HDFCAMC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | HDFCAMC | Market Cap | 1,16,928 Cr. | Current Price | 2,728 ₹ | High / Low | 2,967 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 40.9 | Book Value | 215 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.98 % | ROCE | 42.9 % |
| ROE | 32.9 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 2,619 ₹ | DMA 200 | 2,597 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.46 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.48 % | PAT Qtr | 623 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 770 Cr. |
| RSI | 59.1 | MACD | -9.47 | Volume | 6,38,479 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 12,40,558 |
| Low price | 2,206 ₹ | High price | 2,967 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.56 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 68.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | -2.42 % | EPS | 66.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 40.9 |
HDFCAMC shows a cautiously positive outlook for swing trading. The RSI at 59.1 indicates neutral-to-positive momentum, but MACD (-9.47) reflects short-term weakness. The stock is trading slightly above both 50 DMA (2,619 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,597 ₹), suggesting mild bullish support. Fundamentals remain strong with ROCE (42.9%) and ROE (32.9%), though recent profit decline tempers enthusiasm.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Between 2,600–2,720 ₹, closer to support levels near 2,619 ₹.
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider booking profits near 2,850–2,900 ₹, or trail stop-loss if momentum strengthens toward 2,967 ₹ (recent high).
🌟 Positive
- Strong ROCE (42.9%) and ROE (32.9%) highlight efficient capital use.
- Zero Debt-to-Equity ratio ensures financial stability.
- Reasonable PEG Ratio of 1.56 indicates fair valuation relative to growth.
- Dividend yield of 1.98% provides steady returns.
⚠️ Limitation
- Quarterly PAT declined from 770 Cr. to 623 Cr., showing earnings pressure.
- MACD remains negative, signaling weak short-term momentum.
- Volume (6.38 lakh) is lower than 1-week average (12.40 lakh), indicating reduced trading interest.
- High P/E (40.9) matches industry average but suggests limited upside.
📰 Company Negative News
- Decline in DII holding (-0.48%) reflects reduced domestic institutional confidence.
- Quarterly profit variation at -2.42% indicates short-term weakness.
📈 Company Positive News
- Increase in FII holding (+0.46%) shows foreign investor interest.
- EPS of 66.8 ₹ supports long-term valuation strength.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 40.9 vs. HDFCAMC’s PE of 40.9 indicates fair valuation.
- Asset management industry remains resilient with steady inflows, though sensitive to market volatility.
🔎 Conclusion
HDFCAMC is a moderately attractive swing trade candidate. Entry near 2,600–2,720 ₹ offers potential upside toward 2,850–2,900 ₹. Strong fundamentals support the stock, but technical weakness and recent profit decline suggest cautious positioning. Best suited for disciplined traders with strict stop-loss management.
Would you like me to also outline a tailored stop-loss strategy for this setup to protect against downside risk?