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TCS - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 09:02 pm

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code TCS Market Cap 8,83,211 Cr. Current Price 2,441 ₹ High / Low 3,710 ₹
Stock P/E 18.1 Book Value 235 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.46 % ROCE 78.4 %
ROE 65.0 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,777 ₹ DMA 200 3,114 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.04 % Chg in DII Hold 0.17 % PAT Qtr 12,684 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 12,486 Cr.
RSI 26.9 MACD -129 Volume 33,28,530 Avg Vol 1Wk 32,25,236
Low price 2,360 ₹ High price 3,710 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.27 Debt to equity 0.11
52w Index 6.01 % Qtr Profit Var 7.20 % EPS 126 ₹ Industry PE 20.9

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock has corrected sharply from highs of ₹3,710, currently near ₹2,441 with strong support at ₹2,360–₹2,400 and resistance around ₹2,770 (50 DMA).
  • Moving Averages: Price (₹2,441) below both 50 DMA (₹2,777) and 200 DMA (₹3,114), confirming bearish trend.
  • RSI: 26.9 — oversold zone, suggesting potential rebound.
  • MACD: -129 — bearish crossover, momentum strongly negative.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, oversold condition may trigger short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (33.2 Lakh) slightly above 1-week average (32.2 Lakh), showing steady participation during correction.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, with bearish bias but oversold signals hint at possible rebound.
  • Entry Zone: ₹2,360–₹2,440 (support region).
  • Exit Zone: ₹2,750–₹2,800 (resistance region).
  • Trend Status: Reversing from uptrend to bearish consolidation.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (78.4%) and ROE (65.0%), indicating excellent efficiency.
  • Dividend yield at 2.46%, attractive for income investors.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (₹12,684 Cr vs ₹12,486 Cr, +7.2%).
  • EPS at ₹126, supported by profitability.
  • Both FII (+0.04%) and DII (+0.17%) holdings increased.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock P/E (18.1) slightly below industry average (20.9), but PEG ratio (2.27) shows stretched valuation relative to growth.
  • Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish trend.
  • Weak 52-week performance (6.01%), underperforming peers.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Stock has lost significant value from 52-week highs (₹3,710 to ₹2,441).
  • Short-term technical weakness with MACD bearish crossover.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly profit growth (+7.2%).
  • High efficiency metrics (ROCE and ROE).
  • Dividend yield of 2.46% provides steady returns.

💻 Industry

  • IT services sector PE at 20.9, showing moderate valuations compared to TCS’s slightly lower P/E.
  • Industry supported by global demand for digital transformation, cloud, and AI services.

🔎 Conclusion

  • TCS is in a bearish consolidation phase, trading well below key moving averages.
  • Oversold RSI and Bollinger Band signals suggest potential rebound near ₹2,360–₹2,440.
  • Short-term traders can accumulate near support and exit around ₹2,750–₹2,800.
  • Long-term investors may find value in strong fundamentals, but should be cautious of weak price momentum and stretched valuations.

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