BERGEPAINT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Positives

ROCE (24.9%) and ROE (20.0%) — strong capital efficiency.

EPS ₹9.14 with improving PAT (₹321 Cr. vs ₹237 Cr.) — earnings growth visible.

Debt-to-equity 0.09 — low leverage, financially stable.

Volume stable — consistent participation.

DII holding increased (+0.34%) — mild domestic support.

Dividend yield 0.71% — modest income cushion.

⚠️ Weaknesses

MACD at -3.41 and RSI at 45.7 — weak momentum, no bullish crossover.

Price below DMA50 (₹547) and DMA200 (₹540) — short-term trend under pressure.

P/E of 57.1 vs industry 48.7 — premium valuation.

PEG ratio 4.42 — expensive relative to growth.

FII holding dipped (-0.16%) — foreign sentiment softening.

52w Index at 51.3% — mid-range, no breakout confirmation.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

Recent technical reports suggest Berger Paints is hovering near key support at ₹530. A close below this level could trigger a breakdown, while a move above ₹548 may lead to a sharp breakout toward ₹558–₹566

1

. Broker consensus targets average around ₹553, implying limited near-term upside

2

. Competitive pressure in the paints sector is rising, with new entrants intensifying dealer push

3

.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹528–₹532, near immediate support zone.

Confirm entry only if MACD flattens and RSI rebounds above 50 with volume >6L.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹555–₹565 (near resistance band and breakout threshold).

Stop-loss: ₹518 (below weekly support and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 65 or MACD divergence near ₹565.

This setup is fundamentally stable but technically weak. If you're optimizing a consumer basket, I can scan for discretionary or FMCG peers with stronger MACD and PEG efficiency. Just say the word.

1

www.equitypandit.com

2

trendlyne.com

3

tradebrains.in

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