HDFCAMC - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.4

HDFCAMC is showing strong upward momentum with excellent fundamentals, but its proximity to a 52-week high and elevated RSI suggests limited headroom before a possible pullback. It’s an attractive candidate for a momentum continuation swing, but timing entry and exits will be key.

🏦 Fundamental Strengths

P/E: 46.2 vs Industry PE: 25.9 → Premium valuation, justified by performance

EPS: ₹122 → Robust earnings

ROCE: 43.3% | ROE: 32.4% → Stellar capital efficiency

Debt to Equity: 0.00 → Zero leverage; outstanding balance sheet

Qtr Profit Var: +23.8% → Accelerating earnings momentum

Dividend Yield: 1.60% → Decent for short-term holders

📌 Even without a PEG ratio, other metrics signal high growth and stability.

📈 Technical Outlook

Current Price: ₹5,628

Approaching 52W High of ₹5,673 → Potential resistance zone

Well above DMA 50: ₹5,110 & DMA 200: ₹4,499 → Strong uptrend

RSI: 71.9 → Overbought territory, caution warranted

MACD: +164 → Powerful momentum, but nearing exhaustion

Volume Surge: ~8.6L vs 4.8L avg → Heavy activity supports trend strength

52W Index: 97.9% → Almost at yearly high; breakout possible or reversal risk

🎯 Swing Trade Strategy

Perfect for traders aiming to ride late-stage breakout momentum with tight risk control.

✅ Optimal Entry Price

Buy Range: ₹5,580–₹5,625 Enter on dips near breakout levels, ideally with RSI cooling slightly below 70.

🚪 Exit Strategy

Target Price: ₹5,750–₹5,850 Profit-taking before major psychological resistance around ₹6,000.

Stop-Loss: ₹5,510 Below minor support and recent breakout zone.

👜 If Already Holding

→ Consider taking partial profits above ₹5,750 → Use a trailing stop-loss at ₹5,590 → Exit immediately if RSI falls below 65 or volume dries up noticeably

If you’d like to scan for other financial sector stocks showing similar breakout patterns—or those consolidating just below 52-week highs—I can shortlist a few high-conviction swing picks. Just say the word and we’ll chart the next move. 📊✨

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