loss: ₹28.5

Below recent support to manage downside risk.

UCOBANK is a fair swing candidate for traders who can manage short-term volatility and monitor momentum closely. Let me know if you'd like to compare it with other PSU banks or set up alerts.

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