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SHRIRAMFIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:30 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code SHRIRAMFIN Market Cap 1,78,737 Cr. Current Price 950 ₹ High / Low 1,108 ₹
Stock P/E 19.6 Book Value 321 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.04 % ROCE 11.2 %
ROE 16.4 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,005 ₹ DMA 200 842 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.40 % Chg in DII Hold 2.64 % PAT Qtr 2,522 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 2,307 Cr.
RSI 38.6 MACD -10.9 Volume 1,24,68,059 Avg Vol 1Wk 77,39,391
Low price 566 ₹ High price 1,108 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.42 Debt to equity 3.88
52w Index 70.8 % Qtr Profit Var 5.33 % EPS 48.5 ₹ Industry PE 16.4

📊 SHRIRAMFIN trades at ₹950, below its 50DMA (₹1,005) but above its 200DMA (₹842), showing mixed technical momentum. Indicators (RSI 38.6, MACD -10.9) suggest weak sentiment. Fundamentals are strong with rising profits, decent ROE, and attractive PEG ratio, but high debt and expensive valuation compared to industry PE limit upside. This makes SHRIRAMFIN a moderately good swing trade candidate.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹930–950 (near current support).

🔔 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near ₹1,000–1,020 (around 50DMA resistance) unless momentum improves further.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth from ₹2,307 Cr. to ₹2,522 Cr. (+5.33%).
  • EPS of ₹48.5 indicates strong earnings base.
  • ROE at 16.4% shows solid profitability.
  • DII holdings increased by 2.64%, reflecting domestic confidence.
  • PEG ratio of 0.42 suggests fair valuation relative to growth.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 3.88.
  • ROCE at 11.2% is moderate compared to peers.
  • Stock P/E of 19.6 is higher than industry PE of 16.4.
  • Dividend yield of 1.04% is modest.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Weak technicals: RSI near oversold, MACD negative.
  • Price trading below 50DMA resistance.
  • FII holdings decreased by 2.40%, showing reduced foreign confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly profit growth.
  • EPS and ROE indicate solid fundamentals.
  • DII confidence reflected in increased holdings.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 16.4, lower than SHRIRAMFIN’s valuation.
  • NBFC sector in India benefits from rising credit demand.
  • Regulatory oversight and high leverage remain challenges.

🔎 Conclusion

SHRIRAMFIN is fundamentally strong with rising profits and decent ROE, but technically weak and burdened by high debt. It is a moderately good swing trade candidate if entered near ₹930–950 with a target around ₹1,000–1,020. Risk management is essential due to leverage and weak technical momentum.

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