GRSE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹2,550) and 200 DMA (₹2,236), confirming medium-term bullish structure.

MACD Negative: At −11.0, MACD signals short-term weakness—momentum is cooling.

RSI Neutral: 56.3 suggests consolidation, not yet overbought or oversold.

Volume Surge: Current volume (58.1L) is above 1-week average (44.5L), indicating active participation despite MACD weakness.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Reasonable: P/E of 53.7 vs industry average of 75.3 and PEG of 1.28—growth-adjusted valuation is acceptable.

Exceptional Efficiency: ROCE 36.6%, ROE 27.6%—very strong capital deployment.

Profit Dip: PAT dropped from ₹244 Cr to ₹120 Cr, but Qtr Profit Var is +37.8%—likely due to base effect or seasonal factors.

Zero Debt: Debt-to-equity of 0.00 offers financial resilience.

Institutional Sentiment: FII increased (+1.48%), DII slightly reduced (−0.09%)—net positive.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹2,520–₹2,540: Near 50 DMA and recent support zone. Entry only if MACD flattens and RSI holds above 55.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹2,980–₹3,050: First resistance zone. Consider partial exit if RSI crosses 65 or MACD turns positive.

₹3,500–₹3,538: Final exit near 52-week high if momentum resumes.

Trailing Stop: ₹2,480 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GRSE is a technically consolidating but fundamentally strong candidate. Ideal for swing traders who prefer setups with high ROCE and low debt. Entry near 50 DMA offers a safer margin, while exit near highs is prudent unless MACD and volume confirm renewed momentum.

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