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UCOBANK - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.9

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:12 am

Technical Rating: 2.9

Stock Code UCOBANK Market Cap 35,750 Cr. Current Price 28.5 ₹ High / Low 43.6 ₹
Stock P/E 13.6 Book Value 26.5 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.37 % ROCE 5.76 %
ROE 8.38 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 29.5 ₹ DMA 200 31.9 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.00 % Chg in DII Hold -0.10 % PAT Qtr 740 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 620 Cr.
RSI 43.1 MACD -0.19 Volume 63,94,141 Avg Vol 1Wk 66,33,990
Low price 26.8 ₹ High price 43.6 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.36 Debt to equity 10.1
52w Index 10.1 % Qtr Profit Var 15.8 % EPS 2.09 ₹ Industry PE 7.64

📊 Chart Patterns: UCOBANK is trading at 28.5 ₹, below both 50 DMA (29.5 ₹) and 200 DMA (31.9 ₹). The price has corrected from its 52-week high (43.6 ₹) and is hovering near its 52-week low (26.8 ₹), reflecting weak momentum and bearish consolidation.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price is under both short-term and long-term averages, confirming bearish sentiment. A breakout above 30–32 ₹ could indicate recovery, while failure to hold 27–28 ₹ may trigger further downside.

📉 RSI: At 43.1, RSI suggests weak momentum, leaning towards oversold but not yet at reversal levels.

📉 MACD: Slightly negative at -0.19, showing mild bearish divergence and lack of strong buying signals.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and possible short-term support.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (63.9 lakh) is slightly lower than average weekly volume (66.3 lakh), suggesting reduced participation and cautious sentiment.

📌 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum remains weak. Support lies around 27–28 ₹, while resistance is near 30–32 ₹.

🎯 Entry Zone: 27–28 ₹ (near support, only for short-term traders with strict stop-loss).

🎯 Exit Zone: 30–32 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias, awaiting breakout direction.


Positive

  • EPS of 2.09 ₹ indicates profitability.
  • Dividend yield of 1.37% provides shareholder returns.
  • Quarterly PAT improved from 620 Cr. to 740 Cr. (15.8% growth).
  • PEG ratio of 0.36 suggests attractive valuation relative to growth.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows weak technical strength.
  • ROCE (5.76%) and ROE (8.38%) reflect modest efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 10.1 indicates high leverage risk.
  • 52-week performance index at 10.1% reflects underperformance.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased by -0.10%, showing reduced domestic institutional support.
  • Stock price corrected sharply from 43.6 ₹ high to current levels.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth signals improving operational efficiency.
  • Stable FII holdings indicate no foreign investor exit pressure.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 7.64 suggests sector trades at lower valuations compared to UCOBANK’s P/E of 13.6.
  • Banking sector remains cyclical but supported by credit growth outlook.

Conclusion

⚠️ UCOBANK is consolidating with a bearish bias, trading below key moving averages and showing weak momentum. Short-term traders may consider entry near 27–28 ₹ with strict stop-loss, targeting 30–32 ₹ resistance. Long-term investors should wait for a breakout above 31.9 ₹ (200 DMA) with sustained volume before fresh positions.

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