HAL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Strengths

Strong ROCE (33.9%) and ROE (26.0%): Indicates excellent operational and capital efficiency.

Zero Debt: Clean balance sheet, ideal for short-term trades.

MACD (75.9): Bullish momentum signal, trend continuation likely.

Price > DMA50 & DMA200: Clear uptrend confirmation.

EPS (₹123) and P/E (39.4): Reasonable valuation compared to industry PE (75.3).

52w Index (85.4%): Near yearly high, showing strong relative strength.

⚠️ Risks

RSI (70.5): Overbought zone, risk of short-term pullback.

Volume Dip: Current volume below 1-week average → momentum may be cooling.

Qtr Profit Var (-4.07%): Earnings contraction, sentiment may soften.

PEG Ratio (2.21): Slightly expensive relative to growth.

FII Holding ↓: Mild foreign outflow.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹4,720–₹4,760

A pullback toward DMA50 would offer better margin of safety.

Entry should be confirmed with RSI cooling below 65 and MACD sustainment.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹5,080–₹5,150

Near 52-week high; expect resistance and potential profit booking.

Stop Loss: ₹4,620

Below DMA50 and recent support zone; protects against trend reversal.

If you'd like, I can scan for other defense-sector setups with similar ROCE and MACD profiles, or prep a dynamic exit matrix for your current basket. Just let me know how you'd like to optimize next.

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