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SHRIRAMFIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

Here’s the structured swing trade analysis for SHRIRAMFIN based on the provided parameters

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

Stock Code SHRIRAMFIN Market Cap 2,36,032 Cr. Current Price 1,003 ₹ High / Low 1,108 ₹
Stock P/E 23.6 Book Value 349 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.08 % ROCE 11.5 %
ROE 16.4 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 958 ₹ DMA 200 893 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 8.93 % Chg in DII Hold -2.67 % PAT Qtr 3,014 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 2,522 Cr.
RSI 61.3 MACD 8.73 Volume 34,76,923 Avg Vol 1Wk 71,62,093
Low price 566 ₹ High price 1,108 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.26 Debt to equity 3.82
52w Index 80.6 % Qtr Profit Var 40.9 % EPS 53.1 ₹ Industry PE 22.4

📊 Analysis: SHRIRAMFIN shows strong swing trading potential. Current price (1,003 ₹) is above both DMA 50 (958 ₹) and DMA 200 (893 ₹), confirming bullish momentum. RSI at 61.3 indicates positive strength, while MACD (8.73) supports short-term upside. Fundamentals are solid with ROE (16.4%) and ROCE (11.5%), backed by EPS (53.1 ₹). Valuation is slightly expensive with P/E (23.6) vs industry average (22.4), but strong quarterly PAT growth (+40.9%) and FII inflows (+8.93%) provide confidence. Debt-to-equity (3.82) remains a risk factor.

💰 Optimal Entry: Entry zone lies between 980 ₹ – 995 ₹, near DMA 50 support.

🔑 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting around 1,060 ₹ – 1,080 ₹, close to resistance levels and recent highs.

✅ Positive

  • Strong quarterly PAT growth (+40.9%).
  • Healthy ROE (16.4%) and EPS (53.1 ₹).
  • Price trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms bullish trend.
  • FII holdings increased (+8.93%), showing strong foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio (3.82) increases leverage risk.
  • P/E ratio (23.6) is slightly above industry average (22.4).
  • Volume (34.7 lakh) is lower than weekly average (71.6 lakh), showing reduced liquidity.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Decline in DII holdings (-2.67%) shows reduced domestic institutional support.
  • High leverage remains a structural risk.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly PAT growth (3,014 Cr. vs 2,522 Cr.).
  • Dividend yield of 1.08% provides income support.
  • FII inflows (+8.93%) highlight investor confidence.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 22.4 vs SHRIRAMFIN’s 23.6 — stock trades at a slight premium.
  • Financial services sector remains growth-oriented but sensitive to credit risk and interest rate cycles.

🔎 Conclusion

⚖️ SHRIRAMFIN is a strong swing trade candidate with rating 4.1. Entry near 980–995 ₹ offers a favorable setup, while exits around 1,060–1,080 ₹ are advisable if already holding. Strong fundamentals and FII inflows support the trade, though high debt levels warrant caution.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking to compare SHRIRAMFIN’s swing trade strength against other NBFC leaders?

Technical Analysis
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