SAIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | SAIL | Market Cap | 52,003 Cr. | Current Price | 126 ₹ | High / Low | 146 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 19.7 | Book Value | 136 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.28 % | ROCE | 6.73 % |
| ROE | 4.38 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 133 ₹ | DMA 200 | 129 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.11 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.80 % | PAT Qtr | 645 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 685 Cr. |
| RSI | 36.5 | MACD | -1.84 | Volume | 1,30,93,776 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,11,01,932 |
| Low price | 99.2 ₹ | High price | 146 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.47 | Debt to equity | 0.60 |
| 52w Index | 57.2 % | Qtr Profit Var | -22.6 % | EPS | 5.85 ₹ | Industry PE | 20.9 |
📊 Based on the given parameters, SAIL shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is trading below its 50 DMA (133 ₹) and slightly above its 200 DMA (129 ₹), reflecting weak technical momentum. RSI at 36.5 indicates near-oversold conditions, while MACD at -1.84 confirms bearish sentiment. The optimal entry price would be near 122–126 ₹ if stability is confirmed. If already holding, consider exiting around 138–142 ₹ on rebounds unless volume and momentum strengthen further.
✅ Positive
- 📈 EPS of 5.85 ₹ provides fundamental support
- 💹 Dividend yield of 1.28% offers income support
- 📊 P/E ratio (19.7) is close to industry average (20.9), suggesting fair valuation
- 📈 Increase in DII holdings (+0.80%) shows domestic institutional confidence
- 📈 Strong trading volume above weekly average, reflecting active participation
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 ROCE (6.73%) and ROE (4.38%) remain modest
- 📉 PEG ratio of -0.47 suggests poor growth relative to valuation
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 raises financial risk
- 📉 Current price well below 52-week high (146 ₹), showing resistance pressure
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT declined (645 Cr. vs 685 Cr.), showing earnings pressure
- 📉 Quarterly profit variation (-22.6%) highlights weakness in profitability
- 📉 FII holdings increased only marginally (+0.11%), showing limited foreign investor confidence
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 EPS strength and dividend yield provide valuation and income support
- 📈 Increase in DII holdings (+0.80%) shows domestic confidence
- 📈 High trading activity suggests speculative opportunities at lower levels
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE at 20.9, close to SAIL’s valuation, suggesting fair pricing
- 📈 Steel sector remains cyclical, offering trading opportunities with demand-driven momentum shifts
📌 Conclusion
SAIL is a fair candidate for swing trading with EPS support, dividend yield, and institutional confidence. However, weak profitability, modest efficiency metrics, and bearish technicals limit immediate upside potential. Optimal entry is near 122–126 ₹, with exit around 138–142 ₹ if already holding. Traders should monitor RSI recovery and MACD trends before fresh positions.
I can also prepare a comparison of SAIL with SBIN and SONACOMS to highlight which one offers the stronger swing trade opportunity.
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