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TCS - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 24 May 26, 10:34 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code TCS Market Cap 8,38,185 Cr. Current Price 2,317 ₹ High / Low 3,545 ₹
Stock P/E 16.0 Book Value 234 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.76 % ROCE 76.7 %
ROE 65.2 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,473 ₹ DMA 200 2,877 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.71 % Chg in DII Hold 0.53 % PAT Qtr 14,526 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 12,684 Cr.
RSI 39.2 MACD -51.7 Volume 35,08,052 Avg Vol 1Wk 48,97,252
Low price 2,206 ₹ High price 3,545 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.58 Debt to equity 0.11
52w Index 8.28 % Qtr Profit Var 30.7 % EPS 136 ₹ Industry PE 20.7

📊 Chart Analysis: TCS is trading at ₹2,317, below both the 50 DMA (₹2,473) and 200 DMA (₹2,877), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 39.2 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory. MACD at -51.7 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, reflecting selling pressure. Current volume (35.0L) is below the 1-week average (48.9L), showing reduced participation.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is bearish, with RSI showing limited strength and MACD confirming weakness. A rebound is possible only if support levels hold.

💹 Support & Resistance: Strong support lies near ₹2,206 (recent low). Immediate resistance is at ₹2,473 (50 DMA) and ₹2,877 (200 DMA). Optimal entry zone: ₹2,280–₹2,320. Exit zone: ₹2,450–₹2,500.

🔄 Trend Status: The stock is currently consolidating downward with potential reversal signs if support near ₹2,206 holds.


Positive

  • ✅ ROCE of 76.7% and ROE of 65.2% highlight exceptional efficiency.
  • ✅ EPS of ₹136 supports valuation strength.
  • ✅ Dividend yield of 2.76% provides steady returns.
  • ✅ PAT improved sequentially from ₹12,684 Cr. to ₹14,526 Cr.
  • ✅ DII holdings increased by 0.53%, showing domestic investor confidence.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak technical strength.
  • ⚠️ PEG ratio of 1.58 suggests valuation is not cheap relative to growth.
  • ⚠️ Volume significantly below average, reflecting weak participation.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 FII holdings decreased by -0.71%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • 📉 Stock trading at only 8.28% of its 52-week index, reflecting severe underperformance relative to highs.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Quarterly profit growth of 30.7% highlights strong operational performance.
  • 📈 Domestic institutional investors increased holdings, signaling confidence.

Industry

  • 💻 IT services sector trading at industry P/E of 20.7, slightly higher than TCS’s P/E of 16.0, suggesting relative undervaluation despite weak momentum.
  • 💻 Sector supported by global demand for digital transformation, cloud services, and AI-driven solutions.

Conclusion

📌 TCS is consolidating downward, trading below key moving averages with bearish MACD and weak RSI. Entry around ₹2,280–₹2,320 with exit near ₹2,450–₹2,500 offers a cautious rebound opportunity. Fundamentals show exceptional efficiency, strong profits, and attractive dividend yield, but weak momentum, foreign investor outflows, and underperformance relative to the 52-week index are concerns. The stock may stabilize if support near ₹2,206 holds.

For broader context, you could explore a IT services sector outlook or compare TCS with peers through a valuation comparison.

Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis

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