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SAIL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:11 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code SAIL Market Cap 63,912 Cr. Current Price 155 ₹ High / Low 168 ₹
Stock P/E 21.5 Book Value 136 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.04 % ROCE 6.73 %
ROE 4.38 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 153 ₹ DMA 200 140 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.78 % Chg in DII Hold -0.26 % PAT Qtr 442 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 645 Cr.
RSI 49.7 MACD -1.17 Volume 2,38,18,142 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,19,62,691
Low price 101 ₹ High price 168 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.51 Debt to equity 0.60
52w Index 79.7 % Qtr Profit Var 286 % EPS 6.61 ₹ Industry PE 20.1

📊 Financial Overview

  • Revenue & Profit Growth: Quarterly PAT declined from ₹645 Cr. to ₹442 Cr., showing pressure on earnings.
  • Margins: ROE at 4.38% is weak, while ROCE at 6.73% reflects modest efficiency.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 is manageable compared to peers, indicating moderate leverage.
  • Cash Flow: Supported by steel demand cycles but vulnerable to commodity price fluctuations.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 21.5 vs Industry PE of 20.1 → slightly expensive relative to peers.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price ₹155 vs Book Value ₹136 → ~1.14x, fairly valued.
  • PEG Ratio: -0.51 → negative, reflecting weak earnings growth outlook.
  • Intrinsic Value: Estimated fair value near ₹145–150, suggesting current price is slightly overvalued.

🏭 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Leading public sector steel producer with integrated operations.
  • Government backing provides stability but limits agility compared to private peers.
  • Competitive advantage lies in scale and domestic market presence, though global competitiveness is limited.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive between ₹135–145, closer to intrinsic value.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable only for cyclical investors; hold with caution due to weak ROE and earnings volatility.

✅ Positive

  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.60 is moderate, reducing financial risk.
  • Improved FII holdings (+0.78%) show foreign investor interest.
  • Strong domestic demand for steel supports long-term prospects.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Weak ROE at 4.38% indicates poor shareholder returns.
  • Quarterly PAT decline highlights earnings pressure.
  • PEG ratio negative, signaling weak growth outlook.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Falling quarterly profits due to margin pressure.
  • Global steel price volatility impacting profitability.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Government infrastructure push supports steel demand.
  • Improved FII participation reflects confidence in long-term growth.
  • Operational efficiency improving with modernization initiatives.

🏭 Industry

  • Steel industry is cyclical, heavily dependent on global commodity prices and demand.
  • Industry PE at 20.1 shows sector is moderately valued.
  • Government-led infrastructure projects provide demand stability in India.

🔎 Conclusion

SAIL shows moderate fundamentals with weak ROE and declining profits, though debt levels remain manageable. Valuation is slightly expensive compared to intrinsic value, making entry around ₹135–145 more attractive. Long-term holding is viable only for investors comfortable with cyclical risks, as industry demand and government support provide stability but earnings remain volatile.

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