⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

TCS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:30 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

Stock Code TCS Market Cap 8,52,299 Cr. Current Price 2,356 ₹ High / Low 3,710 ₹
Stock P/E 17.4 Book Value 235 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.55 % ROCE 78.4 %
ROE 65.0 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,761 ₹ DMA 200 3,106 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.04 % Chg in DII Hold 0.17 % PAT Qtr 12,684 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 12,486 Cr.
RSI 22.3 MACD -130 Volume 31,73,625 Avg Vol 1Wk 32,44,205
Low price 2,350 ₹ High price 3,710 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.19 Debt to equity 0.11
52w Index 0.43 % Qtr Profit Var 7.20 % EPS 126 ₹ Industry PE 20.8

Analysis: Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 22.3 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting possible rebound opportunities. However, the MACD (-130) reflects strong bearish momentum. The current price (₹2,356) is well below both the 50 DMA (₹2,761) and 200 DMA (₹3,106), signaling short-term and long-term weakness. Despite this, fundamentals remain strong: quarterly profit grew (+7.2%), EPS is robust (₹126), and return ratios are excellent (ROCE 78.4%, ROE 65.0%). The P/E (17.4) is lower than the industry average (20.8), making the stock relatively undervalued. Institutional confidence is stable, with slight increases in both FII (+0.04%) and DII (+0.17%) holdings.

Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹2,340–2,360, near current support levels and oversold RSI zone.

Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹2,700–2,800 if momentum recovers, or cut losses if price falls below ₹2,320.

✅ Positive

  • Strong quarterly profit growth (+7.2%).
  • EPS of ₹126 supports earnings strength.
  • Excellent return ratios (ROCE 78.4%, ROE 65.0%).
  • P/E (17.4) lower than industry average (20.8), indicating undervaluation.
  • Dividend yield of 2.55% provides steady returns.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects bearish trend.
  • MACD negative (-130), showing strong bearish momentum.
  • RSI oversold, but recovery may take time.

📰 Company Negative News

  • Stock trading near 52-week low (₹2,350 vs. high ₹3,710).
  • Bearish technical indicators limit short-term upside.

🌟 Company Positive News

  • Strong fundamentals with consistent profit growth.
  • Excellent efficiency reflected in ROCE and ROE.
  • Dividend yield supports investor interest.
  • Institutional investors (FII and DII) increased holdings slightly.

🏦 Industry

  • IT services sector PE (20.8) is higher than TCS’s PE (17.4), making the stock relatively undervalued.
  • Industry supported by global demand for digital transformation, though margin pressures remain.

📌 Conclusion

TCS is a moderately good candidate for swing trading with strong fundamentals and undervaluation, but bearish technicals limit short-term upside. Entry near ₹2,340–2,360 offers better risk-reward. Exit near ₹2,700–2,800 if momentum recovers, or below ₹2,320 to protect capital.

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